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Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Minnesota Twins Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-10

This market resolved on 2026-08-10. Minnesota Twins was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Baltimore Orioles vs.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-10. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Minnesota TwinsWINNER
99%100%100%99%
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Dean Kremer Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Dean Kremer Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Luke Keaschall Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%99%
Over 12.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 4.5 runs scored
99%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Trevor Rogers Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Trevor Rogers Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Austin Martin Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%99%
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%99%
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%99%
Tyler O'Neill Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Victor Caratini Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Home Runs
——97%—
Minnesota Twins spread plus 4.5
———96%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5
———96%
Brooks Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs
———93%
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%99%
Royce Lewis Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%99%
Kody Clemens Under 0.5 Home Runs
——98%86%
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%96%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%88%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5
——75%98%
Total over 5.5
99%——86%
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———85%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5
99%——83%
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——83%99%
Dean Kremer Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—82%—
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———80%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5
——65%91%
Ryan Kreidler Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———77%
Kaelen Culpepper Under 0.5 Home Runs
——49%99%
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———73%
Ryan Jeffers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——48%99%
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———72%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.0
———71%
Dean Kremer Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—43%99%
Total over 6.5
99%——70%
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 4.5
———69%
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Austin Martin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Ryan Kreidler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Total over 8.5
99%—54%80%
Kaelen Culpepper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5
99%—42%87%
Dean Kremer Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%——64%
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.0
———64%
Dean Kremer Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——57%70%
Victor Caratini Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Total over 9.5
99%—44%80%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5
99%—32%91%
Tyler O'Neill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Total over 11.5
99%——60%
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Total over 10.5
99%——58%
Total over 7.5
99%—60%53%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Tyler O'Neill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Total over 9.0
———54%
Trevor Rogers Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—55%53%
Total under 8.0
———54%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Total under 11.5
———51%
Total over 8.0
———51%
Total under 9.0
———51%
Victor Caratini Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Josh Bell Under 0.5 Home Runs
——48%99%
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Trevor Rogers Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——45%49%
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Total under 10.5
———46%
Total under 7.5
——40%50%
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Kaelen Culpepper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5
——68%20%
Austin Martin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——44%
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Ryan Kreidler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5
———41%
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0
———41%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
50%——31%
Total under 9.5
——56%24%
Dean Kremer Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%39%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5
——58%16%
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———35%
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———35%
Total under 8.5
——46%24%
Total under 6.5
———34%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0
———33%
Ryan Kreidler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———32%
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———30%
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———30%
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Home Runs
——53%7%
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Home Runs
——52%7%
Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Home Runs
——52%7%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5
———26%
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
25%———
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
24%———
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5
1%—35%11%
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
22%———
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs
———18%
Dean Kremer Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——18%—
Total under 5.5
———17%
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—20%12%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5
1%—25%7%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—17%5%
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Home Runs
——13%9%
Royce Lewis Over 0.5 Home Runs
——13%8%
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Tyler O'Neill Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——9%
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs
——51%9%
Colton Cowser Under 1.5 Home Runs
——9%—
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——51%8%
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Home Runs
——2%14%
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
8%———
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 4.5
———8%
Victor Caratini Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Austin Martin Over 0.5 Home Runs
——51%7%
Luke Keaschall Over 0.5 Home Runs
——51%6%
Ryan Kreidler Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs
———4%
Baltimore Orioles
1%1%100%3%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—3%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Dean Kremer Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Dean Kremer Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Trevor Rogers Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Trevor Rogers Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Trevor Rogers Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Trevor Rogers Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Austin Martin Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Carlos Narvaez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Kaelen Culpepper Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Ryan Kreidler Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Trevor Rogers Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Trevor Rogers Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Tyler O'Neill Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Austin Martin Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Carlos Narvaez Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Colton Cowser Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Kaelen Culpepper Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Ryan Kreidler Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Ryan Kreidler Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Tyler O'Neill Over 1.5 Home Runs
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread99.4%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Minnesota Twins

99.4% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Minnesota wins the Baltimore vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 10, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Baltimore vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 10, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for August 10 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-10 at 7:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Minnesota Twins: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Baltimore Orioles: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 3.1¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 99.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Minnesota Twins at 99.4¢ implies about a 99.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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