About This Market
Boston Red Sox vs.
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-26
This market resolved on 2026-08-26. Miami Marlins was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Boston Red Sox vs.
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Miami MarlinsWINNER | 99% | 100% | 100% | 99% |
Andruw Monasterio Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Griffin Conine Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Javier Sanoja Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Joe Mack Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Mickey Gasper Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Sonny Gray Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Sonny Gray Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Sonny Gray Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jarren Duran Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Owen Caissie Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 99% |
Adley Rutschman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 96% |
Willson Contreras Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 88% |
Caleb Durbin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 99% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Wilyer Abreu Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 99% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 91% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 100% | 90% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 88% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 87% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 87% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 85% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 84% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 100% | 83% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 81% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 81% |
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Kyle Stowers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Nick Sogard Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Xavier Edwards Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Jarren Duran Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 79% |
Owen Caissie Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 77% |
Joe Mack Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 74% |
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 74% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 71% |
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 69% |
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Mickey Gasper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Willson Contreras Over 0.5 Hits | 63% | — | — | — |
Griffin Conine Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 61% |
Andruw Monasterio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Ryan Gusto Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 59% | — | — | — |
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Andruw Monasterio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 54% | — | — | 58% |
Ryan Gusto Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 0% | 56% |
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 54% | — | — | 57% |
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 54% |
Adley Rutschman Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 11% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 9% |
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 51% | — | — | 55% |
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Sonny Gray Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 51% | 53% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 52% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 12% | 91% |
Sonny Gray Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 51% | 50% |
Ryan Gusto Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 49% |
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 84% | 11% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 5% | 90% |
Ryan Gusto Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 47% |
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Mickey Gasper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Owen Caissie Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Sonny Gray Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 41% | — | — | — |
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 35% | — | — | — |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 34% |
Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 33% |
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 32% |
Caleb Durbin Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 32% | — | — | — |
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 31% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 30% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Hits | 28% | — | — | — |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 25% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 100% | 22% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 21% | — | — | — |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 21% |
Total over 4.5 | 1% | — | — | 21% |
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | — |
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 20% | — |
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
Caleb Durbin Over 2.5 Hits | 18% | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Hits | 18% | — | — | — |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 18% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 17% |
Caleb Durbin Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 16% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 12% | 20% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 16% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | — | 16% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 15% |
Willson Contreras Over 0.5 Home Runs | 14% | — | 96% | 15% |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | 10% |
Xavier Edwards Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 8% |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | — | 14% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | 4% |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 12% |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | 5% | 18% |
Boston wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 11% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits | 11% | — | — | — |
Andruw Monasterio Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 9% |
Mickey Gasper Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Willson Contreras Over 2.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 8% |
Caleb Durbin Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Jarren Duran Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Wilyer Abreu Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 5% | — | — | — |
Otto Lopez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 5% |
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 92% | 5% |
Owen Caissie Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Nick Sogard Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 4% | 5% |
Boston Red Sox | 1% | 1% | 100% | 4% |
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 4% |
Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 3% |
Sonny Gray Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Sonny Gray Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 3.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Sonny Gray Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Sonny Gray Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Sonny Gray Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Sonny Gray Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Ryan Gusto Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Ryan Gusto Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Sonny Gray Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Sonny Gray Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Sonny Gray Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 3.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Miami Marlins spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Sonny Gray Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
Sonny Gray Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
Miami Marlins
99.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Miami wins the Boston vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Boston vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Miami Marlins, scheduled for August 26 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-26 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Miami Marlins: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Boston Red Sox: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 4.3¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 99.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Miami Marlins at 99.3¢ implies about a 99.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.