About This Market
Chicago White Sox vs.
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-02. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-02
This market resolved on 2026-09-02. Houston Astros was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Chicago White Sox vs.
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-02. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 3.5 Hits | 97% | — | — | — |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 95% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 94% |
Tristan Peters Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 93% |
Cam Smith Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 93% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Hayden Wesneski Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 92% | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits | 92% | — | — | — |
Braden Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | — |
Sam Antonacci Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | — |
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | — |
Houston Astros spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Jose Altuve Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Isaac Paredes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 92% |
Taylor Trammell Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 88% |
Daulton Varsho Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 93% |
Hayden Wesneski Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 87% | — |
Houston Astros spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 77% | 94% |
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 88% |
Andrew Benintendi Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 89% |
Jeremy Pena Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 90% |
Houston Astros spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 85% |
Christian Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 88% |
Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 85% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 78% | 86% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 81% |
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Chase Meidroth Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Houston Astros spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 68% | 87% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 60% | 95% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 77% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 75% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 72% | 79% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 73% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 49% | 93% |
Houston Astros spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 70% |
Tristan Peters Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 41% | 94% |
Christian Vazquez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 1% | 62% |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 60% | — | 1% | 63% |
Hayden Wesneski Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 62% | — |
Houston Astros spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 40% | 83% |
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 51% | 71% |
Taylor Trammell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits | 60% | — | — | — |
Jake Rogers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Cam Smith Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 1% | 58% |
Christian Vazquez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 64% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
Hayden Wesneski Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 55% | 58% |
Houston AstrosWINNER | 99% | 56% | 100% | 99% |
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 61% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 55% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | 60% |
Davis Martin Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 55% |
Hayden Wesneski Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 55% | — |
Yainer Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 54% |
Yainer Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 56% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 56% |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 55% |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | 53% |
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 53% |
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 53% |
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 51% |
Jake Rogers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 40% | — | 50% | 60% |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 48% | — | 50% | 50% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 50% |
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 49% |
Davis Martin Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 50% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | — | 50% | 49% |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | 49% | 50% |
Houston Astros spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 49% |
Christian Vazquez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 99% | 48% |
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 45% |
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 45% |
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 45% |
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 44% |
Taylor Trammell Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
Cam Smith Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Hayden Wesneski Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 46% | 46% |
Hayden Wesneski Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 45% | — |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 35% | — | 99% | 54% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 42% | — | 50% | 44% |
Chicago White Sox | 1% | 44% | 44% | 5% |
Tristan Peters Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 41% | — | 99% | 44% |
Tristan Peters Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Christian Vazquez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 61% | 21% |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 27% | — | 50% | — |
Hayden Wesneski Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 39% | — |
Total over 4.5 | 1% | — | — | 38% |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Hits | 38% | — | — | — |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 38% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 59% | 11% |
Colson Montgomery Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | 50% | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 32% |
Colson Montgomery Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | 50% | — |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 33% | 23% |
Houston Astros spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 29% | 26% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 3% | 51% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 27% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 41% | 9% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 24% | — | 1% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits | 22% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 22% | 23% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 22% |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | 23% |
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | — |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | — |
Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 20% |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | 19% |
Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 18% |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 19% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 23% | 15% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits | 18% | — | — | — |
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 17% |
Andrew Benintendi Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 15% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 17% |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs | 14% | — | 20% | 16% |
Cam Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 16% |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 15% |
Chase Meidroth Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 10% |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits | 14% | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 14% | — |
Taylor Trammell Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 13% |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits | 12% | — | — | — |
Houston Astros spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 12% |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | — | 12% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 99% | 11% |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | — | 11% |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 20% | — |
Jake Rogers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | — |
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | — |
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Houston wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 9% |
Sam Antonacci Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits | 9% | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 8% | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 5% |
Davis Martin Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Davis Martin Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Davis Martin Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Davis Martin Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Davis Martin Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 3.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 99% |
Houston Astros
88.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Chicago WS vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Chicago WS vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Houston Astros, scheduled for September 2 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-02 at 8:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Houston Astros: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.2¢ on ProphetX, 56.0¢ on Polymarket US; Chicago White Sox: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 44.0¢ on Polymarket, 4.6¢ on ProphetX, 44.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 43.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Houston Astros at 88.5¢ implies about a 88.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.