Traders give Rennes about a 91.0% chance. Paris FC follows at 70.0%, Lille follows at 69.0%, and Monaco follows at 62.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 48.0 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Ligue 1 Top 4 Finishers
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Toulouse is a top 4 finisher in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 4 (positions 1 through 4) of the final standings of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season (e.g., they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie for the final top-4 position, this market will resolve based on the clubs officially recognized by the Ligue de Football Professionnel (LFP) as finishing in the top 4 of the final standings.
If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are otherwise no final standings declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Ligue de Football Professionnel (LFP); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines the outcome of the Ligue 1 Top 4 Finishers market?
The outcome is determined by the final standings of Ligue 1 at the end of the 2026-2027 season. Teams must be in the top four positions to resolve positively for this market.
When does the Ligue 1 Top 4 Finishers market resolve?
This market resolves on June 13, 2027, coinciding with the conclusion of the Ligue 1 season. All matches must be completed by this date for the standings to be finalized.
How do team performances affect the odds in this market?
Odds fluctuate based on teams' performances in matches throughout the season. Key events such as wins, losses, and injuries can significantly impact market sentiment and pricing.
What does the Ligue 1 Top 4 Finishers prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Ligue 1 Top 4 Finishers odds?
The latest available prices are Rennes: 94.0¢ on Kalshi, 88.0¢ on Polymarket; Paris FC: 46.0¢ on Kalshi, 94.0¢ on Polymarket; Lille: 61.0¢ on Kalshi, 77.0¢ on Polymarket; Monaco: 63.0¢ on Kalshi, 61.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.