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Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins (1:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Minnesota Twins Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins (1:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-12

This market resolved on 2026-08-12. Minnesota Twins was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.

About This Market

Baltimore Orioles vs.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins (1:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Zebby Matthews Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Alan Roden Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Christian Franklin Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs
——1%99%
Trevor Larnach Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%98%
Brooks Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%97%
Kaelen Culpepper Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%96%
Tyler O'Neill Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%96%
Total over 5.5
99%——92%
Zebby Matthews Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——99%92%
Ryan Jeffers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——95%87%
Zebby Matthews Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—91%—
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5
———90%
Shane Baz Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——81%99%
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Kody Clemens Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%92%
Luke Keaschall Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Ryan Kreidler Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Total over 4.5
99%——89%
Josh Bell Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%94%
Victor Caratini Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%98%
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——83%94%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%97%
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%93%
Total over 8.5
99%—100%86%
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%86%
Royce Lewis Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%91%
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%91%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5
——0%84%
Total over 6.5
99%——81%
Shane Baz Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——81%—
Shane Baz Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——81%—
Carlos Narvaez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Trevor Larnach Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Tyler O'Neill Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
98%——57%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5
———77%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5
——85%68%
Total over 10.5
99%—100%74%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5
———73%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 4.5
———72%
Total over 9.5
99%—100%71%
Zebby Matthews Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%—1%69%
Victor Caratini Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Christian Franklin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——66%
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
67%——65%
Colton Cowser Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Alan Roden Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——64%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5
——78%51%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0
———64%
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Zebby Matthews Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%——64%
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Total over 7.5
99%—100%63%
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Total under 12.5
———63%
Gunnar Henderson Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Kaelen Culpepper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——60%
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Zebby Matthews Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——81%39%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——59%
Total over 8.0
———59%
Alan Roden Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——58%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0
———58%
Tyler O'Neill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——58%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——58%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.0
———57%
Total over 11.5
99%——57%
Minnesota TwinsWINNER
99%92%99%22%
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——56%
Ryan Kreidler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——56%
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Ryan Kreidler Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Trevor Larnach Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——55%
Trevor Larnach Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Total under 9.0
———54%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5
1%—85%23%
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——10%98%
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
49%——58%
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
52%——52%
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
50%——53%
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Christian Franklin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Total over 9.0
———51%
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—91%10%
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——50%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5
——15%85%
Alan Roden Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Total under 11.5
———49%
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——49%
Tyler O'Neill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Kaelen Culpepper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.0
———47%
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Christian Franklin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——46%
Colton Cowser Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Victor Caratini Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——45%
Baltimore Orioles
1%9%1%80%
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
38%——50%
Total over 12.5
1%——44%
Total under 10.5
——0%43%
Total under 8.0
———43%
Alan Roden Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Total under 7.5
——0%40%
Shane Baz Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%——39%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5
1%—22%55%
Christian Franklin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
34%——43%
Total under 9.5
——0%33%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 4.5
———32%
Total under 6.5
———30%
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
29%———
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——28%
Total under 8.5
——0%24%
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
24%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
23%———
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5
99%—100%21%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5
1%——21%
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——19%
Total under 5.5
———19%
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Home Runs
———18%
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%18%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%—17%17%
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—16%15%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5
2%—15%56%
Total under 4.5
———15%
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—13%19%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 4.5
———13%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——12%
Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%10%
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Home Runs
——5%14%
Zebby Matthews Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——10%—
Royce Lewis Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——16%
Luke Keaschall Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——8%
Ryan Kreidler Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——8%
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs
8%———
Trevor Larnach Over 1.5 Home Runs
8%———
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%——11%
Christian Franklin Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%——11%
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——12%
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs
6%——9%
Alan Roden Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——11%
Tyler O'Neill Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——12%
Trevor Larnach Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——10%
Victor Caratini Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——10%
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Tyler O'Neill Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Shane Baz Over 2.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Shane Baz Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Shane Baz Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Shane Baz Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Shane Baz Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Shane Baz Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Zebby Matthews Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Zebby Matthews Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Zebby Matthews Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Ryan Kreidler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Home Runs
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread78.7%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Minnesota Twins

78.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins (1:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Minnesota wins the Baltimore vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Baltimore vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for August 12 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-12 at 1:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins (1:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins (1:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Minnesota Twins: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket, 22.3¢ on ProphetX, 91.5¢ on Polymarket US; Baltimore Orioles: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket, 79.7¢ on ProphetX, 8.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins (1:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 78.7 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins (1:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Minnesota Twins at 78.0¢ implies about a 78.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?
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