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Live prediction market odds for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astros (7:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Arizona Diamondbacks Wins: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astros (7:15 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-05

This market resolved on 2026-09-05. Arizona Diamondbacks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.

About This Market

Arizona Diamondbacks vs.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astros (7:15 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Corbin Carroll Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Corbin Carroll Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%—
Daulton Varsho Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%—
Gabriel Moreno Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%—
Gabriel Moreno Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%—
Isaac Paredes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%—
Isaac Paredes Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%—
Jeremy Pena Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%—
Jose Altuve Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%—
Lars Nootbaar Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%—
Lars Nootbaar Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%—
Houston Astros spread plus 4.5
———97%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 4.5
———97%
Houston Astros spread plus 3.5
———95%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 3.5
———94%
Total under 12.5
———92%
Nolan Arenado Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%96%
Geraldo Perdomo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%95%
Gabriel Moreno Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%93%
Total under 10.5
———86%
Lars Nootbaar Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%89%
Jeremy Pena Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%90%
Jose Altuve Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%89%
Isaac Paredes Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%88%
Corbin Carroll Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%84%
Ketel Marte Under 0.5 Home Runs
———84%
Christian Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%87%
Daulton Varsho Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%87%
Brandon Pfaadt Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—82%—
Brandon Pfaadt Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——82%—
Ethan Pecko Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—82%—
Houston Astros spread plus 2.5
——72%91%
Ethan Pecko Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——81%—
Ethan Pecko Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——81%—
Brandon Pfaadt Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——81%—
Ethan Pecko Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——81%—
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Home Runs
——81%—
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Home Runs
——81%—
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Home Runs
——81%—
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Home Runs
——81%—
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Home Runs
——81%—
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Home Runs
——81%—
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Home Runs
——81%—
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Home Runs
——81%—
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——81%—
Yordan Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%78%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.5
——67%87%
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%55%
Christian Vazquez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%53%
Total under 11.5
———75%
Houston Astros spread plus 1.5
——66%83%
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%51%
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%51%
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%50%
Christian Vazquez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———73%
Ildemaro Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———73%
Ethan Pecko Under 4.5 Strikeouts
———71%
Brandon Pfaadt Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—81%60%
Ethan Pecko Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——82%58%
Taylor Trammell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Cam Smith Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Max Kepler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 2.5
——34%96%
Tim Tawa Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Brandon Pfaadt Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——61%68%
Cam Smith Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Max Kepler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Total under 7.5
——41%85%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.0
———62%
Taylor Trammell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Tim Tawa Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Total over 8.0
———60%
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
59%—97%54%
Total under 9.5
——42%76%
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
5%—97%58%
Total under 8.5
——72%45%
Houston Astros spread plus 1.0
———56%
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
8%—97%56%
Total under 9.0
———54%
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
52%—97%45%
Brandon Pfaadt Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—61%43%
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%—97%—
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
6%—97%—
Arizona DiamondbacksWINNER
100%49%51%98%
Houston Astros
1%51%70%5%
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
43%—97%51%
Nolan Arenado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
5%—97%—
Jose Altuve Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
4%—97%—
Total under 6.5
———49%
Ketel Marte Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—95%—
Total over 9.0
———48%
Max Kepler Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%—97%46%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.0
———45%
Cam Smith Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Taylor Trammell Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Cam Smith Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Total under 8.0
———44%
Total over 8.5
1%—28%59%
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
4%—97%43%
Tim Tawa Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Tim Tawa Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———42%
Total under 5.5
———42%
Houston Astros spread minus 1.0
———41%
Taylor Trammell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Yordan Alvarez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%75%
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———38%
Total over 7.5
1%—50%19%
Brandon Pfaadt Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——19%44%
Houston Astros spread minus 2.5
1%—55%8%
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%59%
Total over 9.5
1%—34%27%
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%58%
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%57%
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%54%
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%54%
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%53%
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%52%
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%51%
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—3%49%
Houston Astros spread minus 1.5
1%—33%18%
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%46%
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%46%
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—19%26%
Total under 4.5
———22%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.5
1%—24%20%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 2.5
1%—28%13%
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—19%—
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Home Runs
——19%—
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Home Runs
——19%—
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—19%—
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—19%—
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—19%—
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—19%—
Brandon Pfaadt Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%—19%—
Ethan Pecko Over 2.5 Strikeouts
1%—19%—
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Home Runs
——19%—
Tim Tawa Over 0.5 Home Runs
———19%
Lars Nootbaar Over 0.5 Home Runs
——18%19%
Brandon Pfaadt Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——18%—
Ethan Pecko Over 3.5 Strikeouts
3%—18%52%
Ethan Pecko Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——18%—
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—19%16%
Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%16%
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—19%17%
Gabriel Moreno Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%13%
Taylor Trammell Over 0.5 Home Runs
———15%
Geraldo Perdomo Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%10%
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Home Runs
8%—19%14%
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—19%13%
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Home Runs
6%——20%
Cam Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs
———12%
Brandon Pfaadt Over 6.5 Strikeouts
6%—18%—
Ethan Pecko Over 6.5 Strikeouts
5%—19%—
Ethan Pecko Over 7.5 Strikeouts
5%—19%—
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Home Runs
6%—19%12%
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—19%—
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 4.5
———8%
Houston Astros spread minus 4.5
———7%
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Home Runs
——5%—
Christian Walker Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%—
Christian Walker Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%—
Corbin Carroll Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%—
Corbin Carroll Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%—
Daulton Varsho Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%—
Daulton Varsho Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%—
Gabriel Moreno Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%—
Geraldo Perdomo Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%—
Geraldo Perdomo Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%—
Geraldo Perdomo Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%—
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—3%—
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—3%—
Jeremy Pena Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%—
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—3%—
Jose Altuve Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%—
Lars Nootbaar Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%—
Lars Nootbaar Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%—
Nolan Arenado Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%—
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Arizona wins by over 3.5 runs
————
Ethan Pecko Over 4.5 Strikeouts
————
Houston wins by over 3.5 runs
————
Ketel Marte Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Ketel Marte Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Over 2.5 runs scored
————
Over 3.5 runs scored
————
Total over 10.5
————
Total over 11.5
————
Total over 12.5
————
Total over 4.5
————
Total over 5.5
————
Total over 6.5
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread69.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Arizona Diamondbacks

74.4% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astros (7:15 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Houston wins the Arizona vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Arizona vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Houston Astros, scheduled for September 5 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Arizona Diamondbacks vs Houston Astros MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-05 at 7:15PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astros (7:15 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astros (7:15 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Arizona Diamondbacks: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 51.0¢ on Polymarket, 98.1¢ on ProphetX, 49.0¢ on Polymarket US; Houston Astros: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 70.0¢ on Polymarket, 5.1¢ on ProphetX, 51.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astros (7:15 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 69.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astros (7:15 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Arizona Diamondbacks at 74.4¢ implies about a 74.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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