About This Market
Chicago Cubs vs.
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners (4:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners (4:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-23
This market resolved on 2026-08-23. Chicago Cubs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Chicago Cubs vs.
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners (4:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Bryce Miller Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 100% | — |
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Bryce Miller Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Shota Imanaga Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Chicago CubsWINNER | 99% | 100% | 100% | 99% |
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Cole Young Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 3.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 4.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Shota Imanaga Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Cole Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 99% |
Michael Busch Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Total Bases | 98% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 98% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Bryce Miller Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 97% | — | — | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 96% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits | 96% | — | — | — |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 95% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 93% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 94% | 89% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 99% | 89% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 89% |
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 79% | 99% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 78% | 99% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 88% |
Chicago C wins by over 3.5 runs | 99% | — | — | 88% |
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 86% |
Josh Naylor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 99% |
Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 90% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 99% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 82% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 82% |
Cole Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 81% |
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 79% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 77% | — |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 73% |
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 72% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 59% | 82% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | — | 69% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 68% |
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 64% |
Bryce Miller Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 64% |
Pedro Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Shota Imanaga Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 52% | 75% |
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Ian Happ Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 62% |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 61% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 60% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 60% |
Shota Imanaga Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 60% | — |
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Brock Rodden Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 58% |
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 54% |
Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 53% |
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 49% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 47% | — | — | 50% |
Shota Imanaga Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 48% | 99% |
Cole Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
Bryce Miller Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 47% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
Bryce Miller Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 43% | 50% |
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 43% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | — | 42% |
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 0% | 40% |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 47% | — | — | 32% |
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Shota Imanaga Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 39% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits | 38% | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 38% |
Weston Wilson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 37% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 34% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 41% | 26% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 33% | — | — | — |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 31% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 29% |
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 29% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits | 29% | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 0% | 27% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits | 21% | — | — | — |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 20% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 20% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Home Runs | 20% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits | 20% | — | — | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 0% | 19% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 18% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 1% | 18% |
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 18% |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 17% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 22% | 9% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 19% | 11% |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits | 15% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Home Runs | 28% | — | 1% | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 16% | 11% |
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 12% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | — |
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 13% | 9% |
Brock Rodden Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 11% | 9% |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 7% | 11% |
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits | 9% | — | — | — |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 0% | 9% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 6% | 12% |
Cole Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | 7% |
Weston Wilson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Pedro Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 9% | 7% |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 8% | — | — | — |
Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 4.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Bryce Miller Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 5% | — | — | — |
Bryce Miller Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 5% | — | — | — |
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 5% | 5% |
Seattle Mariners | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
Alex Bregman Over 3.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Cole Young Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Total Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Bryce Miller Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Bryce Miller Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 5.5 Total Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Shota Imanaga Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Bryce Miller Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Shota Imanaga Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Bryce Miller Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Bryce Miller Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Bryce Miller Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Bryce Miller Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 3.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Shota Imanaga Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Shota Imanaga Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Shota Imanaga Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Bryce Miller Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
Nico Hoerner Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Chicago Cubs
99.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Seattle wins the Chicago C vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Chicago C vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for August 23 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-23 at 4:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Chicago Cubs: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Seattle Mariners: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Chicago Cubs at 99.4¢ implies about a 99.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.