About This Market
Chicago White Sox vs.
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (2:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-03. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (2:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-03
This market resolved on 2026-09-03. Houston Astros was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Chicago White Sox vs.
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (2:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-03. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | — |
Luis Castillo Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 96% | — |
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | — |
Sam Antonacci Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 96% |
Andrew Benintendi Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 93% |
Cam Smith Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 90% |
Jose Altuve Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 90% |
Jeremy Pena Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 91% |
Isaac Paredes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 89% |
Houston Astros spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 87% |
Christian Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 89% |
Luis Castillo Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 86% | — |
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 87% |
Daulton Varsho Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 86% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 85% |
Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 85% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 86% |
Houston Astros spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 79% | 87% |
Hunter Brown Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 82% | — |
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 95% | 67% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 99% | 81% |
Houston AstrosWINNER | 99% | 59% | 99% | 97% |
Houston Astros spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 71% | 80% |
Yordan Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 73% | 75% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 72% |
LaMonte Wade Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 95% | 49% |
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 78% | 65% |
Jake Rogers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 95% | 46% |
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 77% | 63% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 78% | 60% |
Houston Astros spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 41% | 96% |
Tristan Peters Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 95% | 41% |
Yordan Alvarez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 77% | 58% |
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 75% | 59% |
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 74% | 56% |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 74% | 56% |
Cam Smith Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 74% | 54% |
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 72% | 55% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 49% | 78% |
Hunter Brown Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 63% | — |
Hunter Brown Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 60% | — |
Luis Castillo Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 60% | 58% |
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 70% | 48% |
Houston Astros spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 31% | 87% |
Hunter Brown Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 57% | 57% |
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 70% | 44% |
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 48% | 61% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 54% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 29% | 77% |
Houston Astros spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 53% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 71% | 27% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 49% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
Cam Smith Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Luis Castillo Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 43% | — |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 69% | 16% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 51% | 26% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 59% | 8% |
Yainer Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 5% | 56% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 1% | 24% |
Chicago White Sox | 1% | 41% | 1% | 6% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | — | 22% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 21% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 22% | 17% |
Cam Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 13% |
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Luis Castillo Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Andrew Benintendi Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Chase Meidroth Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Houston wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — |
Hunter Brown Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Hunter Brown Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Hunter Brown Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Hunter Brown Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Jake Rogers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Jake Rogers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
LaMonte Wade Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
LaMonte Wade Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 5.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Sam Antonacci Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | — | — | — | — |
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Yainer Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Yainer Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Houston Astros
88.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Chicago WS vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Chicago WS vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Houston Astros, scheduled for September 3 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-03 at 2:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Houston Astros: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket, 97.2¢ on ProphetX, 59.0¢ on Polymarket US; Chicago White Sox: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket, 5.8¢ on ProphetX, 41.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 40.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Houston Astros at 88.5¢ implies about a 88.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.