About This Market
Boston Red Sox vs.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-30
This market resolved on 2026-08-30. New York Yankees was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Boston Red Sox vs.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Amed Rosario Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Will Warren Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Will Warren Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Paul Goldschmidt Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Will Warren Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Will Warren Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Paul Goldschmidt Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Willson Contreras Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 99% |
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Caleb Durbin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 99% |
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 95% | — |
Adley Rutschman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
New York YankeesWINNER | 99% | 93% | 100% | 99% |
Cody Bellinger Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 99% |
Wilyer Abreu Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 99% |
Jarren Duran Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 84% |
Amed Rosario Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 99% | 87% |
Ranger Suarez Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 87% | — |
Ranger Suarez Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 86% | — |
Will Warren Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 85% | — |
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 85% |
Ranger Suarez Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 85% | — |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Nick Sogard Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 79% | 82% |
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 68% | 90% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 79% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 78% |
Ranger Suarez Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 91% | 64% |
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 75% |
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 74% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | 67% | 73% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 68% |
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 67% |
Will Warren Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 66% | — |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 65% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 65% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 0% | 64% |
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 64% |
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Amed Rosario Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 0% | 61% |
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 60% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 60% |
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 60% |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Trevor Story Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Will Warren Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 59% |
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Jarren Duran Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Roman Anthony Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 57% |
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Paul Goldschmidt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 54% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 54% |
Ali Sanchez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 53% |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Ali Sanchez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 49% | — | — | 54% |
Roman Anthony Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 50% |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 50% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Paul Goldschmidt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 49% |
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 49% |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 48% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Trevor Story Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 47% |
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 37% | — | — | 52% |
Amed Rosario Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 44% |
Will Warren Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 44% |
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 44% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 43% |
Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 39% | — | — | 47% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 43% |
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 33% | — | — | 51% |
Will Warren Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 40% | — | — | — |
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 40% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 0% | 39% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 38% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 37% |
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 28% | — | — | 46% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 34% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 33% | 32% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 31% |
Boston wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 30% |
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | — | 43% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | 55% |
Wilyer Abreu Over 2.5 Total Bases | 27% | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | — | 26% |
Wilyer Abreu Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 26% | — | — | — |
Ranger Suarez Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 9% | 41% |
Willson Contreras Over 0.5 RBIs | 25% | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 24% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Hits | 24% | — | — | — |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 32% | 14% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 RBIs | 23% | — | — | — |
Willson Contreras Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 23% | — | — | — |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits | 22% | — | — | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 22% | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 3.5 Total Bases | 22% | — | — | — |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 21% | 22% |
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 99% |
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs | 18% | — | 4% | 18% |
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Total Bases | 18% | — | — | — |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 18% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 1% | 17% |
Will Warren Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 15% | — |
Ranger Suarez Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 14% | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 4.5 Total Bases | 14% | — | — | — |
Jarren Duran Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 13% |
Ranger Suarez Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 13% | — |
Willson Contreras Over 3.5 Total Bases | 12% | — | — | — |
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 11% |
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 21% | 11% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 11% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 2.5 Total Bases | 11% | — | — | — |
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Hits | 11% | — | — | — |
Willson Contreras Over 2.5 Total Bases | 11% | — | — | — |
Paul Goldschmidt Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 10% |
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 13% | 6% |
Willson Contreras Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 99% | 9% |
Ranger Suarez Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 2% | — | 16% | — |
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 8% | 9% |
Adley Rutschman Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 8% | 8% |
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 8% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 12% | 3% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Home Runs | 7% | — | 100% | — |
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Amed Rosario Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 19% | 6% |
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 19% | 6% |
Wilyer Abreu Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 6% | — | — | — |
Boston Red Sox | 1% | 7% | 0% | 4% |
Nick Sogard Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 8% |
Ben Rice Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 3.5 Total Bases | 5% | — | — | — |
Willson Contreras Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Willson Contreras Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 5% | — | — | — |
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 5% | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 4% | — | — | — |
Willson Contreras Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 4% | — | — | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 3% | — | — | — |
Ranger Suarez Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 2.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 2% | — |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 1% | — |
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 3.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Willson Contreras Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 2.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 4.5 Total Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Ranger Suarez Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Ranger Suarez Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Ranger Suarez Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Willson Contreras Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 5.5 Total Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Paul Goldschmidt Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Amed Rosario Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Will Warren Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Will Warren Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Will Warren Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Ranger Suarez Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | — |
New York Yankees
97.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Boston wins the Boston vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Boston vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 30 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-30 at 1:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are New York Yankees: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 93.0¢ on Polymarket US; Boston Red Sox: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 3.9¢ on ProphetX, 7.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 6.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, New York Yankees at 97.7¢ implies about a 97.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.