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Arizona Diamondbacks vs.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals (2:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-07. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals (2:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-07
This market resolved on 2026-09-07. Arizona Diamondbacks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 93%.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals (2:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-07. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Noah Cameron Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Noah Cameron Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Ketel Marte Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Noah Cameron Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 97% | — |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 95% | — |
Noah Cameron Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 95% | — |
Corbin Carroll Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 87% |
Ildemaro Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 90% |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 90% | — |
Nolan Arenado Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 93% |
Gabriel Moreno Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 91% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 88% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 96% | 75% |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 83% | 88% |
Carter Jensen Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 82% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 84% | 80% |
Ketel Marte Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 79% | 80% |
Isaac Collins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 76% |
Isaac Collins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 76% |
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 99% | 75% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 73% | — |
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 97% | 48% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 95% | 49% |
Arizona DiamondbacksWINNER | 99% | 53% | 100% | 86% |
Noah Cameron Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 68% |
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Hits | 65% | — | — | — |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 65% | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 74% |
Corbin Carroll Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 67% |
Jordan Lawlar Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 50% | 66% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 64% |
Ketel Marte Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | 63% |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 99% | 55% |
John Rave Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 61% |
Jordan Lawlar Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 60% |
Kyle Isbel Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 60% |
Noah Cameron Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | 54% |
Ketel Marte Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 58% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 54% |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | 57% |
Tim Tawa Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 57% |
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | 50% | 56% |
Nick Loftin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 54% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | 54% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 53% |
Michael Massey Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 53% |
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 53% |
Ildemaro Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | 52% |
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 51% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 50% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 47% | — | 50% | 62% |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | 50% | — |
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Gabriel Moreno Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 30% | — | 50% | 54% |
Michael Massey Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 29% | — | 50% | 52% |
Nolan Arenado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Salvador Perez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Salvador Perez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 49% |
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 48% |
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 47% |
Nick Loftin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 33% | — | 50% | 48% |
Noah Cameron Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | 48% |
Tim Tawa Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 36% | — | 50% | 47% |
Kyle Isbel Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 31% | — | 50% | 46% |
Ketel Marte Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 42% |
Ketel Marte Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 35% | — | 50% | 46% |
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | 40% |
John Rave Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | — | 50% | 45% |
Jordan Lawlar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 33% | — | 50% | 44% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 30% | — | 50% | 44% |
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 39% | — | 50% | 43% |
Corbin Carroll Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 26% | — | 50% | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 RBIs | 37% | — | — | — |
Ketel Marte Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 22% | — | 50% | — |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 35% | — |
Carter Jensen Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | 50% | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | 50% | — |
Kansas City Royals | 1% | 48% | 0% | 21% |
Corbin Carroll Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | 50% | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | 50% | — |
Ketel Marte Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | 50% | — |
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 3% | 57% |
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 3% | 57% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | 50% | — |
Carter Jensen Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | 50% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 5% | 55% |
Nolan Arenado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | 50% | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 3% | 52% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | 27% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 16% | 25% |
Ketel Marte Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 19% | 21% |
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 17% | 19% |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 17% | 20% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 17% |
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Home Runs | 16% | — | 5% | 16% |
Geraldo Perdomo Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 19% | 12% |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Home Runs | 15% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 15% | 16% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 18% | 15% |
Gabriel Moreno Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 14% | 14% |
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 13% | — | — | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Home Runs | 8% | — | 13% | 14% |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 4% | 20% |
John Rave Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 18% | 12% |
Jordan Lawlar Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 11% | 13% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 10% | — |
Ildemaro Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 9% | 11% |
Michael Massey Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 14% |
Nick Loftin Over 0.5 Home Runs | 8% | — | 18% | 8% |
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 99% | 13% |
Tim Tawa Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 99% | 13% |
Kyle Isbel Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 11% |
Noah Cameron Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 6% | — | 100% | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 100% | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Ketel Marte Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 3% | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 3% | — |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 3% | — |
Ketel Marte Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 2% | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Ildemaro Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 1% | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 3.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 3.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Arizona wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Ketel Marte Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Ketel Marte Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Ketel Marte Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — |
Ketel Marte Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Ketel Marte Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Ketel Marte Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Ketel Marte Over 2.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Ketel Marte Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Noah Cameron Over 0.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — |
Noah Cameron Over 1.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — |
Noah Cameron Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | — |
Noah Cameron Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — |
Noah Cameron Over 2.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — |
Noah Cameron Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | — |
Noah Cameron Over 3.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — |
Noah Cameron Over 4.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — |
Noah Cameron Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Noah Cameron Over 5.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — |
Noah Cameron Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Noah Cameron Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 100% | — | 1% | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Arizona Diamondbacks
84.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Arizona wins the Arizona vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Arizona vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for September 7 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-07 at 2:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Arizona Diamondbacks: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 86.3¢ on ProphetX, 52.5¢ on Polymarket US; Kansas City Royals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 21.4¢ on ProphetX, 47.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 47.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Arizona Diamondbacks at 84.4¢ implies about a 84.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.