Kalshi

4.9

Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Cincinnati Reds Wins: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-18

This market resolved on 2026-09-18. Cincinnati Reds was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Chase Burns Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	100%	—
Clay Holmes Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	100%	—
Clay Holmes Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	99%	—
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—	—
Michael Busch Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—	—
Michael Busch Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	98%
Michael Conforto Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	98%
Seiya Suzuki Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	98%
Ian Happ Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	97%	—
Ian Happ Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	97%	—
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	97%	—
Michael Busch Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	97%	—
Seiya Suzuki Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	97%	—
Seiya Suzuki Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	97%	—
Cincinnati RedsWINNER	100%	41%	90%	97%	97%
Alex Bregman Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	86%	96%
Eugenio Suarez Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	98%
Sal Stewart Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	84%	93%
Ian Happ Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	87%
Elly De La Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	82%	86%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	82%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 2.5	—	—	76%	98%	81%
Alex Bregman Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Alex Bregman Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Alex Bregman Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Elly De La Cruz Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Elly De La Cruz Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	—
Ian Happ Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	—
JJ Bleday Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
JJ Bleday Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Nico Hoerner Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Nico Hoerner Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Sal Stewart Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Sal Stewart Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Seiya Suzuki Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	73%	88%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.5	—	—	72%	100%	86%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	78%
Total over 8.5	99%	—	83%	100%	70%
Total over 9.5	100%	—	—	100%	76%
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	97%	50%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	61%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	69%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	68%
Juan Brito Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	68%
Total over 7.5	100%	—	—	100%	68%
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	53%
Michael Busch Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	33%	—	—	97%	—
Chase Burns Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	63%	66%
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	64%
Hector Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	64%
Michael Conforto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
Carlos Jorge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	62%
Pedro Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
Carson Kelly Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	61%
Ian Happ Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	61%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.5	100%	—	56%	82%	61%
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	60%
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	60%
Michael Busch Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	20%	—	—	97%	—
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	58%
Total under 9.0	—	—	—	—	57%
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	57%	54%
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	54%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	54%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	21%	87%
Chase Burns Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	100%	54%
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	53%
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—	53%
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	53%
Clay Holmes Over 4.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—	52%
Seiya Suzuki Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	52%	—	—	—	—
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	52%
Clay Holmes Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	99%	51%
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	39%	—	—	97%	50%
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	50%
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	49%
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—	49%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	48%
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	43%	53%
Carlos Jorge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	48%
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	48%
Chase Burns Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	45%	50%
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Hector Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	45%
Total over 9.0	—	—	—	—	45%
Michael Conforto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	45%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	45%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	72%	16%
Juan Brito Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	44%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	—	43%
Total over 12.5	1%	—	42%	—	43%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5	—	—	44%	9%	42%
Matt McLain Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	39%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	16%	—	—	—	62%
Chase Burns Over 4.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	37%	37%
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	53%
Total under 7.5	—	—	—	100%	36%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	—	35%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	33%
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	3%	59%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	26%	32%
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	2%	—	—	—	54%
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	—	26%
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	31%	—	—	19%	—
Chicago Cubs spread minus 2.5	3%	—	24%	98%	23%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	21%
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	—	100%	20%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	21%	18%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	20%	—	—	19%	—
Sal Stewart Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	20%	—	—	19%	—
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs	6%	—	—	82%	19%
Clay Holmes Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	19%	—
Elly De La Cruz Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Elly De La Cruz Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Eugenio Suarez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Eugenio Suarez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Eugenio Suarez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Ian Happ Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
JJ Bleday Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Nico Hoerner Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Seiya Suzuki Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.5	2%	—	28%	100%	18%
Total under 8.5	—	—	18%	7%	34%
Total over 11.5	11%	—	17%	—	48%
JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	18%	14%
Total under 4.5	—	—	—	—	16%
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Home Runs	16%	—	—	84%	14%
Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	11%
Sal Stewart Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	11%	—	—	19%	—
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Home Runs	15%	—	—	97%	6%
Tyler Stephenson Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	14%
Seiya Suzuki Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	—	—	—	—
Michael Busch Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	12%	—	—	1%	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	12%	—	—	3%	49%
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Home Runs	11%	—	—	14%	9%
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	20%	—
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	10%
Chicago Cubs	1%	59%	10%	1%	6%
Alex Bregman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	9%	—	—	—	—
Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	9%
Michael Conforto Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	7%
Carlos Jorge Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	6%
Dansby Swanson Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	6%
Jose Trevino Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	6%
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—	6%
Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	5%
Michael Busch Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	3%	—
Sal Stewart Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	3%	—
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—	—
Chase Burns Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—	—
Clay Holmes Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—	—
Elly De La Cruz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	—	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—	—
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—	—
Nico Hoerner Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Alex Bregman Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Alex Bregman Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Chase Burns Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	—
Chase Burns Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	—
Clay Holmes Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	—
Clay Holmes Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	—
Clay Holmes Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	—
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Eugenio Suarez Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Ian Happ Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
JJ Bleday Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Michael Busch Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Sal Stewart Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Seiya Suzuki Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Seiya Suzuki Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Chicago C wins by over 3.5 runs	—	—	—	—	—
Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 runs	—	—	—	—	—
Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
JJ Bleday Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
JJ Bleday Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Nico Hoerner Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Nico Hoerner Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 10.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 5.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 6.5	—	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Cincinnati wins the Chicago C vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Chicago C vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Cincinnati Reds in Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for September 18 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-18 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Cincinnati Reds: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 96.5¢ on Polymarket, 96.8¢ on ProphetX, 41.0¢ on Polymarket US, 90.0¢ on Novig; Chicago Cubs: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on ProphetX, 59.0¢ on Polymarket US, 10.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 58.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Cincinnati Reds at 84.8¢ implies about a 84.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Cincinnati Reds Wins: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET)

Cincinnati Reds Wins: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

Related Markets

Yahor Slizevich vs. Niklas Waldner

Fever Squad vs. Fire Flux Esports

Samford Bulldogs vs. UAB Blazers

Salma Djoubri vs. Katarina Kujovic

Related Markets

Yahor Slizevich vs. Niklas Waldner

Fever Squad vs. Fire Flux Esports

Samford Bulldogs vs. UAB Blazers

Salma Djoubri vs. Katarina Kujovic

Tian Jialin vs. Andrea Lazaro Garcia

Cincinnati Reds Wins: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET)

Cincinnati Reds Wins: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

Related Markets

Yahor Slizevich vs. Niklas Waldner

Fever Squad vs. Fire Flux Esports

Samford Bulldogs vs. UAB Blazers

Salma Djoubri vs. Katarina Kujovic

Related Markets

Yahor Slizevich vs. Niklas Waldner

Fever Squad vs. Fire Flux Esports

Samford Bulldogs vs. UAB Blazers

Salma Djoubri vs. Katarina Kujovic

Tian Jialin vs. Andrea Lazaro Garcia