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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Chicago Cubs Wins: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs (7:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-15

This market resolved on 2026-09-15. Chicago Cubs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 57%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Drake Baldwin Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Kevin Gausman Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	100%	—
Martin Perez Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	100%	—
Martin Perez Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	100%	—
Matt Olson Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Mauricio Dubon Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Mauricio Dubon Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Michael Harris II Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Michael Harris II Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Michael Harris II Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Pedro Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Drake Baldwin Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Drake Baldwin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	51%	—
Ozzie Albies Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	51%	—
Ozzie Albies Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	51%	—
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	51%	—
Martin Perez Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	99%	—
Alex Bregman Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Kevin Gausman Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	99%	—
Matt Olson Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Matt Olson Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Mauricio Dubon Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	—
Mauricio Dubon Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Mauricio Dubon Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Mauricio Dubon Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Michael Busch Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Michael Busch Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Michael Busch Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Michael Busch Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Michael Busch Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Michael Harris II Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Nico Hoerner Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Ozzie Albies Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Seiya Suzuki Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Chicago Cubs spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	97%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	97%	—
Atlanta Braves spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	97%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	94%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	—	89%
Atlanta Braves spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	89%
Drake Baldwin Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	87%
Michael Harris II Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	87%
Alex Bregman Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	88%
Austin Riley Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	85%
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	85%
Alex Bregman Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Nico Hoerner Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Matt Olson Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	79%	82%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	79%	82%
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	77%	—	—	51%	—
Atlanta Braves spread plus 2.5	—	—	66%	73%	98%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	69%	76%
BJ Murray Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	68%
Atlanta Braves spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	68%
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	53%
Atlanta Braves spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	66%
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	48%
Ozzie Albies Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	64%
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	47%
Atlanta Braves spread plus 1.5	—	—	62%	56%	92%
Carson Kelly Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	61%
Mike Yastrzemski Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	61%
Sean Murphy Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	61%
Total over 7.5	100%	—	43%	61%	72%
Austin Riley Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	60%
Mauricio Dubon Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	60%
Total under 9.0	—	—	—	—	59%
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	58%
Martin Perez Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	54%	62%
Matt Shaw Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	57%
Chicago CubsWINNER	1%	61%	57%	100%	12%
Tyrone Taylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	56%
Total under 8.5	—	—	51%	100%	60%
Drake Baldwin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	51%	54%
Matt Olson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	54%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	54%
Matt Olson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	51%	54%
Drake Baldwin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	53%
Michael Harris II Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	53%
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	53%
Kevin Gausman Over 5.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	99%	52%
Ozzie Albies Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	11%	91%
Atlanta Braves spread minus 2.5	100%	—	—	20%	82%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5	—	—	66%	8%	51%
Michael Harris II Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	51%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	51%
Tyrone Taylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	51%
Kevin Gausman Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	1%	50%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	79%	21%
Total over 8.5	100%	—	50%	50%	45%
Matt Olson Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	79%	20%
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	49%
Mauricio Dubon Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	49%
Sean Murphy Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	49%
Michael Busch Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	3%	94%
Martin Perez Over 3.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	54%	43%
Matt Shaw Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	48%
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	43%	—	—	51%	52%
Mike Yastrzemski Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	47%
Total over 9.0	—	—	—	—	46%
Atlanta Braves	99%	40%	43%	100%	92%
BJ Murray Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	43%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	20%	—	—	1%	60%
Total under 7.5	—	—	57%	39%	31%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	39%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.5	1%	—	39%	44%	11%
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	56%
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	21%	—	—	1%	54%
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	21%	—	—	51%	51%
Matt Olson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	35%	—	—	1%	—
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	35%	—	—	19%	57%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	—	34%
Atlanta Braves spread minus 1.5	100%	—	34%	29%	55%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	44%	22%
Total over 9.5	1%	—	—	31%	28%
Ozzie Albies Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	15%	—	—	51%	44%
Seiya Suzuki Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	35%	—	—	19%	—
Ozzie Albies Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	23%	—	—	51%	—
Michael Busch Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	21%	—	—	1%	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	—	99%	21%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 2.5	1%	—	34%	1%	6%
Nico Hoerner Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home Runs	15%	—	—	1%	19%
Ozzie Albies Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	16%	—	—	51%	—
Seiya Suzuki Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	13%	—	—	19%	—
Drake Baldwin Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	—	99%	15%
Michael Harris II Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	15%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	14%
Tyrone Taylor Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	14%
Sean Murphy Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	14%
Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	13%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	13%
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	13%	—	—	51%	—
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Home Runs	4%	—	—	97%	13%
Drake Baldwin Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	13%	—	—	51%	—
Mauricio Dubon Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	12%
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Home Runs	9%	—	—	1%	15%
Ozzie Albies Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	—	11%	12%
Pedro Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	11%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	11%	—	—	1%	—
Matt Shaw Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	10%
Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	10%
Michael Busch Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	10%	—	—	1%	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	10%	—	—	1%	—
Ozzie Albies Over 1.5 Home Runs	9%	—	—	0%	—
Matt Olson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	8%	—	—	1%	—
Atlanta Braves spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	7%
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	6%	—	—	51%	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	4%	—	—	1%	—
Alex Bregman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	3%	—	—	1%	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	3%	—
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	0%	—
Kevin Gausman Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	1%	—
Kevin Gausman Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	1%	—
Matt Olson Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Mauricio Dubon Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Michael Busch Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Michael Harris II Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Michael Harris II Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Nico Hoerner Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Nico Hoerner Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Ozzie Albies Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Seiya Suzuki Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Martin Perez Over 2.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	1%	—
Kevin Gausman Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	1%	—
Matt Olson Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	0%	—
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	0%	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	0%	—
Michael Harris II Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Drake Baldwin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Matt Olson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Mauricio Dubon Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Mauricio Dubon Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Michael Harris II Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Ozzie Albies Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Atlanta wins by over 3.5 runs	—	—	—	—	—
Austin Riley Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Austin Riley Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Chicago C wins by over 3.5 runs	—	—	—	—	—
Over 12.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 13.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 3.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 4.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 10.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 11.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 5.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 6.5	—	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Atlanta wins the Atlanta vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Atlanta vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Atlanta Braves in Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for September 15 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-15 at 7:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs (7:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs (7:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Chicago Cubs: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 12.4¢ on ProphetX, 60.5¢ on Polymarket US, 57.0¢ on Novig; Atlanta Braves: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 92.5¢ on ProphetX, 39.5¢ on Polymarket US, 43.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs (7:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs (7:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Chicago Cubs at 46.2¢ implies about a 46.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Chicago Cubs Wins: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs (7:40 PM ET)

Chicago Cubs Wins: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs (7:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Chicago Cubs Wins: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs (7:40 PM ET)

Chicago Cubs Wins: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs (7:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs (7:40 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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