Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San… Prediction - Diego Padres 34¢

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus

Best price

Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona DiamondbacksARB

77%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	99.0%	98¢	100¢	0¢	2¢
Polymarket US	43.0%	42¢	44¢	56¢	58¢
Novig	45.0%	44¢	46¢	54¢	56¢
Polymarket	99.0%	98¢	100¢	0¢	2¢
ProphetX	98.0%	97¢	99¢	1¢	3¢

San Diego Padres

San Diego PadresARB

33%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	1.0%	1¢	1¢	99¢	99¢
Polymarket US	56.0%	55¢	57¢	43¢	45¢
Novig	54.0%	53¢	55¢	45¢	47¢
Polymarket	53.0%	52¢	54¢	46¢	48¢
ProphetX	2.0%	1¢	3¢	97¢	99¢

Kalshi

Polymarket US Novig

Novig

Polymarket

ProphetX

Spread

ARB 56¢

Best price

ARI -2.5

SD +2.5

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Totals

Best price

O 8.5

U 8.5

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Arizona wins the Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Novig

Primary Rule

Arizona Diamondbacks in Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (MLB); settled by Novig.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 25 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-25 at 9:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) odds?

The latest available prices are San Diego Padres: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 53.5¢ on Polymarket, 3.1¢ on ProphetX, 56.5¢ on Polymarket US, 54.5¢ on Novig; Arizona Diamondbacks: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 43.5¢ on Polymarket US, 46.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 56.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, San Diego Padres at 33.6¢ implies about a 33.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.