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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Baltimore Orioles Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-14

This market resolved on 2026-09-14. Baltimore Orioles was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	—
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	—
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	97%
New York Mets spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	97%
New York Mets spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	97%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	99%	95%
Total under 8.5	—	—	80%	93%	95%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	92%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	86%	98%
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	87%	92%
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	85%	93%
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	97%
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	87%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	—	84%
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	80%	83%
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	81%
Brandon Young Over 1.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	81%	—
Brandon Young Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	81%	—
Jonah Tong Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	81%	—
Jonah Tong Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	81%	—
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	80%
Samuel Basallo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	79%
Total under 7.5	—	—	61%	100%	96%
New York Mets spread plus 1.5	—	—	69%	100%	83%
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	74%	76%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	63%
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	60%
New York Mets spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	67%
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	52%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5	—	—	66%	2%	95%
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	65%
Total over 7.0	—	—	—	—	65%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
Total under 5.5	—	—	52%	—	75%
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	62%
Heston Kjerstad Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
Total under 9.0	—	—	—	—	62%
Baltimore OriolesWINNER	99%	61%	39%	100%	97%
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	59%
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	59%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	56%
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	56%
Brandon Young Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	38%	72%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	54%
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	53%
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	52%
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	52%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	51%
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	50%
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	87%	13%
Jonah Tong Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	51%	49%
New York Mets spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	50%
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	74%	25%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	—	81%	17%
New York Mets spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	20%	78%
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	49%
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	47%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	47%
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Total over 9.5	1%	—	—	86%	6%
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	45%
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	45%
Total over 9.0	—	—	—	—	44%
Heston Kjerstad Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	43%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	43%	—	—	19%	55%
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	43%	—	—	19%	54%
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	43%
Total under 7.0	—	—	—	—	40%
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	60%
New York Mets	1%	40%	62%	100%	6%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	39%
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	27%	—	—	51%	51%
Total over 5.5	1%	—	49%	—	28%
Jonah Tong Over 5.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	15%	61%
Brandon Young Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	38%	36%
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	54%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	19%	54%
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	49%
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	34%	—	—	1%	—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	47%
Total over 4.5	1%	—	30%	—	36%
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	45%
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	35%	—	—	19%	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	27%	—	—	51%	—
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5	1%	—	31%	100%	20%
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	31%	—	—	19%	—
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	28%	—	—	19%	—
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	20%	26%
New York Mets spread minus 1.5	1%	—	35%	100%	9%
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	22%
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	24%
Juan Soto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	24%	—	—	19%	—
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs	4%	—	—	80%	20%
Total over 8.5	1%	—	20%	93%	8%
Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	20%
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	19%	—	—	19%	54%
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	—	19%	—
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	17%	—	—	19%	—
Jonah Tong Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	18%	—
Jonah Tong Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	18%	—
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	18%	—	—	1%	—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	16%
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	17%	—	—	1%	—
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	15%
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	15%	—	—	1%	—
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	15%
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	15%
Total over 7.5	1%	—	39%	2%	15%
Bo Bichette Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	10%	—	—	19%	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	—	—	1%	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	9%	—	—	19%	—
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	14%
Carson Benge Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	8%	—	—	19%	—
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	15%	11%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	13%
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	12%
Juan Soto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	12%	—	—	1%	—
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	19%	11%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	19%	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	19%	—
Heston Kjerstad Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	10%
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	10%	—	—	1%	—
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	10%
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	9%	—	—	0%	—
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	9%	—	—	1%	—
New York Mets spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	99%	9%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	8%
New York Mets spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	8%
Brandon Young Over 7.5 Strikeouts	7%	—	—	1%	—
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	0%	—
Brandon Young Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	1%	—
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	0%	—
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 4.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Brandon Young Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs	—	—	—	—	—
Brandon Young Over 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Brandon Young Over 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Jonah Tong Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs	—	—	—	—	—
Jonah Tong Over 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Jonah Tong Over 8.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Jonah Tong Over 9.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
New York Mets spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Pete Alonso Over 5.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 10.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 11.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 12.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 6.5	—	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Baltimore wins the Baltimore vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Baltimore vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Baltimore Orioles in Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Mets, scheduled for September 14 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-14 at 7:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Baltimore Orioles: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 96.5¢ on ProphetX, 60.5¢ on Polymarket US, 38.5¢ on Novig; New York Mets: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 6.2¢ on ProphetX, 39.5¢ on Polymarket US, 61.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Baltimore Orioles at 78.9¢ implies about a 78.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Baltimore Orioles Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

Baltimore Orioles Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Baltimore Orioles Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

Baltimore Orioles Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

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