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Live prediction market odds for Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Boston Red Sox Wins: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-24

This market resolved on 2026-08-24. Boston Red Sox was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.

About This Market

Boston Red Sox vs.

Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Sandy Alcantara Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—99%—
Sandy Alcantara Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—99%—
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Anthony Seigler Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Esteury Ruiz Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Ranger Suarez Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Ranger Suarez Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—99%—
Sandy Alcantara Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Sandy Alcantara Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Sandy Alcantara Over 18.5 Pitcher Outs
99%———
Sandy Alcantara Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Adley Rutschman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Brian Navarreto Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jarren Duran Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Joe Mack Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Kyle Stowers Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Leo Jimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Mickey Gasper Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Andruw Monasterio Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Over 1.5 runs scored
97%———
Nick Sogard Under 0.5 Home Runs
——95%99%
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 0.5 Home Runs
——94%99%
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%99%
Total under 9.5
———96%
Javier Sanoja Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%99%
Xavier Edwards Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%—
Caleb Durbin Under 0.5 Home Runs
——95%99%
Heriberto Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Agustin Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Boston Red SoxWINNER
99%89%95%99%
Total under 11.5
———90%
Griffin Conine Under 0.5 Home Runs
———90%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 3.5
———89%
Wilyer Abreu Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Ranger Suarez Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——81%94%
Willson Contreras Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%99%
Miami Marlins spread plus 3.5
———84%
Total under 10.5
———84%
Total under 8.5
——76%91%
Total under 6.5
——70%94%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.5
——99%81%
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———80%
Total under 7.5
——75%84%
Total under 7.0
———77%
Miami Marlins spread plus 2.5
——85%69%
Total over 3.5
99%——76%
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———74%
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———73%
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———73%
Esteury Ruiz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———72%
Griffin Conine Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———71%
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.0
———68%
Mickey Gasper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Anthony Seigler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——66%—
Esteury Ruiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.5
99%—35%94%
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Mickey Gasper Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Ranger Suarez Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——81%46%
Jarren Duran Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.0
———63%
Andruw Monasterio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Leo Jimenez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Total over 5.5
99%——60%
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Joe Mack Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Total over 4.5
99%——59%
Ranger Suarez Over 1.5 Earned Runs
59%———
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Ranger Suarez Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—99%56%
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Brian Navarreto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Brian Navarreto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Sandy Alcantara Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——46%54%
Leo Jimenez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Total under 5.5
———49%
Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Mickey Gasper Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Ranger Suarez Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%—99%47%
Sandy Alcantara Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%47%
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Total under 4.5
———46%
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.5
1%—65%27%
Anthony Seigler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Griffin Conine Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Andruw Monasterio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Mickey Gasper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 2.5
——4%83%
Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.0
———41%
Esteury Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———38%
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———38%
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.0
———37%
Boston Red Sox spread minus 2.5
1%—35%38%
Sandy Alcantara Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——35%—
Ranger Suarez Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——35%—
Total under 3.5
———33%
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———31%
Total over 7.0
———29%
Total over 7.5
1%—24%24%
Total over 6.5
1%—30%15%
Total over 8.5
1%—24%19%
Sandy Alcantara Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——20%—
Sandy Alcantara Over 7.5 Strikeouts
19%———
Total over 11.5
1%——18%
Total over 10.5
1%——15%
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.5
——12%17%
Miami Marlins spread minus 2.5
1%—4%21%
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Boston wins by over 3.5 runs
2%——21%
Jarren Duran Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Adley Rutschman Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%10%
Total over 9.5
1%——9%
Miami Marlins spread minus 3.5
3%——15%
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——12%6%
Andruw Monasterio Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Willson Contreras Over 0.5 Home Runs
——12%5%
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Home Runs
——9%8%
Leo Jimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Agustin Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%4%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Home Runs
——4%8%
Brian Navarreto Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Home Runs
——3%9%
Mickey Gasper Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Otto Lopez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——4%6%
Nick Sogard Over 0.5 Home Runs
——3%7%
Ranger Suarez Over 8.5 Strikeouts
5%———
Sandy Alcantara Over 8.5 Strikeouts
5%———
Xavier Edwards Over 0.5 Home Runs
——4%5%
Miami Marlins
1%12%4%4%
Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Home Runs
——3%6%
Anthony Seigler Over 0.5 Home Runs
———4%
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Home Runs
——2%—
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Home Runs
——2%—
Sandy Alcantara Over 2.5 Earned Runs
2%———
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Ranger Suarez Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Ranger Suarez Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Ranger Suarez Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Sandy Alcantara Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Ranger Suarez Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Ranger Suarez Over 2.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Ranger Suarez Over 3.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Ranger Suarez Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Sandy Alcantara Over 1.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Sandy Alcantara Over 3.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Sandy Alcantara Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Ranger Suarez Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread10.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Boston Red Sox

95.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Miami wins the Boston vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 24, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Boston vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 24, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Miami Marlins, scheduled for August 24 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-24 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Boston Red Sox: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 95.3¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 88.5¢ on Polymarket US; Miami Marlins: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 4.5¢ on Polymarket, 4.1¢ on ProphetX, 11.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 10.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Boston Red Sox at 95.5¢ implies about a 95.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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