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Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics (10:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Baltimore Orioles Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics (10:05 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-29

This market resolved on 2026-08-29. Baltimore Orioles was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 86%.

About This Market

Baltimore Orioles vs.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics (10:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Jeff McNeil Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Donovan Walton Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Henry Bolte Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jack Perkins Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Jack Perkins Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Jack Perkins Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Jack Perkins Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 4.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 5.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 6.5 runs scored
99%———
Shane Baz Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Shane Baz Over 1.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Shane Baz Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Shane Baz Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——99%—
Zack Gelof Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Carlos Cortes Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jonah Heim Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Tommy White Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Samuel Basallo Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Home Runs
———96%
Blaze Alexander Under 0.5 Home Runs
———93%
Zack Gelof Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%99%
Max Muncy Under 0.5 Home Runs
———91%
Jeff McNeil Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%99%
Lawrence Butler Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%99%
Baltimore OriolesWINNER
99%85%58%87%
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs
———81%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5
——81%—
Shane Baz Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——80%—
Shane Baz Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——80%—
Athletics spread plus 3.5
———78%
Athletics spread plus 2.5
——65%83%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5
——73%—
Carlos Cortes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Gunnar Henderson Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Total under 7.5
———64%
Total under 9.5
——47%80%
Alika Williams Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5
99%—47%79%
Jonah Heim Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Shane Baz Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——1%62%
Carlos Cortes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Colton Cowser Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Blaze Alexander Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Jeff McNeil Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Max Muncy Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
57%——58%
Jack Perkins Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%——57%
Donovan Walton Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Henry Bolte Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Total under 10.5
——56%—
Pete Alonso Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Tommy White Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Zack Gelof Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Total under 10.0
———52%
Zack Gelof Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Lawrence Butler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Total under 8.5
——38%66%
Samuel Basallo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Tommy White Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——51%
Total over 10.0
———51%
Max Muncy Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Total over 8.5
1%—62%38%
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Blaze Alexander Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Henry Bolte Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Donovan Walton Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Jeff McNeil Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Alika Williams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Jonah Heim Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Shane Baz Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——1%45%
Jack Perkins Under 5.5 Strikeouts
———45%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Total over 10.5
1%—44%—
Carlos Cortes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Total over 9.5
1%—44%43%
Colton Cowser Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Total over 7.5
99%——40%
Shane Baz Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—19%60%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 RBIs
39%———
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5
1%—36%41%
Carlos Cortes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———38%
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———38%
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
36%——39%
Athletics spread plus 1.5
——53%21%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases
35%———
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
34%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits
30%———
Shane Baz Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%—19%40%
Athletics spread minus 1.5
1%—28%—
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——27%
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——27%
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
26%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Total Bases
24%———
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
22%———
Shane Baz Over 6.5 Strikeouts
21%—20%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Total Bases
20%———
Athletics spread minus 2.5
1%—20%—
Max Muncy Over 0.5 Home Runs
———19%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 RBIs
19%———
Athletics
1%15%100%22%
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Home Runs
———16%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 RBIs
16%———
Blaze Alexander Over 0.5 Home Runs
———14%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits
14%———
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs
———14%
Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Home Runs
———13%
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs
———13%
Zack Gelof Over 0.5 Home Runs
——13%10%
Shane Baz Over 7.5 Strikeouts
3%—20%—
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Total Bases
11%———
Pete Alonso Over 5.5 Total Bases
11%———
Carlos Cortes Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Jonah Heim Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Tommy White Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits
10%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%——14%
Lawrence Butler Over 0.5 Home Runs
——12%7%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
9%———
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
9%———
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 RBIs
9%———
Donovan Walton Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Jeff McNeil Over 0.5 Home Runs
——11%6%
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits
8%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 RBIs
8%———
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Henry Bolte Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Total Bases
7%———
Pete Alonso Over 6.5 Total Bases
7%———
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
3%———
Shane Baz Over 8.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits
2%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 RBIs
2%———
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases
2%———
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits
2%———
Shane Baz Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—2%—
Jeff McNeil Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Zack Gelof Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
A's wins by over 3.5 runs
1%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Jack Perkins Over 1.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Jack Perkins Over 10.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Jack Perkins Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Jack Perkins Over 2.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Jack Perkins Over 3.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Jack Perkins Over 4.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Jack Perkins Over 5.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Jack Perkins Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Jack Perkins Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Jack Perkins Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Jack Perkins Over 9.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Over 11.5 runs scored
1%———
Over 12.5 runs scored
1%———
Over 13.5 runs scored
1%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Home Runs
1%———
Shane Baz Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Shane Baz Over 2.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Shane Baz Over 3.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Shane Baz Over 4.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Shane Baz Over 5.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Lawrence Butler Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Total Bases
0%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 5.5 Total Bases
0%———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread98.9%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Baltimore Orioles

82.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics (10:05 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Baltimore wins the Baltimore vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 10:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Baltimore vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 10:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Athletics, scheduled for August 29 at 10:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Baltimore Orioles vs Athletics MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-29 at 10:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics (10:05 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics (10:05 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Baltimore Orioles: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 58.0¢ on Polymarket, 87.4¢ on ProphetX, 85.0¢ on Polymarket US; Athletics: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 22.3¢ on ProphetX, 15.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics (10:05 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics (10:05 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Baltimore Orioles at 82.3¢ implies about a 82.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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