About This Market
Chicago White Sox vs.
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-19
This market resolved on 2026-08-19. Chicago White Sox was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Chicago White Sox vs.
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | 100% | — |
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | 100% | — |
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | 100% | — |
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | 100% | — |
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | 100% | — |
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | 100% | — |
Jake Rogers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | 100% | — |
Tyrone Taylor Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | 100% | — |
Pedro Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | 99% | — |
Andrew Benintendi Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — |
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — |
Andrew Benintendi Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | 99% | — |
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — |
Braden Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — |
Braden Montgomery Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — |
Carson Kelly Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | 99% | 99% |
Chase Meidroth Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | 99% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | 99% | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | 99% | — |
Tristan Peters Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | 99% | 99% |
Tyrone Taylor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — |
Jake Rogers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | 99% | 99% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | 98% | — |
Chicago White SoxWINNER | 100% | 100% | 98% |
Nico Hoerner Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | 98% | 99% |
Total under 7.5 | — | 94% | 98% |
Michael Busch Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | 91% | 99% |
Chase Meidroth Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | 94% | 99% |
Total under 9.5 | — | 93% | — |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | 95% | 90% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | 85% | 98% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | 84% | 99% |
Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | 91% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | 83% | 99% |
Alex Bregman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | 80% | 99% |
Braden Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | 80% | 99% |
Pedro Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | 80% | 99% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | 86% | 91% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.5 | 99% | 100% | 86% |
Total under 8.5 | — | 75% | 97% |
Clay Holmes Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | 82% | — |
Clay Holmes Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | 82% | — |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 2.5 | 99% | 100% | 82% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | 80% |
Tyrone Taylor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | 50% | 99% |
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | 50% | 98% |
Ian Happ Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | 66% | — |
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | 66% | — |
Tristan Peters Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | 66% | — |
Carson Kelly Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | 64% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | 62% | — |
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 54% |
Ian Happ Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | 50% | 99% |
Jake Rogers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 46% |
Tyrone Taylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 43% |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | 39% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | 39% | — |
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | 37% | — |
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | 37% | — |
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | 34% | — |
Tristan Peters Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | 34% | — |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | 50% | 9% |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | 50% | 9% |
Total over 4.5 | 1% | — | 29% |
Tyrone Taylor Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | 50% | 7% |
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 28% |
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 28% |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 25% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | 25% | — |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | 24% |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | 23% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 2.5 | — | 0% | 22% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5 | — | 0% | 17% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 14% | 19% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | 15% | 17% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | 16% | 12% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | 17% | 9% |
Total over 3.5 | 1% | — | 13% |
Andrew Benintendi Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | 1% | 10% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | 6% | 14% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.5 | 1% | 5% | 14% |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | 9% | 9% |
Jake Rogers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | 10% | 7% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | 7% | — |
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | 6% | 20% | 5% |
Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | 20% | 6% |
Chase Meidroth Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | 6% | 6% |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs | 6% | 1% | — |
Pedro Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | 20% | 6% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Home Runs | 6% | 1% | — |
Sam Antonacci Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | 100% | 8% |
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | 50% | 5% |
Chicago Cubs | 1% | 0% | 5% |
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | 2% | 5% |
Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | 3% | 7% |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — |
Over 11.5 runs scored | 2% | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | 2% | — |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Andrew Benintendi Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Andrew Benintendi Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Andrew Benintendi Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Braden Montgomery Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Carson Kelly Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Carson Kelly Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Carson Kelly Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Chase Meidroth Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Chase Meidroth Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Chase Meidroth Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Chicago C wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — |
Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — |
Clay Holmes Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — |
Clay Holmes Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — |
Clay Holmes Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — |
Clay Holmes Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — |
Clay Holmes Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — |
Clay Holmes Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | 1% | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Ian Happ Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Ian Happ Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Ian Happ Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Jake Rogers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Jake Rogers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Jake Rogers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Michael Busch Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Michael Busch Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Michael Busch Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Nico Hoerner Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Nico Hoerner Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Nico Hoerner Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Over 10.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Pedro Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Pedro Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Pedro Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Pedro Ramirez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Sam Antonacci Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Sam Antonacci Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Sam Antonacci Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Sam Antonacci Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Tristan Peters Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Tristan Peters Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Tristan Peters Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Tristan Peters Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Tyrone Taylor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Tyrone Taylor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Tyrone Taylor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — |
Tyrone Taylor Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | 1% | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | 0% | — |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | 0% | — |
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | 1% | — |
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | 0% | — |
Jake Rogers Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | 0% | — |
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | 0% | — |
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | 0% | — |
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | 0% | — |
Clay Holmes Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | 99% | — |
Clay Holmes Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | 99% | — |
Clay Holmes Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | 99% | — |
Sam Antonacci Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | 0% | 99% |
Chicago White Sox
99.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Pete Crow-Armstrong records 1+ home runs in Chicago WS vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Pete Crow-Armstrong is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Pete Crow-Armstrong starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Pete Crow-Armstrong is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market. If Pete Crow-Armstrong is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for August 19 at 2:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Pete Crow-Armstrong records more than 0.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Pete Crow-Armstrong records less than 0.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Player prop O/U - resolves per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Chicago White Sox: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 98.0¢ on ProphetX; Chicago Cubs: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 4.6¢ on ProphetX. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 4.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Chicago White Sox at 99.1¢ implies about a 99.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.