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Live prediction market odds for Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Miami Marlins Wins: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-26

This market resolved on 2026-08-26. Miami Marlins was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Boston Red Sox vs.

Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Miami MarlinsWINNER
99%100%100%99%
Andruw Monasterio Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Griffin Conine Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Javier Sanoja Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Joe Mack Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Mickey Gasper Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Over 1.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Ryan Gusto Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs
99%———
Sonny Gray Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Sonny Gray Over 1.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Sonny Gray Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Jarren Duran Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Miami Marlins spread plus 3.5
———99%
Owen Caissie Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Heriberto Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——98%99%
Adley Rutschman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%96%
Willson Contreras Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%88%
Caleb Durbin Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Total under 9.5
———92%
Total under 10.5
———91%
Wilyer Abreu Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%99%
Total under 5.5
———91%
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.5
——0%91%
Total under 8.5
——100%90%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 4.5
———88%
Total under 11.5
———88%
Total under 7.0
———88%
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.5
99%—100%87%
Total under 8.0
———87%
Miami Marlins spread plus 4.5
———85%
Total under 4.5
———84%
Total under 7.5
——100%83%
Miami Marlins spread minus 3.5
99%——81%
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.0
———81%
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Kyle Stowers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Nick Sogard Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Xavier Edwards Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Jarren Duran Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———79%
Owen Caissie Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———77%
Joe Mack Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———74%
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———74%
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.0
———71%
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Mickey Gasper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Willson Contreras Over 0.5 Hits
63%———
Griffin Conine Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——61%
Andruw Monasterio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Ryan Gusto Over 1.5 Earned Runs
59%———
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Andruw Monasterio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
54%——58%
Ryan Gusto Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%—0%56%
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
54%——57%
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Total over 3.5
99%——54%
Adley Rutschman Over 0.5 Home Runs
——96%11%
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——98%9%
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
51%——55%
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Sonny Gray Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——51%53%
Total under 3.5
———52%
Miami Marlins spread minus 2.5
99%—12%91%
Sonny Gray Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%—51%50%
Ryan Gusto Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—50%—
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——49%
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—84%11%
Total under 6.5
——5%90%
Ryan Gusto Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%47%
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Mickey Gasper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Owen Caissie Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Sonny Gray Over 2.5 Earned Runs
41%———
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———38%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
35%———
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.0
———34%
Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———33%
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———32%
Caleb Durbin Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
32%———
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———31%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 3.5
———30%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Hits
28%———
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.0
———25%
Total over 8.5
1%—100%22%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
21%———
Total over 8.0
———21%
Total over 4.5
1%——21%
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—20%—
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—20%—
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—20%—
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—20%—
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Boston Red Sox spread minus 4.5
———19%
Caleb Durbin Over 2.5 Hits
18%———
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Hits
18%———
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.5
——0%18%
Total over 11.5
1%——17%
Caleb Durbin Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%———
Total over 10.5
1%——16%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 2.5
——12%20%
Total over 7.0
———16%
Total over 9.5
1%——16%
Miami Marlins spread minus 4.5
———16%
Total over 7.5
1%—0%15%
Willson Contreras Over 0.5 Home Runs
14%—96%15%
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—20%10%
Xavier Edwards Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%8%
Total over 5.5
1%——14%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—20%4%
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.5
1%—0%12%
Total over 6.5
1%—5%18%
Boston wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——11%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
11%———
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits
11%———
Andruw Monasterio Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%9%
Mickey Gasper Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Willson Contreras Over 2.5 Hits
8%———
Boston Red Sox spread minus 2.5
1%—0%8%
Caleb Durbin Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%———
Jarren Duran Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Wilyer Abreu Over 2.5 Hits
6%———
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 2.5 Hits
5%———
Ryan Gusto Over 7.5 Strikeouts
5%———
Otto Lopez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%5%
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—92%5%
Owen Caissie Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Nick Sogard Over 0.5 Home Runs
——4%5%
Boston Red Sox
1%1%100%4%
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Home Runs
———4%
Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Home Runs
———3%
Sonny Gray Over 3.5 Earned Runs
3%———
Sonny Gray Over 9.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 3.5 Hits
2%———
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—1%—
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Ryan Gusto Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Ryan Gusto Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Ryan Gusto Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Sonny Gray Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Sonny Gray Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Sonny Gray Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Sonny Gray Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Ryan Gusto Over 2.5 Strikeouts
1%—0%—
Ryan Gusto Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Ryan Gusto Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Sonny Gray Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Sonny Gray Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Ryan Gusto Over 0.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Ryan Gusto Over 2.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Ryan Gusto Over 3.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Ryan Gusto Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Sonny Gray Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Hits
0%———
Wilyer Abreu Over 3.5 Hits
0%———
Miami Marlins spread plus 2.5
——0%99%
Sonny Gray Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%—
Sonny Gray Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread99.4%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Miami Marlins

99.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Miami wins the Boston vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Boston vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Miami Marlins, scheduled for August 26 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-26 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Miami Marlins: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Boston Red Sox: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 4.3¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 99.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Miami Marlins at 99.3¢ implies about a 99.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available