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Live prediction market odds for Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (3:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Arizona Diamondbacks Wins: Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (3:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-26

This market resolved on 2026-08-26. Arizona Diamondbacks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Chicago Cubs vs.

Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (3:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Eduardo Rodriguez Over 2.5 Strikeouts
——100%—
Matthew Boyd Over 1.5 Strikeouts
——100%—
Matthew Boyd Over 2.5 Strikeouts
——100%—
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Matthew Boyd Over 3.5 Strikeouts
——100%99%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 3.5
———99%
Corbin Carroll Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Ildemaro Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Michael Busch Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Nolan Arenado Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Total under 9.5
——99%99%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Arizona DiamondbacksWINNER
99%99%100%96%
Total under 8.5
——99%96%
Gabriel Moreno Under 0.5 Home Runs
——98%93%
Total under 12.5
———93%
Total under 10.5
———92%
Total under 11.5
———92%
Total under 9.0
———91%
Total under 6.5
———91%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Home Runs
——83%99%
Alex Bregman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——90%92%
Total under 7.5
——88%93%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 4.5
———90%
Tyrone Taylor Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Total under 3.5
———90%
James McCann Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 2.5
——85%93%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 3.5
———89%
Carson Kelly Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%92%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 4.5
———86%
Total under 8.0
———85%
Tim Tawa Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%90%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.5
——75%92%
Gabriel Arias Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Pedro Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.0
———81%
Geraldo Perdomo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Jose Fernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Seiya Suzuki Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Total under 5.5
———80%
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Carson Kelly Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Gabriel Arias Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Pedro Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Tyrone Taylor Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
James McCann Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Jordan Lawlar Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Jose Fernandez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Nico Hoerner Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Tim Tawa Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Gabriel Arias Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———76%
Total under 4.5
———74%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.5
——99%74%
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———72%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———72%
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Matthew Boyd Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%66%
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Tyrone Taylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Carson Kelly Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Jordan Lawlar Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 2.5
——85%40%
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Jose Fernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
James McCann Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Kevin Alcantara Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Eduardo Rodriguez Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%61%
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Eduardo Rodriguez Over 3.5 Strikeouts
——100%60%
Tim Tawa Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.0
———58%
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Pedro Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
James McCann Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Jose Fernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Tim Tawa Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 2.5
——15%83%
Jordan Lawlar Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Kevin Alcantara Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Total over 6.5
———48%
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.0
———47%
Jordan Lawlar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Tyrone Taylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Eduardo Rodriguez Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%44%
Ildemaro Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Eduardo Rodriguez Over 4.5 Strikeouts
——100%42%
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———38%
Gabriel Arias Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———32%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5
——1%31%
Total over 4.5
———26%
Total over 5.5
———24%
Total over 8.0
———23%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.0
———22%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 3.5
———21%
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Ildemaro Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Jordan Lawlar Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Jose Fernandez Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Tim Tawa Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.5
——25%14%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 4.5
———17%
Total over 10.5
———16%
Total over 11.5
———16%
Tim Tawa Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%12%
Total over 9.0
———15%
Ildemaro Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs
——18%12%
Total over 12.5
———15%
Total over 3.5
———14%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 2.5
——15%11%
Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%6%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 4.5
———13%
Total over 7.5
——12%12%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Home Runs
——17%5%
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home Runs
——18%4%
Geraldo Perdomo Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%3%
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Home Runs
——10%11%
James McCann Over 0.5 Home Runs
——10%9%
Total over 8.5
——1%9%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 3.5
———9%
Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Jordan Lawlar Over 0.5 Home Runs
——100%8%
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Tyrone Taylor Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Jose Fernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%6%
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Home Runs
——6%8%
Gabriel Moreno Over 0.5 Home Runs
——2%10%
Chicago Cubs
1%1%0%6%
Pedro Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Home Runs
——6%5%
Total over 9.5
——1%9%
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Home Runs
——2%8%
Gabriel Arias Over 0.5 Home Runs
———4%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Home Runs
——2%—
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
James McCann Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Eduardo Rodriguez Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Matthew Boyd Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Matthew Boyd Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Gabriel Arias Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jordan Lawlar Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Tyrone Taylor Over 1.5 Home Runs
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread5.9%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Arizona Diamondbacks

98.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (3:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Chicago C wins the Chicago C vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 3:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Chicago C vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 3:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 26 at 3:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-26 at 3:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (3:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (3:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Arizona Diamondbacks: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 96.1¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; Chicago Cubs: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on ProphetX, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (3:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 5.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (3:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Arizona Diamondbacks at 98.5¢ implies about a 98.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
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