Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner
Live prediction market odds for Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
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Compare all 6 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give Lai Jui-lung about a 87.0% chance. Ko Chih-en follows at 13.1%, Chang Ching follows at 0.1%, and Chiu Yi-ying follows at 0.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.1 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Ko Chih-en wins the 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
PolymarketTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
The winner is determined by the total votes received by each candidate during the election. Official results will be announced by the election commission.
Trading for this market is scheduled to close on November 29, 2026. This is the deadline for placing bets before the election results are finalized.
Odds can fluctuate based on candidate polling, campaign events, and public sentiment as the election date approaches. Significant developments in the political landscape may also impact market prices.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Lai Jui-lung: 87.0¢ on Kalshi, 87.0¢ on Polymarket; Ko Chih-en: 13.0¢ on Kalshi, 13.1¢ on Polymarket; Chang Ching: 0.1¢ on Polymarket; Chiu Yi-ying: 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Smart money is buying Lai Jui-lung
Buy Yes at 88¢Wallets with $10K+ lifetime profit · last 24h
Smart money is buying Lai Jui-lung
Buy Yes at 88¢Wallets with $10K+ lifetime profit · last 24h
Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.
Trader up $358K lifetime bought $1.1K of Yes at 87¢
13h agoWill Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Trade on Kalshi 
