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Live prediction market odds for Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Boston Red Sox Wins: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-13

This market resolved on 2026-08-13. Boston Red Sox was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Boston Red Sox vs.

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-13. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Andruw Monasterio Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Connor Wong Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Connor Wong Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Jarren Duran Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Masataka Yoshida Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Myles Straw Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Andruw Monasterio Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Caleb Durbin Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Caleb Durbin Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Caleb Durbin Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Max Scherzer Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Payton Tolle Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%99%
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%99%
Nick Sogard Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Total under 12.5
———99%
Caleb Durbin Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%96%
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Home Runs
———96%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 4.5
———96%
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs
———95%
Andruw Monasterio Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%94%
Total under 9.5
——97%86%
Total under 7.5
——91%92%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 3.5
———91%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 2.5
——91%90%
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%90%
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%90%
Boston Red SoxWINNER
99%100%100%90%
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Total under 8.5
——94%85%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%89%
Masataka Yoshida Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%89%
Jarren Duran Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%87%
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%94%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs
——83%89%
Boston Red Sox spread minus 4.5
———84%
Willson Contreras Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%87%
Adley Rutschman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%86%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.5
——100%82%
Total under 11.5
———81%
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Wilyer Abreu Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%79%
Max Scherzer Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—79%—
Payton Tolle Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—79%—
Max Scherzer Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——60%97%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5
———74%
Payton Tolle Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%—53%93%
Total under 10.5
———71%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.0
———70%
Total over 6.5
99%——69%
Payton Tolle Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—68%—
Total under 4.5
———67%
Andruw Monasterio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Andruw Monasterio Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
66%———
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.5
99%—100%65%
Total under 9.0
———65%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——64%
Payton Tolle Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——47%81%
Charles McAdoo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Connor Wong Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——64%
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——62%
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Masataka Yoshida Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——60%
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Max Scherzer Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—54%64%
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
65%——51%
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Total under 8.0
———57%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5
——0%57%
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.0
———56%
Jarren Duran Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——55%
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——55%
Masataka Yoshida Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——54%
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——54%
Total under 3.5
———53%
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Total over 3.5
99%——51%
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
48%——50%
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——49%
Total over 8.0
———49%
Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
48%——49%
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
46%——51%
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Boston Red Sox spread minus 2.5
99%—100%47%
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
45%——47%
Charles McAdoo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
48%——43%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0
———45%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
46%——43%
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Andruw Monasterio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
43%——45%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Total over 5.5
99%——43%
Max Scherzer Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——46%40%
Total over 4.5
99%——38%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5
——0%38%
Total over 9.0
———37%
Total under 6.5
———36%
Max Scherzer Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—40%32%
Total over 10.5
1%——35%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0
———34%
Total over 12.5
1%——32%
Payton Tolle Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——32%—
Boston wins by over 3.5 runs
99%——31%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
31%———
Total over 9.5
1%—3%57%
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Home Runs
29%———
Andruw Monasterio Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
25%———
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5
1%—0%22%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5
———21%
Max Scherzer Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——21%—
Payton Tolle Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——21%—
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—20%22%
Willson Contreras Over 0.5 Home Runs
8%—20%21%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
18%———
Total under 5.5
———18%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—17%18%
Jarren Duran Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——17%
Adley Rutschman Over 0.5 Home Runs
———16%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——15%
Andruw Monasterio Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——14%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——14%
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs
———13%
Total over 8.5
1%—6%20%
Toronto Blue Jays
1%1%0%13%
Total over 11.5
4%——21%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5
1%——12%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5
1%—9%14%
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%11%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
11%———
Total over 7.5
1%—9%13%
Masataka Yoshida Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%——16%
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——16%
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5
———8%
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——11%
Andruw Monasterio Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%———
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Home Runs
7%———
Brandon Valenzuela Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%——10%
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——10%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Home Runs
6%———
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——8%
Nick Sogard Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——9%
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——8%
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%———
Connor Wong Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%———
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Connor Wong Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%———
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Masataka Yoshida Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Max Scherzer Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Max Scherzer Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Max Scherzer Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Myles Straw Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Payton Tolle Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Payton Tolle Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Payton Tolle Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Payton Tolle Over 9.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Andruw Monasterio Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
Brandon Valenzuela Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
Charles McAdoo Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Home Runs
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread12.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Boston Red Sox

97.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Boston wins the Boston vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 3:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Boston vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 3:07 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 13 at 3:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-13 at 3:07PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Boston Red Sox: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 89.6¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Toronto Blue Jays: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 12.6¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 12.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Boston Red Sox at 97.0¢ implies about a 97.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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