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Live prediction market odds for Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (5:00 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (5:00 PM ET)

MLB·2026-09-29

Best price · tap to trade

Houston Astros54¢1.85xPolymarket USChicago White Sox47¢2.13xNovig

About This Market

Traders give Houston Astros about a 53.9% chance. Chicago White Sox follows at 46.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.6 percentage points.

Traders give Houston Astros about a 53.9% chance. Chicago White Sox follows at 46.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.6 percentage points.

Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (5:00 PM ET): MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
Houston AstrosHouston Astros
54%
Kalshi54¢
Polymarket US54¢
Novig55¢
Polymarket54¢
ProphetX55¢
Polymarket US1.87x54¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
54.0%52¢54¢46¢48¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
53.5%53¢54¢47¢47¢
NovigNovig
54.5%54¢55¢46¢47¢
PolymarketPolymarket
53.0%53¢54¢46¢47¢
ProphetXProphetX
54.6%53¢55¢45¢47¢
Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox
47%
Kalshi47¢
Polymarket US47¢
Novig47¢
Polymarket47¢
ProphetX47¢
Novig2.15x47¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
47.0%46¢47¢53¢54¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
46.5%47¢47¢53¢54¢
NovigNovig
46.5%46¢47¢54¢55¢
PolymarketPolymarket
47.0%46¢47¢53¢54¢
ProphetXProphetX
47.5%45¢47¢53¢55¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Spread

Best price
CWS +1.5
Kalshi63¢
Novig64¢
Polymarket63¢
ProphetX64¢
Novig1.57x64¢
HOU -1.5
Kalshi37¢
Novig38¢
Polymarket37¢
ProphetX38¢
Kalshi2.63x38¢

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Totals

Best price
O 8.5
Kalshi47¢
Novig48¢
Polymarket49¢
ProphetX47¢
Kalshi2.08x48¢
U 8.5
Kalshi53¢
Novig53¢
Polymarket52¢
ProphetX53¢
ProphetX1.89x53¢

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.6%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Leader

Houston Astros

53.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (5:00 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Houston wins the Chicago WS vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Chicago WS vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Houston Astros in Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros (MLB); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Houston Astros, scheduled for September 29 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros MLB AL Wild Card Game 1 scheduled for 2026-09-29 at 5:00PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (5:00 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (5:00 PM ET) odds?

The latest available prices are Houston Astros: 54.0¢ on Kalshi, 53.0¢ on Polymarket, 54.6¢ on ProphetX, 53.5¢ on Polymarket US, 54.5¢ on Novig; Chicago White Sox: 47.0¢ on Kalshi, 47.0¢ on Polymarket, 47.5¢ on ProphetX, 46.5¢ on Polymarket US, 46.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (5:00 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.6 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (5:00 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Houston Astros at 53.9¢ implies about a 53.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Sep 27

Final odds
Smart Money Positioning (24 hours)
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily buying Chicago White Sox

Smart Money Consensus$26.2K
$26.2KChicago White Sox
Smart Traders Split1
1Chicago White Sox
NovigBuy Yes at 47¢

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Chicago White Sox$26.2K · 1 whale

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Smart Money Feed
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Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $1.1M lifetime bet $10.5K on Chicago White Sox at 46¢

1h ago
PolymarketPolymarket USChicago White Sox vs. Houston AstrosTrade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $1.1M lifetime bet $15.7K on Chicago White Sox at 46¢

2h ago
PolymarketPolymarket USChicago White Sox vs. Houston AstrosTrade on Polymarket US →