About This Market
Chicago Cubs vs.
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-24
This market resolved on 2026-08-24. Chicago Cubs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Chicago Cubs vs.
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Carson Kelly Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Geraldo Perdomo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Pedro Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Alex Bregman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Ian Happ Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Ildemaro Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Max Kepler Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Michael Busch Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Michael Conforto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Nolan Arenado Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Tim Tawa Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 98% |
Nico Hoerner Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | 99% |
Gabriel Moreno Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 99% |
Corbin Carroll Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 98% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 99% |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 7.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 6.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Lars Nootbaar Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 81% | 91% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 74% | 97% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 89% | 81% |
Kevin Gausman Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 84% |
Kevin Gausman Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 83% |
Total over 5.5 | — | — | — | 81% |
Merrill Kelly Over 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 80% | — |
Merrill Kelly Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 80% | — |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | 74% |
Tim Tawa Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 73% |
Total over 6.5 | — | — | — | 71% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 56% | 83% |
Merrill Kelly Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 81% | 56% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 76% | 60% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 68% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 67% |
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Jose Fernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Kevin Gausman Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 66% |
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Max Kepler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 66% | — |
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Jordan Lawlar Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Total over 7.5 | — | — | — | 64% |
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 2.5 | — | — | 38% | 86% |
Carson Kelly Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Michael Conforto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Ian Happ Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Chicago CubsWINNER | 99% | 100% | 57% | 99% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.5 | — | — | 45% | 68% |
Pedro Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 54% |
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Michael Conforto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 55% | 44% |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Jose Fernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Ildemaro Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Max Kepler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — | 45% |
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Jordan Lawlar Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Kevin Gausman Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 45% |
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 41% |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 63% | 20% |
Total over 8.5 | — | — | 30% | 48% |
Tim Tawa Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 38% |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 38% |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 37% |
Total over 9.5 | — | — | 44% | 28% |
Merrill Kelly Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 19% | 47% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 29% |
Arizona Diamondbacks | 1% | 1% | 44% | 2% |
Merrill Kelly Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 20% | — |
Merrill Kelly Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 20% | — |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 6.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 7.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 2.5 | — | — | 18% | 20% |
Total over 10.5 | — | — | 10% | 27% |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.5 | — | — | 27% | 11% |
Total over 11.5 | — | — | — | 17% |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Lars Nootbaar Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 11% |
Total over 12.5 | — | — | — | 13% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 7% |
Michael Conforto Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 15% | 9% |
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 9% | 13% |
Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 8% |
Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 7% |
Pedro Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Ildemaro Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Max Kepler Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Gabriel Moreno Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 3% | 8% |
Geraldo Perdomo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 7% | 4% |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 5% |
Tim Tawa Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | 5% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Chicago Cubs
88.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Chicago C wins the Chicago C vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 24, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Chicago C vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 24, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 24 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-24 at 9:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Chicago Cubs: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 57.0¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Arizona Diamondbacks: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 44.0¢ on Polymarket, 2.4¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 43.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Chicago Cubs at 88.6¢ implies about a 88.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.