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Live prediction market odds for Toluca vs. Monterrey. Compare prices across .

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Toluca vs. Monterrey Final Score & Odds

Liga MX · Sat, Nov 7, 2026

All games7:30 PM UTCSoccer7:30 PM UTCLEG40¢BUR31¢
Soccer/Liga MX/Deportivo Toluca vs Monterrey
  1. 90'
    TOL
    Goal4-0

    J. Gallardo

  2. 84'
    TOL
    Substitution

    Pavel Uriel Pérez Hernández comes on for João Paulo Dias Fernandes.

  3. 76'
    TOL
    Substitution

    Victor Guzman comes on for Érick Gabriel Gutiérrez Galaviz.

  4. 75'
    TOL
    Substitution

    Fernando Arce comes on for F Romero.

  5. 72'
    MTY
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Fidel Ambríz González.

  6. 69'
    TOL
    Substitution

    JR Angulo comes on for E Vega.

  7. 69'
    TOL
    Substitution

    Federico Viñas comes on for Helinho.

  8. 64'
    MTY
    Substitution

    John Stefan Medina comes on for O Torres.

  9. 64'
    MTY
    Substitution

    Fidel Ambríz González comes on for L Ocampos.

  10. 61'
    MTY
    Red card

    Straight red card for C Salcedo.

  11. 59'
    MTY
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for O Torres.

  12. 57'
    MTY
    Substitution

    Aldo De Nigris comes on for Ricardo Chavez.

  13. 57'
    MTY
    Substitution

    Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa comes on for Hugo Cuypers.

  14. 57'
    MTY
    Substitution

    Aguirre Tafolla comes on for Orbelin Pineda.

  15. 54'
    TOL
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Helinho.

  16. 54'
    MTY
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for L Ocampos.

  17. 54'
    MTY
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Orbelin Pineda.

  18. 51'
    TOL
    Goal3-0

    J. Dias Fernandes

  19. 48'
    MTY
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for César Garza.

  20. 45+1'
    Stoppage time

    1 minute of stoppage time announced.

  21. 23'
    TOL
    Goal2-0

    J. Dias Fernandes

  22. 8'
    TOL
    Goal1-0

    N. Castro

Full timeLiga MX · Estadio Nemesio Díez
TOLDeportivo Toluca · 7-6-3
4
FT
Full time
MTY down to 10
MTYMonterrey · 6-3-6 · 10 men
0
Pressure by minute
8' Castro23' Dias Fernandes51' Dias Fernandes90' GallardoHTFT
89'90'90+1'90+2'90+3'90+4'90+5'FT
TOL4–0MTY
TOL attack →← MTY attack
Full time
Win chanceFTTOL win–Draw–MTY win–
90+4'MTY · Corner taken.
90+3'TOL · Caught offside.

Match winner · 90 minutes

GGGRCG0%25%50%75%100%1'HTFT
Full timeLiga MX · Estadio Nemesio Díez
TOLDeportivo Toluca · 7-6-3
4
FT
Full time
MTY down to 10
MTYMonterrey · 6-3-6 · 10 men
0
  1. 8'Goal 1-0N. Castro
  2. 23'Goal 2-0J. Dias Fernandes
  3. 51'Goal 3-0J. Dias Fernandes
  4. 61'Red cardStraight red card for C Salcedo.
  5. 90'Goal 4-0J. Gallardo

Match replay

Pressure by minute
8' Castro23' Dias Fernandes51' Dias Fernandes90' GallardoHTFT
89'90'90+1'90+2'90+3'90+4'90+5'FT
TOL4–0MTY
TOL attack →← MTY attack
Full time
Win chanceFTTOL win–Draw–MTY win–
90+4'MTY · Corner taken.
90+3'TOL · Caught offside.

Team stats

ShowHide
1H2HT
TOL224
MTY000
TOL

Team stats

MTY
63%Possession37%
9Shots4
6On target2
6Corners6
33%Time attacking27%
13%Time in danger zone13%
9Fouls11
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards5

Match winner · 90 minutes

GGGRCG0%25%50%75%100%1'HTFT

Closing odds

QuestionResult
TolucaWINNER
Yes
Draw
No
Monterrey
No
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9

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Market rulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Toluca vs. Monterrey

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tie is the result of the Toluca vs Monterrey professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Toluca vs Monterrey professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 7, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the Deportivo Toluca FC vs CF Monterrey Liga MX match scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 8:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the match is tied following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market will settle to Tie. If the match is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from Liga MX.

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Closing odds

QuestionKick-off
TolucaWINNER
58¢
Draw
23¢
Monterrey
21¢

Market recap

Toluca beat Monterrey 4-0. At kick-off the market gave Toluca a 58% chance, the favorite. Goals: N. Castro 8', J. Dias Fernandes 23', J. Dias Fernandes 51' and J. Gallardo 90'. Sent off: C. Salcedo 61'. Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US settled the market on Toluca.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Frequently asked questions

What does the Toluca vs. Monterrey prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Toluca vs. Monterrey odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Toluca vs. Monterrey odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do Toluca vs. Monterrey prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.