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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

Draw Wins: Estrela vs. Rio Ave

Liga Portugal·Resolved 2026-09-14

This market resolved on 2026-09-14. Draw was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Estrela Amadora wins the Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora professional Liga Portugal soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora professional Liga Portugal soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 14, 2026 If CF Estrela da Amadora wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the Rio Ave FC vs Estrela Amadora Liga Portugal match scheduled for 2026-09-14 1:45PM ET. If the match is tied following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market will settle to Tie. If the match is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from Liga Portugal.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Estrela vs. Rio Ave prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Estrela vs. Rio Ave odds?

The last available prices are Draw: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 4.0¢ on Polymarket US; Estrela: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 5.0¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on Polymarket US; Rio Ave: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Estrela vs. Rio Ave odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 95.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Estrela vs. Rio Ave prediction market payouts work?

For example, Draw at 67.6¢ implies about a 67.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Candidate
DrawWINNER	99%	4%	100%
Estrela	1%	3%	5%
Rio Ave	1%	3%	0%

Draw Wins: Estrela vs. Rio Ave

Draw Wins: Estrela vs. Rio Ave

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Draw Wins: Estrela vs. Rio Ave

Draw Wins: Estrela vs. Rio Ave

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Estrela vs. Rio Ave

Frequently Asked Questions

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