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Live prediction market odds for Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Chicago Cubs Wins: Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-12

This market resolved on 2026-08-12. Chicago Cubs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Chicago Cubs vs.

Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Home Runs
99%———
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Alex Bregman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Alex Bregman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Andrew Pinckney Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
David Peterson Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%———
David Peterson Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—51%—
David Peterson Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—51%—
David Peterson Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Nasim Nunez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 4.5 runs scored
99%———
Pedro Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Dansby Swanson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Daylen Lile Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Tyrone Taylor Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
CJ Abrams Under 0.5 Home Runs
——94%99%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%98%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 4.5
———93%
Chicago CubsWINNER
99%100%88%98%
Dylan Crews Under 0.5 Home Runs
——86%99%
Andres Chaparro Under 0.5 Home Runs
——85%99%
Alex Bregman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——85%97%
Brady House Under 0.5 Home Runs
——91%99%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 3.5
———90%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 5.5
———89%
Total over 6.5
99%——89%
Seiya Suzuki Under 0.5 Home Runs
——79%99%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5
——87%90%
Total over 14.5
———88%
Ian Happ Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%84%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 2.5
——73%91%
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
Nasim Nunez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
Total over 11.5
99%——75%
Total over 7.5
99%——74%
Michael Busch Under 0.5 Home Runs
——48%99%
Chicago C wins by over 3.5 runs
99%——73%
Total over 9.5
99%—53%91%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 4.5
———72%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.0
———71%
David Peterson Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——55%86%
Total over 8.5
99%—75%63%
Andrew Pinckney Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
68%———
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Andrew Pinckney Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Nasim Nunez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Tyrone Taylor Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Carson Kelly Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Harry Ford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 2.5
99%—46%82%
Pedro Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Total over 12.5
99%——62%
Total over 5.5
99%——62%
Jacob Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Total over 10.5
99%—42%80%
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Tyrone Taylor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Seiya Suzuki Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
David Peterson Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—45%74%
Andres Chaparro Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Dansby Swanson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Brady House Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Tyrone Taylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Total over 9.0
———57%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.5
99%—58%55%
Jackson Kent Over 3.5 Strikeouts
———56%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.0
———55%
Total under 13.5
———55%
Total under 10.0
———55%
Brady House Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Ian Happ Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Andres Chaparro Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Dansby Swanson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Jacob Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——49%
Tyrone Taylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Andrew Pinckney Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Harry Ford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Nasim Nunez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Total over 13.5
99%——47%
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Total over 10.0
———47%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.0
———47%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——47%
Andrew Pinckney Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Jackson Kent Under 3.5 Strikeouts
———46%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.5
——42%48%
Total under 9.0
———45%
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Seiya Suzuki Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Nasim Nunez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Total under 12.5
———41%
Total under 10.5
——58%23%
Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5
——54%21%
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———37%
Total under 8.5
——25%44%
Washington Nationals spread plus 3.5
———33%
Total under 9.5
——47%18%
Total under 5.5
———32%
Total under 7.5
———32%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.0
———32%
Washington Nationals spread plus 4.5
———32%
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
30%———
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Home Runs
——52%6%
Total under 11.5
———29%
Total under 6.5
———22%
Washington Nationals spread plus 5.5
———22%
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%——43%
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
21%———
Washington Nationals spread minus 2.5
1%—27%12%
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Home Runs
———18%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
18%———
David Peterson Over 6.5 Strikeouts
16%———
Total under 14.5
———16%
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home Runs
——21%8%
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—15%11%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.5
1%—13%13%
Andres Chaparro Over 0.5 Home Runs
——15%9%
Washington Nationals spread minus 3.5
2%——20%
Washington Nationals spread minus 4.5
———11%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—11%10%
CJ Abrams Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%———
Dylan Crews Over 0.5 Home Runs
——14%6%
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Washington Nationals
1%1%13%3%
Dansby Swanson Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Tyrone Taylor Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Harry Ford Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Brady House Over 0.5 Home Runs
——9%4%
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—7%6%
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Nasim Nunez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Andrew Pinckney Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Pedro Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Home Runs
———4%
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
David Peterson Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Andres Chaparro Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Brady House Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Carson Kelly Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Dansby Swanson Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Harry Ford Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Ian Happ Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jacob Young Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Andres Chaparro Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Brady House Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Carson Kelly Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Dansby Swanson Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
David Peterson Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——50%—
David Peterson Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——50%—
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Harry Ford Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Harry Ford Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jacob Young Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Nico Hoerner Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Home Runs
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread12.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Chicago Cubs

96.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Chicago C wins the Chicago C vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Chicago C vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Washington Nationals, scheduled for August 12 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-12 at 6:45PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Chicago Cubs: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 87.5¢ on Polymarket, 98.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Washington Nationals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 12.5¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 12.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Chicago Cubs at 96.0¢ implies about a 96.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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