White Sox vs. Astros (5:00 PM ET) Prediction - White Sox 58¢

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus

Best price

Chicago White Sox

Chicago White SoxARB

58%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	59.5%	59¢	60¢	40¢	41¢
Polymarket US	57.5%	57¢	58¢	43¢	43¢
Polymarket	56.0%	55¢	57¢	43¢	45¢
ProphetX	59.8%	57¢	60¢	40¢	43¢

Houston AstrosARB

42%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	40.5%	40¢	41¢	59¢	60¢
Polymarket US	42.5%	43¢	43¢	57¢	58¢
Novig	42.5%	42¢	43¢	58¢	58¢
Polymarket	44.0%	43¢	44¢	56¢	57¢

Kalshi

Polymarket US Novig

Novig

Polymarket

ProphetX

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Spread

Best price

CWS -1.5

HOU +1.5

Totals

Best price

O 11.5

U 11.5

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Chicago WS wins the Chicago WS vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Chicago WS vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Novig

Primary Rule

Chicago White Sox in Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros (MLB); settled by Novig.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Houston Astros, scheduled for September 30 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros MLB AL Wild Card Game 2 scheduled for 2026-09-30 at 5:00PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (5:00 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (5:00 PM ET) odds?

The latest available prices are Chicago White Sox: 59.5¢ on Kalshi, 56.0¢ on Polymarket, 59.8¢ on ProphetX, 57.5¢ on Polymarket US; Houston Astros: 40.5¢ on Kalshi, 44.0¢ on Polymarket, 42.5¢ on Polymarket US, 42.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (5:00 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 3.8 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (5:00 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Chicago White Sox at 58.2¢ implies about a 58.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.