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Live prediction market odds for Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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New York Yankees Wins: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-30

This market resolved on 2026-08-30. New York Yankees was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Boston Red Sox vs.

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Amed Rosario Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Will Warren Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Will Warren Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Paul Goldschmidt Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Over 12.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Will Warren Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs
99%———
Will Warren Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Paul Goldschmidt Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Willson Contreras Under 0.5 Home Runs
——1%99%
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Caleb Durbin Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%99%
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—95%—
Adley Rutschman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——91%99%
New York YankeesWINNER
99%93%100%99%
Cody Bellinger Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%99%
Wilyer Abreu Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Jarren Duran Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%84%
Amed Rosario Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%99%
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Total over 8.5
99%—99%87%
Ranger Suarez Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——87%—
Ranger Suarez Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——86%—
Will Warren Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——85%—
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5
———85%
Ranger Suarez Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——85%—
Total under 11.5
———83%
Nick Sogard Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5
——79%82%
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5
——68%90%
Total under 10.5
———79%
Total over 3.5
99%——78%
Ranger Suarez Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——91%64%
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5
———75%
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5
———74%
Total over 6.5
99%—67%73%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.0
———68%
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5
99%——67%
Will Warren Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—66%—
Total over 4.5
99%——65%
Total over 7.5
99%—100%65%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 2.5
——0%64%
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——64%
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Amed Rosario Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Total under 9.5
——0%61%
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5
99%—100%60%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——60%
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——60%
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Trevor Story Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Will Warren Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%59%
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Jarren Duran Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Roman Anthony Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——57%
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Paul Goldschmidt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——54%
Total under 5.5
———54%
Ali Sanchez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Total under 8.0
———53%
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.0
———52%
Ali Sanchez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
49%——54%
Roman Anthony Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Total over 8.0
———50%
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——50%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0
———50%
Total over 5.5
99%——50%
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Paul Goldschmidt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——49%
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——49%
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——48%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Trevor Story Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——47%
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
37%——52%
Amed Rosario Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——44%
Will Warren Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%44%
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——44%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.5
——0%43%
Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
39%——47%
Total over 9.5
99%—100%43%
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
33%——51%
Will Warren Over 8.5 Strikeouts
40%———
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5
99%—100%40%
Total under 7.5
——0%39%
Total under 4.5
———38%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 3.5
———37%
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
28%——46%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0
———34%
Total under 6.5
——33%32%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 4.5
———31%
Boston wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——30%
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
15%——43%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%——55%
Wilyer Abreu Over 2.5 Total Bases
27%———
Total over 10.5
99%——26%
Wilyer Abreu Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
26%———
Ranger Suarez Over 5.5 Strikeouts
——9%41%
Willson Contreras Over 0.5 RBIs
25%———
Total over 11.5
99%——24%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Hits
24%———
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.5
1%—32%14%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 RBIs
23%———
Willson Contreras Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
23%———
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits
22%———
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
22%———
Wilyer Abreu Over 3.5 Total Bases
22%———
Boston Red Sox spread minus 2.5
1%—21%22%
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs
——19%99%
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs
18%—4%18%
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Total Bases
18%———
Boston Red Sox spread minus 4.5
———18%
Total under 8.5
——1%17%
Will Warren Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%—15%—
Ranger Suarez Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%—14%—
Wilyer Abreu Over 4.5 Total Bases
14%———
Jarren Duran Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——13%
Ranger Suarez Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—13%—
Willson Contreras Over 3.5 Total Bases
12%———
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%11%
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—21%11%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——11%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 2.5 Total Bases
11%———
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Hits
11%———
Willson Contreras Over 2.5 Total Bases
11%———
Paul Goldschmidt Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%10%
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—13%6%
Willson Contreras Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—99%9%
Ranger Suarez Over 3.5 Strikeouts
2%—16%—
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—8%9%
Adley Rutschman Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—8%8%
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%8%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—12%3%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 RBIs
7%———
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Home Runs
7%—100%—
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 RBIs
7%———
Wilyer Abreu Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%———
Amed Rosario Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—19%6%
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—19%6%
Wilyer Abreu Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
6%———
Boston Red Sox
1%7%0%4%
Nick Sogard Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——8%
Ben Rice Over 2.5 Hits
5%———
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 3.5 Total Bases
5%———
Willson Contreras Over 2.5 Hits
5%———
Willson Contreras Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
5%———
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——5%—
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
4%———
Willson Contreras Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
4%———
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
3%———
Ranger Suarez Over 9.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Wilyer Abreu Over 2.5 Hits
3%———
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%—2%—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%—1%—
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
——2%—
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 3.5 Hits
2%———
Willson Contreras Over 4.5 Total Bases
2%———
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—1%—
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 2.5 Hits
1%———
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 4.5 Total Bases
1%———
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Ranger Suarez Over 2.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Ranger Suarez Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Ranger Suarez Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Willson Contreras Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Wilyer Abreu Over 5.5 Total Bases
1%———
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Paul Goldschmidt Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Amed Rosario Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Will Warren Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Will Warren Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Will Warren Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Ranger Suarez Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%—99%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread6.9%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

New York Yankees

97.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Boston wins the Boston vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Boston vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 30 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-30 at 1:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are New York Yankees: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 93.0¢ on Polymarket US; Boston Red Sox: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 3.9¢ on ProphetX, 7.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 6.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, New York Yankees at 97.7¢ implies about a 97.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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