About This Market
Chicago White Sox vs.
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-14. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-14
This market resolved on 2026-09-14. Chicago White Sox was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 92%.
Chicago White Sox vs.
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-14. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | — | 98% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | — | 98% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 97% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 96% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 2.5 | 100% | — | — | 91% | 98% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 86% | 94% |
Steven Kwan Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 81% | 97% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 88% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | 84% |
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 81% | 87% |
Jose Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 81% | 87% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 67% | — | 98% |
Gavin Williams Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | 81% | — |
Gavin Williams Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | 81% | — |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 80% | 75% | 94% |
Austin Hedges Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 80% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | — | 80% |
Austin Hedges Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 79% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | — | 77% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 73% | 91% | 49% |
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 81% | 64% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 63% | 100% | 80% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | 53% | 100% | 89% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | 47% | — | 90% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 68% |
Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 81% | 54% |
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 81% | 53% |
Nathaniel Lowe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 67% |
Braden Montgomery Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 81% | 49% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 81% | 49% |
Angel Martinez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | 64% |
Chase Meidroth Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 64% |
Kyle Teel Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 61% |
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 61% |
Travis Bazzana Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 60% |
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | 60% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 59% |
Andrew Benintendi Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | 59% |
Jo Adell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | 58% |
Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 19% | 98% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 57% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.5 | 100% | — | — | 25% | 87% |
Gavin Williams Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 45% | 64% |
Chase DeLauter Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 54% |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% | 54% |
Chase DeLauter Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 53% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 53% |
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | 53% |
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | 53% |
Total over 7.5 | 100% | — | 27% | 78% | 53% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 52% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 91% | 12% |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% | 51% |
Andrew Benintendi Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | 50% |
Chicago White SoxWINNER | 100% | 50% | 92% | 44% | 99% |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 49% | — | — | 19% | 53% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 48% |
Kyle Teel Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 48% |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | — | 81% | 13% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 46% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — | 75% | 16% |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% | 46% |
Travis Bazzana Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 44% |
Gavin Williams Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 45% | 43% |
Chase Meidroth Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 44% |
Nathaniel Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Nathaniel Lowe Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 19% | 64% |
Brayan Rocchio Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 41% |
Tristan Peters Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 41% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 19% | 60% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 37% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 35% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | 54% | — | 14% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 48% | 100% | 20% |
Angel Martinez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 19% | 45% |
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 19% | 45% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 31% | — | — | 1% | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 38% | 100% | 24% |
Cleveland Guardians | 1% | 51% | 9% | 56% | 3% |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 29% | — | — | 1% | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 25% | — | — | 1% | — |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 25% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 34% | — | 11% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 25% | — | — | 19% | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 20% |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | — | 19% | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 19% | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | — | 1% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 19% | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 19% | 19% |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | 19% | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 16% |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 19% | 16% |
Jo Adell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | 19% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | 19% | — |
Andrew Benintendi Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 18% | 12% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 20% | 0% | 10% |
Nathaniel Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 14% |
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 19% | 8% |
Kyle Teel Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 13% |
Chase DeLauter Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 12% |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 19% | 12% |
Colson Montgomery Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 5% | — | — | 19% | — |
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | 1% | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — | 14% | 9% |
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 19% | 4% |
Angel Martinez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 1% | 11% |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 19% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — | 18% |
Jose Ramirez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | 1% | — |
Travis Bazzana Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 10% |
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 10% |
Colson Montgomery Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | — | 1% | — |
Sam Antonacci Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 1% | 8% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 8% | — | — | 1% | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 8% |
Chase Meidroth Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 6% |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | 0% | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 0% | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Gavin Williams Over 0.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Gavin Williams Over 10.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Gavin Williams Over 11.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Gavin Williams Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — | — |
Gavin Williams Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Gavin Williams Over 8.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Gavin Williams Over 9.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Chicago White Sox
76.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Cleveland wins the Chicago WS vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Chicago WS vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigCleveland Guardians in Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians (MLB); settled by Novig.
If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for September 14 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-14 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Chicago White Sox: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 44.0¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 49.5¢ on Polymarket US, 91.5¢ on Novig; Cleveland Guardians: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 56.0¢ on Polymarket, 3.1¢ on ProphetX, 50.5¢ on Polymarket US, 8.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 55.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Chicago White Sox at 76.7¢ implies about a 76.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.