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Live prediction market odds for Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Washington Nationals Wins: Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-13

This market resolved on 2026-08-13. Washington Nationals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Chicago Cubs vs.

Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-13. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Dansby Swanson Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Jorbit Vivas Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Nico Hoerner Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Tyrone Taylor Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Washington NationalsWINNER
99%99%100%99%
Cade Cavalli Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Cade Cavalli Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Cade Cavalli Over 7.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Cade Cavalli Over 8.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Cade Cavalli Over 9.5 Strikeouts
99%———
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Kevin Gausman Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Jose Tena Under 0.5 Home Runs
———97%
Washington Nationals spread minus 2.5
98%—100%95%
Keibert Ruiz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%96%
Miguel Amaya Under 0.5 Home Runs
———95%
Total under 10.5
———94%
Total under 8.5
——96%91%
Alex Bregman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%91%
Daylen Lile Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%89%
Michael Conforto Under 0.5 Home Runs
———91%
Dansby Swanson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%90%
Ian Happ Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%90%
Abimelec Ortiz Under 0.5 Home Runs
———89%
Jorbit Vivas Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%97%
Kevin Gausman Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—88%—
Kevin Gausman Under 5.5 Strikeouts
———87%
Michael Busch Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%90%
Total under 7.5
——91%79%
Dylan Crews Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%90%
Total under 9.5
——81%88%
Seiya Suzuki Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%84%
Washington Nationals spread plus 4.5
———83%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%83%
Total under 12.5
———82%
CJ Abrams Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%83%
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Ian Happ Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Tyrone Taylor Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Washington Nationals spread minus 4.5
———78%
Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5
——66%89%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.0
———77%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.5
——64%87%
Washington Nationals spread plus 3.5
———75%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 3.5
———74%
Total under 11.5
———74%
Total over 4.5
99%——74%
Cade Cavalli Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—74%—
Total over 6.5
99%——74%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.0
———73%
Kevin Gausman Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%——73%
Kevin Gausman Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—71%—
Jacob Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Nasim Nunez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Miguel Amaya Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Brady House Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Jose Tena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Keibert Ruiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Miguel Amaya Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Total over 7.0
———61%
Cade Cavalli Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—58%65%
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Michael Conforto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.5
99%—100%60%
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Total over 5.5
99%——59%
Keibert Ruiz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Total under 9.0
———58%
Tyrone Taylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Andrew Pinckney Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Pedro Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Total under 8.0
———56%
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——55%
Kevin Gausman Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—49%62%
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Cade Cavalli Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——54%54%
Dansby Swanson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Ian Happ Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Tyrone Taylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Total over 8.0
———52%
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
51%———
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Andrew Pinckney Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Dansby Swanson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Total over 9.0
———50%
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Miguel Amaya Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Andres Chaparro Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Cade Cavalli Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—46%50%
Total under 5.5
———47%
Miguel Amaya Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Nasim Nunez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Jacob Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Total under 7.0
———47%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5
——0%46%
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Jorbit Vivas Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Brady House Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Jose Tena Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Kevin Gausman Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——51%39%
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Michael Conforto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
14%——68%
Cade Cavalli Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——42%39%
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
25%——54%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.0
———33%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
20%——45%
Total under 6.5
———31%
Total under 4.5
———31%
Washington Nationals spread minus 3.5
99%——31%
Kevin Gausman Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——29%—
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.0
———29%
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
28%———
Total over 11.5
1%——27%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.5
1%—36%18%
Chicago C wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——27%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 4.5
———27%
Cade Cavalli Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——26%—
Chicago Cubs spread minus 2.5
1%—34%16%
Total over 12.5
1%——22%
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
22%———
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——21%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 4.5
———20%
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——20%
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home Runs
———18%
Total over 9.5
1%—19%16%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%———
Total over 7.5
1%—9%24%
Andres Chaparro Over 0.5 Home Runs
———17%
Dylan Crews Over 0.5 Home Runs
———17%
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Home Runs
———16%
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Home Runs
———16%
Abimelec Ortiz Over 0.5 Home Runs
———15%
Brady House Over 0.5 Home Runs
———14%
Jose Tena Over 0.5 Home Runs
———14%
Alex Bregman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
13%———
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——12%
Dansby Swanson Over 0.5 Home Runs
———12%
Michael Conforto Over 0.5 Home Runs
———12%
CJ Abrams Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%———
Kevin Gausman Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——12%—
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%15%
Andrew Pinckney Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Keibert Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Total over 10.5
1%——10%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 2.5
——0%9%
Pedro Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Miguel Amaya Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Total over 8.5
1%—4%14%
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Alex Bregman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%———
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%———
Chicago Cubs
1%1%0%2%
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Kevin Gausman Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Kevin Gausman Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Dansby Swanson Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jorbit Vivas Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Tyrone Taylor Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Tyrone Taylor Over 1.5 Home Runs
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.1%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Washington Nationals

99.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Chicago C wins the Chicago C vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Chicago C vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Washington Nationals, scheduled for August 13 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-13 at 4:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Washington Nationals: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.8¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; Chicago Cubs: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.2¢ on Polymarket, 2.3¢ on ProphetX, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.1 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Washington Nationals at 99.2¢ implies about a 99.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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