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Live prediction market odds for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (10:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Arizona Diamondbacks Wins: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (10:15 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-28

This market resolved on 2026-08-28. Arizona Diamondbacks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.

About This Market

Arizona Diamondbacks vs.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (10:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 2.5
——100%—
Total under 8.5
——100%—
Total under 9.5
——100%—
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Total over 8.5
99%—100%—
Total over 9.5
99%—100%—
Blade Tidwell Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Blade Tidwell Over 1.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Blade Tidwell Over 2.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Blade Tidwell Over 3.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Blade Tidwell Over 4.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Blade Tidwell Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——99%—
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 RBIs
99%———
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 RBIs
99%———
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Total Bases
99%———
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 RBIs
99%———
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 Total Bases
99%———
Corbin Carroll Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Corbin Carroll Over 3.5 Total Bases
99%———
Corbin Carroll Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Gabriel Moreno Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Geraldo Perdomo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Ildemaro Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jung Hoo Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Kohl Drake Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Kohl Drake Over 1.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Kohl Drake Over 2.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Kohl Drake Over 3.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Kohl Drake Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——99%—
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Nolan Arenado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Over 1.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 10.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 11.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 4.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 5.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 6.5 runs scored
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Shay Whitcomb Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Drew Cavanaugh Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%99%
Nate Furman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%99%
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Tim Tawa Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Drew Gilbert Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%98%
Max Kepler Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%95%
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Home Runs
——92%—
Rafael Devers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%99%
Bryce Eldridge Under 0.5 Home Runs
———90%
Total over 8.0
———90%
Total over 7.5
99%—100%89%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.5
99%—100%89%
Max Kepler Over 1.5 Home Runs
——83%—
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 2.5
99%—99%82%
Turner Hill Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Turner Hill Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Arizona wins by over 3.5 runs
99%——78%
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
97%——49%
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
70%———
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Kohl Drake Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—68%—
Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Drew Cavanaugh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Jose Fernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Nate Furman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
65%———
Arizona DiamondbacksWINNER
99%65%87%53%
Drew Cavanaugh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Turner Hill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Christian Koss Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Max Kepler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Blade Tidwell Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—62%—
Drew Gilbert Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Tim Tawa Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Jonah Cox Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——57%
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Blade Tidwell Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—53%56%
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Corbin Carroll Under 0.5 Home Runs
——20%88%
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Home Runs
——96%11%
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——53%
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Kohl Drake Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—51%52%
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Kohl Drake Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——51%51%
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Lars Nootbaar Under 0.5 Home Runs
——98%3%
Jose Fernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Drew Cavanaugh Over 1.5 Home Runs
——50%—
Drew Cavanaugh Under 1.5 Home Runs
——50%—
Drew Gilbert Under 1.5 Home Runs
——50%—
Nate Furman Over 1.5 Home Runs
——50%—
Nate Furman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——50%—
Drew Gilbert Over 1.5 Home Runs
——50%—
Drew Gilbert Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Ildemaro Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Tim Tawa Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Max Kepler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—80%15%
Blade Tidwell Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——47%46%
Jonah Cox Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—84%7%
Drew Cavanaugh Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Nate Furman Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Christian Koss Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Osleivis Basabe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—86%—
Shay Whitcomb Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
San Francisco Giants
1%36%100%50%
Turner Hill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———42%
Drew Cavanaugh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———42%
Shay Whitcomb Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 RBIs
40%———
Blade Tidwell Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——38%—
Nolan Arenado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
38%———
Corbin Carroll Over 5.5 Total Bases
36%———
Kohl Drake Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——33%—
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 RBIs
30%———
Nolan Arenado Over 2.5 Hits
25%———
San Francisco Giants spread plus 2.5
——99%22%
Bryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Home Runs
———21%
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
20%———
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.5
——100%19%
Total under 7.5
——100%18%
Total under 8.0
———17%
Max Kepler Under 1.5 Home Runs
——17%—
Lars Nootbaar Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%17%
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits
17%———
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Home Runs
——14%—
Drew Cavanaugh Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%8%
Turner Hill Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%8%
Tim Tawa Over 0.5 Home Runs
———13%
Corbin Carroll Over 4.5 Total Bases
12%———
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 RBIs
11%———
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 RBIs
11%———
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%———
Gabriel Moreno Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%9%
Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Nate Furman Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%8%
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Home Runs
——8%—
Max Kepler Over 0.5 Home Runs
——4%12%
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits
8%———
Jung Hoo Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Geraldo Perdomo Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%7%
Ildemaro Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 Hits
6%———
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——9%
Blade Tidwell Over 6.5 Strikeouts
5%———
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
San Francisco wins by over 3.5 runs
4%———
Kohl Drake Over 5.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits
3%———
Blade Tidwell Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—2%—
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
2%———
Kohl Drake Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—2%—
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
2%———
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Blade Tidwell Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Blade Tidwell Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Blade Tidwell Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Blade Tidwell Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Corbin Carroll Over 3.5 Hits
1%———
Kohl Drake Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Kohl Drake Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Kohl Drake Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.5
1%—0%—
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.5
——0%—
Turner Hill Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
0%———
Nolan Arenado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
San Francisco Giants spread minus 2.5
1%—100%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread98.9%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Arizona Diamondbacks

75.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (10:15 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If San Francisco wins the Arizona vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 10:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Arizona vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 10:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 28 at 10:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-28 at 10:15PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (10:15 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (10:15 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Arizona Diamondbacks: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 87.0¢ on Polymarket, 52.7¢ on ProphetX, 64.5¢ on Polymarket US; San Francisco Giants: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 49.8¢ on ProphetX, 35.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (10:15 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (10:15 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Arizona Diamondbacks at 75.8¢ implies about a 75.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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