About This Market
Chicago White Sox vs.
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-08-31. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-31
This market resolved on 2026-08-31. Houston Astros was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 88%.
Chicago White Sox vs.
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-08-31. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Yainer Diaz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Anthony Kay Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Anthony Kay Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Cam Smith Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Peter Lambert Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Tristan Peters Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Andrew Benintendi Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Christian Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Daulton Varsho Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
LaMonte Wade Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 94% | 99% |
Yainer Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | — |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 95% |
Jose Altuve Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 92% |
Drew Romo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 93% |
Chase Meidroth Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 99% |
Isaac Paredes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 99% |
Braden Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Sam Antonacci Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Jeremy Pena Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Houston Astros spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Yordan Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 96% |
Houston Astros spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 85% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Houston Astros spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 76% | 90% |
Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Houston Astros spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 79% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 79% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 79% |
Houston Astros spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 67% | 90% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 60% | 90% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 69% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 60% | 76% |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Hits | 66% | — | — | — |
Houston AstrosWINNER | 99% | 76% | 55% | 99% |
Anthony Kay Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | 65% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 65% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 52% | 77% |
Peter Lambert Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | 64% |
Houston Astros spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 64% |
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Houston Astros spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 38% | 88% |
Christian Vazquez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Tristan Peters Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 62% |
LaMonte Wade Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Anthony Kay Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 55% | 63% |
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Drew Romo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Cam Smith Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 55% |
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 49% | — | — | 57% |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 51% | — | — | 51% |
Drew Romo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Cam Smith Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
LaMonte Wade Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 48% |
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Houston Astros spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 73% | 20% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 46% |
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 45% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 40% | — | — | 49% |
Anthony Kay Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | 44% |
Christian Vazquez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Tristan Peters Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 62% | 23% |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 31% | — | — | 51% |
Anthony Kay Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | 40% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 48% | 27% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 40% | 34% |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 34% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 33% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits | 32% | — | — | — |
Peter Lambert Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 29% | — |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 27% |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | 52% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 40% | 14% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 26% |
Chicago White Sox | 1% | 24% | 48% | 4% |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits | 24% | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 23% |
Miguel Vargas Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 23% | — | — | — |
Peter Lambert Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 2% | 44% |
Houston Astros spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 21% |
Houston wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 21% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | — | — |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 24% | 14% |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits | 19% | — | — | — |
Peter Lambert Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 18% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits | 17% | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 20% | 15% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 15% |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | 9% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | 8% |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits | 14% | — | — | — |
Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs | 2% | — | — | 25% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 13% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits | 13% | — | — | — |
Anthony Kay Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 6% | — | 20% | — |
Andrew Benintendi Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | 12% |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Home Runs | 12% | — | — | 12% |
Anthony Kay Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | 19% | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 20% | 9% |
Drew Romo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Chase Meidroth Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 20% | 9% |
Sam Antonacci Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 6% | 11% |
LaMonte Wade Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Cam Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits | 7% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 4% |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Yainer Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 4% | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 1% | — |
Anthony Kay Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 2% | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Peter Lambert Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 2% | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 2% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 2% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 2% | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Anthony Kay Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Peter Lambert Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Peter Lambert Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Peter Lambert Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Yainer Diaz Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Anthony Kay Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 3.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Anthony Kay Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | — |
Peter Lambert Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | — |
Houston Astros
82.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Chicago WS wins the Chicago WS vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Chicago WS vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Houston Astros, scheduled for August 31 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-31 at 8:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Houston Astros: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 55.0¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 76.0¢ on Polymarket US; Chicago White Sox: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 47.5¢ on Polymarket, 4.1¢ on ProphetX, 24.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 46.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Houston Astros at 82.3¢ implies about a 82.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.