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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

New York Mets Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-15

This market resolved on 2026-09-15. New York Mets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 50%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Jared Young Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	51%	—
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	51%	—
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	51%	—
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	51%	—
Sean Manaea Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	99%	—
Shane Baz Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	99%	—
Shane Baz Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	99%	—
A.J. Ewing Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
A.J. Ewing Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
A.J. Ewing Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
A.J. Ewing Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Bo Bichette Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Carson Benge Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Coby Mayo Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Coby Mayo Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Coby Mayo Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Francisco Lindor Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Francisco Lindor Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Gunnar Henderson Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Gunnar Henderson Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jared Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jared Young Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jared Young Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jared Young Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jared Young Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	—
Juan Soto Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Juan Soto Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Leody Taveras Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Leody Taveras Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Leody Taveras Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Pete Alonso Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Pete Alonso Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Sean Manaea Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	99%	—
New York Mets spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	99%	92%
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	94%
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	92%
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	92%	—	—	51%	—
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	91%
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	90%
New York Mets spread plus 1.5	—	—	—	97%	79%
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	—	87%
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	84%	82%
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	82%
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	78%	85%
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	80%	80%
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	80%
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	—	79%
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	78%
Heston Kjerstad Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	78%
Heston Kjerstad Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	74%
Jeremiah Jackson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	74%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	100%	71%
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	60%
Jeremiah Jackson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	66%
New York Mets spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	65%
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	64%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Rece Hinds Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Sean Manaea Over 5.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	99%	63%
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	62%
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5	99%	—	—	97%	25%
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	60%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	59%
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	59%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	58%
Total over 7.5	100%	—	55%	100%	60%
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	51%	56%
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	56%
Total over 6.5	100%	—	—	—	56%
Total under 9.5	—	—	49%	100%	62%
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	55%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5	—	—	64%	0%	46%
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	54%
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	55%	—	—	51%	53%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	—	54%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	54%
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	53%
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	53%
Total over 8.5	100%	—	46%	100%	60%
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	51%	52%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	52%
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	80%	23%
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	51%
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	84%	19%
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	51%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	50%
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	50%
New York MetsWINNER	1%	50%	55%	100%	4%
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	50%
Shane Baz Over 4.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	45%	54%
Total under 8.5	—	—	54%	100%	44%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	—	49%
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	48%
New York Mets spread minus 1.5	1%	—	36%	0%	60%
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	18%	77%
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	48%
New York Mets spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	47%
Baltimore Orioles	100%	50%	45%	100%	100%
Shane Baz Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	45%	49%
Sean Manaea Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	1%	47%
Total over 9.5	100%	—	51%	100%	42%
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	44%	—	—	1%	47%
Total under 7.5	—	—	46%	100%	44%
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	45%
Sean Manaea Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	1%	44%
Jeremiah Jackson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	44%
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	44%
Rece Hinds Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	43%
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%	42%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	40%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	17%	—	—	51%	56%
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	50%
New York Mets spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	100%	34%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	2%	—	—	1%	53%
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	—	99%	27%
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home Runs	7%	—	—	78%	23%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	20%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	23%	12%
Rece Hinds Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	17%
Jeremiah Jackson Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	16%
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	11%
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	—	—	51%	—
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	14%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs	12%	—	—	1%	13%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	12%
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	11%
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	11%	—	—	1%	—
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	—	99%	11%
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	11%
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	11%
Bo Bichette Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	10%	—	—	1%	—
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs	10%	—	—	0%	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	10%	—	—	1%	—
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	10%	—	—	51%	—
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	9%
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs	8%	—	—	0%	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	7%	—	—	51%	—
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	1%	11%
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	5%	—	—	1%	—
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	4%	—	—	1%	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	3%	—	—	1%	—
A.J. Ewing Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
A.J. Ewing Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Bo Bichette Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Bo Bichette Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Carson Benge Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Carson Benge Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Coby Mayo Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Coby Mayo Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Jared Young Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Jared Young Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Jared Young Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Juan Soto Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Juan Soto Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Juan Soto Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Leody Taveras Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Pete Alonso Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Pete Alonso Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Sean Manaea Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	1%	—
Shane Baz Over 3.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	1%	—
Shane Baz Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	1%	—
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	0%	—
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs	—	—	—	—	—
New York Mets spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Over 12.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 3.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 10.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 11.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 4.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 5.5	—	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If New York M wins the Baltimore vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Baltimore vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

New York Mets in Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Mets, scheduled for September 15 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-15 at 7:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are New York Mets: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 4.1¢ on ProphetX, 50.0¢ on Polymarket US, 55.0¢ on Novig; Baltimore Orioles: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.5¢ on ProphetX, 49.5¢ on Polymarket US, 45.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 99.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, New York Mets at 41.9¢ implies about a 41.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

New York Mets Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

New York Mets Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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New York Mets Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

New York Mets Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

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Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

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