About This Market
Baltimore Orioles vs.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (7:15 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (7:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-26
This market resolved on 2026-09-26. New York Yankees was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 59%.
Baltimore Orioles vs.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (7:15 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
New York YankeesWINNER | 1% | 59% | 97% |
Baltimore Orioles | 99% | 42% | 3% |
New York Yankees
52.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf Baltimore wins the Baltimore vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Baltimore vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 26 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-26 at 7:15PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are New York Yankees: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 97.4¢ on Polymarket, 58.5¢ on Polymarket US; Baltimore Orioles: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 2.6¢ on Polymarket, 41.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 96.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, New York Yankees at 52.3¢ implies about a 52.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.