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Arizona Diamondbacks vs.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (10:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (10:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-28
This market resolved on 2026-08-28. Arizona Diamondbacks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (10:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 100% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 100% | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 100% | — |
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Blade Tidwell Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Blade Tidwell Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Blade Tidwell Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Blade Tidwell Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Blade Tidwell Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Blade Tidwell Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 3.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Gabriel Moreno Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Geraldo Perdomo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Ildemaro Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Kohl Drake Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kohl Drake Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kohl Drake Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kohl Drake Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kohl Drake Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 10.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 11.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 5.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 6.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Shay Whitcomb Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Drew Cavanaugh Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 99% |
Nate Furman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 99% |
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Tim Tawa Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Drew Gilbert Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 98% |
Max Kepler Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 95% |
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | — |
Rafael Devers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 99% |
Bryce Eldridge Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 90% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 90% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 89% |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 89% |
Max Kepler Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | — |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 99% | 82% |
Turner Hill Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Turner Hill Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Arizona wins by over 3.5 runs | 99% | — | — | 78% |
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 97% | — | — | 49% |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 70% | — | — | — |
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Kohl Drake Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 68% | — |
Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Drew Cavanaugh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Jose Fernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Nate Furman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 65% | — | — | — |
Arizona DiamondbacksWINNER | 99% | 65% | 87% | 53% |
Drew Cavanaugh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Turner Hill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Christian Koss Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Max Kepler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Blade Tidwell Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 62% | — |
Drew Gilbert Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Tim Tawa Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Jonah Cox Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 57% |
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Blade Tidwell Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 53% | 56% |
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Corbin Carroll Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 88% |
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 11% |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 53% |
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Kohl Drake Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 51% | 52% |
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Kohl Drake Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 51% | 51% |
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Lars Nootbaar Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 3% |
Jose Fernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Drew Cavanaugh Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Drew Cavanaugh Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Drew Gilbert Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Nate Furman Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Nate Furman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Drew Gilbert Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Drew Gilbert Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Ildemaro Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Tim Tawa Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Max Kepler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 80% | 15% |
Blade Tidwell Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 47% | 46% |
Jonah Cox Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 84% | 7% |
Drew Cavanaugh Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Nate Furman Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Christian Koss Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Osleivis Basabe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 86% | — |
Shay Whitcomb Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
San Francisco Giants | 1% | 36% | 100% | 50% |
Turner Hill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Drew Cavanaugh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Shay Whitcomb Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 RBIs | 40% | — | — | — |
Blade Tidwell Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 38% | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | — | — | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 5.5 Total Bases | 36% | — | — | — |
Kohl Drake Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 33% | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 RBIs | 30% | — | — | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 2.5 Hits | 25% | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 99% | 22% |
Bryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 21% |
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 100% | 19% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 100% | 18% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 17% |
Max Kepler Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 17% | — |
Lars Nootbaar Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 17% |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits | 17% | — | — | — |
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 14% | — |
Drew Cavanaugh Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 8% |
Turner Hill Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 8% |
Tim Tawa Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 13% |
Corbin Carroll Over 4.5 Total Bases | 12% | — | — | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 RBIs | 11% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 RBIs | 11% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
Gabriel Moreno Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 9% |
Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Nate Furman Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 8% |
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 8% | — |
Max Kepler Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 4% | 12% |
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Geraldo Perdomo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 7% |
Ildemaro Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 9% |
Blade Tidwell Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 5% | — | — | — |
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
San Francisco wins by over 3.5 runs | 4% | — | — | — |
Kohl Drake Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — |
Blade Tidwell Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 2% | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Kohl Drake Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 2% | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Blade Tidwell Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Blade Tidwell Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Blade Tidwell Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Blade Tidwell Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 3.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Kohl Drake Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Kohl Drake Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Kohl Drake Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | — |
Turner Hill Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 100% | — |
Arizona Diamondbacks
75.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf San Francisco wins the Arizona vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 10:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Arizona vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 10:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 28 at 10:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-28 at 10:15PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Arizona Diamondbacks: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 87.0¢ on Polymarket, 52.7¢ on ProphetX, 64.5¢ on Polymarket US; San Francisco Giants: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 49.8¢ on ProphetX, 35.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Arizona Diamondbacks at 75.8¢ implies about a 75.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.