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Live prediction market odds for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Arizona Diamondbacks Wins: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-29

This market resolved on 2026-08-29. Arizona Diamondbacks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.

About This Market

Arizona Diamondbacks vs.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Drew Cavanaugh Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Geraldo Perdomo Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Ildemaro Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
James McCann Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Max Kepler Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Mitch Bratt Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——99%—
Nate Furman Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Nolan Arenado Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Over 1.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Shay Whitcomb Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Tim Tawa Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Drew Gilbert Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Grant McCray Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jose Fernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Lars Nootbaar Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Osleivis Basabe Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Andrew Knizner Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Jonah Cox Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Jordan Lawlar Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Turner Hill Under 0.5 Home Runs
——97%99%
Bryce Eldridge Under 0.5 Home Runs
———97%
Jung Hoo Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%99%
Gabriel Moreno Under 0.5 Home Runs
———95%
Total under 10.5
———91%
Total under 9.5
———89%
Corbin Carroll Under 0.5 Home Runs
———88%
Rafael Devers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——85%85%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 3.5
1%——82%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.5
——70%91%
Total over 4.5
99%——80%
Total under 8.5
——55%92%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 2.5
——70%—
Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Osleivis Basabe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Total over 7.5
99%—53%79%
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Andrew Knizner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Nate Furman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Merrill Kelly Under 4.5 Strikeouts
———64%
Grant McCray Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Total over 6.5
99%—65%60%
Christian Koss Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Mitch Bratt Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——71%54%
Drew Cavanaugh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——62%—
Jordan Lawlar Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
James McCann Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Nate Furman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Max Kepler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.5
——59%60%
Jonah Cox Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Shay Whitcomb Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Turner Hill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Ildemaro Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Tim Tawa Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Jose Fernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Merrill Kelly Over 3.5 Strikeouts
———56%
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Total over 8.0
———55%
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Arizona DiamondbacksWINNER
99%53%54%96%
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Total over 5.5
99%——54%
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Drew Gilbert Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 2.5
——80%22%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 2.5
1%—20%82%
Drew Gilbert Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Jose Fernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Jonah Cox Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Mitch Bratt Over 1.5 Strikeouts
——50%—
Mitch Bratt Over 2.5 Strikeouts
——50%—
Mitch Bratt Over 6.5 Strikeouts
——50%—
Mitch Bratt Over 7.5 Strikeouts
——50%—
Mitch Bratt Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——50%—
Mitch Bratt Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——50%—
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Total under 5.5
———50%
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Tim Tawa Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
James McCann Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Turner Hill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Total under 8.0
———47%
Max Kepler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Merrill Kelly Under 3.5 Strikeouts
———47%
Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
San Francisco Giants
1%47%46%10%
Drew Cavanaugh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Jordan Lawlar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Nate Furman Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Osleivis Basabe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Shay Whitcomb Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Andrew Knizner Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Grant McCray Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.5
——41%44%
Mitch Bratt Over 3.5 Strikeouts
——30%55%
Total under 6.5
——35%50%
Christian Koss Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———42%
Osleivis Basabe Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Nate Furman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Shay Whitcomb Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Merrill Kelly Over 4.5 Strikeouts
———37%
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———37%
Total under 7.5
——47%25%
Total under 4.5
———31%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 2.5
——30%—
Total over 8.5
1%—45%12%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 3.5
———23%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.5
1%—30%13%
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Home Runs
——15%21%
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Home Runs
———16%
Bryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Home Runs
———14%
Total over 9.5
1%——14%
Total over 10.5
1%——12%
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Jose Fernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Lars Nootbaar Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Jordan Lawlar Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Andrew Knizner Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Drew Cavanaugh Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Gabriel Moreno Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
James McCann Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Nate Furman Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Jung Hoo Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs
——9%9%
Geraldo Perdomo Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Grant McCray Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Osleivis Basabe Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Tim Tawa Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Ildemaro Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Turner Hill Over 0.5 Home Runs
——3%8%
Max Kepler Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs
——4%—
Turner Hill Under 1.5 Home Runs
——2%—
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Mitch Bratt Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Over 11.5 runs scored
1%———
Turner Hill Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread45.8%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Arizona Diamondbacks

75.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Arizona wins the Arizona vs San Francisco professional baseball game 1 of the double header originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Arizona vs San Francisco professional baseball game 1 of the double header originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 29 at 10:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-29 at 10:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Arizona Diamondbacks: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 54.0¢ on Polymarket, 95.7¢ on ProphetX, 53.3¢ on Polymarket US; San Francisco Giants: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 46.0¢ on Polymarket, 10.1¢ on ProphetX, 46.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 45.8 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Arizona Diamondbacks at 75.5¢ implies about a 75.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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