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Live prediction market odds for Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Boston Red Sox Wins: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-04

This market resolved on 2026-09-04. Boston Red Sox was the officially declared outcome.

About This Market

Boston Red Sox vs.

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-04. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

3 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
ProphetX
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Home Runs
—100%—
Mickey Gasper Over 1.5 Home Runs
—100%—
Shane Baz Over 2.5 Strikeouts
100%100%—
Shane Baz Over 3.5 Strikeouts
100%100%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Home Runs
—99%—
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Home Runs
—99%—
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Home Runs
—97%—
Mickey Gasper Under 1.5 Home Runs
—97%—
Roman Anthony Under 1.5 Home Runs
—97%—
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Home Runs
—97%—
Mickey Gasper Under 0.5 Home Runs
—0%91%
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%90%—
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs
—88%91%
Caleb Durbin Under 0.5 Home Runs
—81%96%
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Home Runs
—81%95%
Adley Rutschman Under 0.5 Home Runs
—86%89%
Total under 10.5
——87%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5
——85%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 3.5
——85%
Roman Anthony Under 0.5 Home Runs
—83%87%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Home Runs
—82%86%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 2.5
—79%89%
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs
—82%84%
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs
—80%85%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.5
—78%87%
Wilyer Abreu Under 0.5 Home Runs
—81%83%
Total under 8.5
—72%90%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5
——80%
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Home Runs
—80%—
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——74%
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—0%74%
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——73%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5
—65%82%
Total under 6.5
——72%
Shane Baz Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——65%
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——64%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.0
——63%
Total under 9.5
—61%64%
Eli White Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——62%
Trevor Story Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——62%
Jarren Duran Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——60%
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——59%
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——59%
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—0%58%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—0%58%
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—0%58%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5
—52%63%
Shane Baz Over 4.5 Strikeouts
100%100%57%
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—0%57%
Blaze Alexander Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——56%
Mickey Gasper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—1%55%
Ranger Suarez Under 5.5 Strikeouts
—53%56%
Total under 7.5
—47%60%
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.0
——54%
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——54%
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—0%54%
Total over 8.0
——53%
Blaze Alexander Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——53%
Total over 9.0
——53%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0
——53%
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—0%53%
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—0%52%
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——52%
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——52%
Total under 9.0
——52%
Mickey Gasper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—99%51%
Total under 8.0
——51%
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs
—80%19%
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——48%
Roman Anthony Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—0%48%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
25%50%48%
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%50%47%
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——47%
Ranger Suarez Over 5.5 Strikeouts
23%53%47%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——47%
Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——46%
Trevor Story Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——46%
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—0%45%
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——45%
Shane Baz Under 4.5 Strikeouts
—0%44%
Eli White Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——44%
Eli White Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——40%
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——40%
Ranger Suarez Under 4.5 Strikeouts
—1%40%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0
——39%
Roman Anthony Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
20%—57%
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
24%—53%
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.5
1%48%25%
Roman Anthony Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
36%——
Total over 7.5
2%53%35%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
13%—51%
Total over 8.5
1%28%32%
Total over 9.5
1%39%10%
Boston Red Sox spread minus 2.5
3%35%22%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5
1%22%22%
Ranger Suarez Over 3.5 Strikeouts
26%18%—
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
21%——
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
20%——
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Home Runs
7%20%20%
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%18%20%
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Home Runs
—19%—
Roman Anthony Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%19%—
Wilyer Abreu Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%——
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs
—19%18%
Ranger Suarez Over 4.5 Strikeouts
8%18%65%
Boston Red Sox spread minus 4.5
——18%
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
18%——
Luis Robert Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
——17%
Roman Anthony Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%17%17%
Jarren Duran Over 0.5 Home Runs
——17%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5
1%17%15%
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%——
Wilyer Abreu Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%——
Mickey Gasper Over 0.5 Home Runs
—100%16%
Adley Rutschman Over 0.5 Home Runs
—14%14%
Ranger Suarez Over 6.5 Strikeouts
9%18%—
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs
—19%7%
Trevor Story Over 0.5 Home Runs
——12%
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%——
Blaze Alexander Over 0.5 Home Runs
——11%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%11%13%
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
11%——
Roman Anthony Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
11%——
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——10%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Home Runs
—10%—
Eli White Over 0.5 Home Runs
——10%
Nick Sogard Over 0.5 Home Runs
——10%
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%18%8%
Caleb Durbin Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
8%——
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
8%——
Roman Anthony Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
8%——
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
8%——
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs
—7%7%
Roman Anthony Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
5%——
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%4%—
Wilyer Abreu Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
4%——
Ranger Suarez Over 7.5 Strikeouts
4%99%—
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Home Runs
—3%—
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%3%—
Caleb Durbin Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
3%——
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Home Runs
—2%—
Caleb Durbin Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%——
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%——
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%1%—
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Home Runs
—1%—
Ranger Suarez Under 3.5 Strikeouts
—1%—
Ranger Suarez Under 6.5 Strikeouts
—1%—
Ranger Suarez Under 7.5 Strikeouts
—1%—
Shane Baz Under 6.5 Strikeouts
—1%—
Shane Baz Under 7.5 Strikeouts
—1%—
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Home Runs
—0%—
Shane Baz Under 2.5 Strikeouts
—0%—
Shane Baz Under 3.5 Strikeouts
—0%—
Baltimore Orioles
———
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs
———
Boston Red SoxWINNER
———
Boston wins by over 3.5 runs
———
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Hits
———
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Hits
———
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Caleb Durbin Over 2.5 Hits
———
Caleb Durbin Over 3.5 Hits
———
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits
———
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits
———
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits
———
Over 2.5 runs scored
———
Over 3.5 runs scored
———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits
———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits
———
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits
———
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 RBIs
———
Ranger Suarez Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs
———
Ranger Suarez Over 2.5 Strikeouts
———
Ranger Suarez Over 8.5 Strikeouts
———
Roman Anthony Over 0.5 Hits
———
Roman Anthony Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Roman Anthony Over 1.5 Hits
———
Roman Anthony Over 2.5 Hits
———
Roman Anthony Over 3.5 Hits
———
Shane Baz Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs
———
Shane Baz Over 5.5 Strikeouts
———
Shane Baz Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%99%—
Shane Baz Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%99%—
Shane Baz Over 8.5 Strikeouts
———
Total over 10.5
———
Total over 11.5
———
Total over 12.5
———
Total over 4.5
———
Total over 5.5
———
Total over 6.5
———
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Hits
———
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Hits
———
Wilyer Abreu Over 2.5 Hits
———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms0
Candidates2
Winner

Baltimore Orioles

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Baltimore wins the Boston vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Boston vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 4 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-04 at 7:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET) odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

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