About This Market
Chicago Cubs vs.
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners (7:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners (7:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-22
This market resolved on 2026-08-22. Chicago Cubs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 63%.
Chicago Cubs vs.
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners (7:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
David Peterson Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
David Peterson Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 99% | — |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 3.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
David Peterson Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
David Peterson Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
David Peterson Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
David Peterson Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
David Peterson Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
David Peterson Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
David Peterson Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Brock Rodden Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Cole Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Pedro Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Alex Bregman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 97% |
Carson Kelly Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Brendan Donovan Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Michael Busch Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 96% |
Nico Hoerner Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 99% |
Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 95% |
Tyrone Taylor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 95% |
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 94% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 93% |
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 96% |
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 93% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 93% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 89% |
Ian Happ Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 90% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 90% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Josh Naylor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 98% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits | 86% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 85% |
David Peterson Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 85% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 85% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 84% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 83% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 78% | 80% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 72% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 53% | 89% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 67% | 73% |
Tyrone Taylor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Pedro Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 62% | 71% |
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 65% |
Carson Kelly Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 RBIs | 65% | — | — | — |
Cole Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Brock Rodden Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 63% |
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 61% | 65% |
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Chicago CubsWINNER | 1% | 94% | 32% | 99% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 39% | 86% |
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 32% | 87% |
David Peterson Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 43% | 76% |
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 55% |
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Brendan Donovan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Brendan Donovan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 47% | — | — | — |
Brock Rodden Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Tyrone Taylor Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Ian Happ Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 44% | — | — | 49% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | 45% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 68% | 21% |
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 40% | — | — | 47% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | 61% | 23% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 41% |
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 36% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 38% | 34% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 33% | — | — | — |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 26% | 40% |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 RBIs | 30% | — | — | — |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 22% | 35% |
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 27% | — | — | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 25% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 16% | 33% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits | 24% | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 23% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 28% | 18% |
Chicago C wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 23% |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 21% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits | 20% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | — | 18% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 18% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 17% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 17% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | 17% |
Alex Bregman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 15% |
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 14% |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits | 14% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits | 14% | — | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 14% |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 12% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Total Bases | 12% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 12% |
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | 12% |
Tyrone Taylor Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 11% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 10% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | 17% |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 9% |
Seattle Mariners | 99% | 7% | 68% | 9% |
Alex Bregman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 9% | — | — | — |
Pedro Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Brock Rodden Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Cole Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 8% |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Brendan Donovan Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 4% | 8% |
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 5.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 4% | 5% |
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 3% | — |
Alex Bregman Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 3.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
David Peterson Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
David Peterson Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Chicago Cubs
56.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Chicago C wins the Chicago C vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Chicago C vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for August 22 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-22 at 7:15PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Chicago Cubs: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 32.0¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 93.5¢ on Polymarket US; Seattle Mariners: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 68.0¢ on Polymarket, 9.3¢ on ProphetX, 6.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Chicago Cubs at 56.4¢ implies about a 56.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.