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Live prediction market odds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (8:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Cincinnati Reds Wins: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (8:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-22

This market resolved on 2026-08-22. Cincinnati Reds was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Cincinnati Reds vs.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (8:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Rhett Lowder Over 1.5 Strikeouts
——99%—
Rhett Lowder Over 2.5 Strikeouts
——99%—
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.5
——0%99%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 4.5
———99%
Total over 7.5
——100%99%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 4.5
———99%
Hector Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Ke'Bryan Hayes Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Cincinnati RedsWINNER
99%100%100%97%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 3.5
———97%
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 0.5 Home Runs
———97%
Ildemaro Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs
———96%
Dane Myers Under 0.5 Home Runs
———96%
Jose Fernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———96%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.5
——0%95%
Michael Soroka Under 6.5 Strikeouts
———95%
Tim Tawa Under 0.5 Home Runs
———94%
Total over 8.0
———92%
Total over 10.5
———91%
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Home Runs
———91%
Total over 6.5
———91%
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Home Runs
——90%—
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Home Runs
——90%—
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Home Runs
——90%—
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Home Runs
——90%—
Max Kepler Over 1.5 Home Runs
——90%—
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Home Runs
——90%—
Total over 8.5
——0%90%
Total over 5.5
———89%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 4.5
———89%
Sal Stewart Under 0.5 Home Runs
——86%89%
JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Home Runs
——86%89%
Elly De La Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——86%88%
Total over 4.5
———87%
Lars Nootbaar Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%92%
Eugenio Suarez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%88%
Corbin Carroll Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%88%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 2.5
——100%82%
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 2.5
——0%77%
Total over 11.5
———76%
Rhett Lowder Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——52%96%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.0
———73%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 3.5
———69%
Tyler Stephenson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Hector Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Dane Myers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Dane Myers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Gabriel Moreno Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Jose Fernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Corbin Carroll Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Max Kepler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Tim Tawa Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.0
———57%
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Tyler Stephenson Over 0.5 Home Runs
——90%23%
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Nolan Arenado Under 0.5 Home Runs
——19%91%
Total over 9.5
——11%97%
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Michael Soroka Over 6.5 Strikeouts
———53%
Geraldo Perdomo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——10%95%
Max Kepler Over 0.5 Home Runs
——90%15%
Gabriel Moreno Under 0.5 Home Runs
——10%95%
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Home Runs
——86%16%
Max Kepler Under 0.5 Home Runs
——10%92%
Michael Soroka Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——44%58%
Ildemaro Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs
——86%15%
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Home Runs
——84%17%
Tyler Stephenson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——10%90%
Gabriel Moreno Over 0.5 Home Runs
——90%10%
Tim Tawa Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Max Kepler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Geraldo Perdomo Over 0.5 Home Runs
——90%8%
Michael Soroka Over 5.5 Strikeouts
——44%54%
Jose Fernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Rhett Lowder Over 3.5 Strikeouts
——52%41%
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.0
———45%
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Ke'Bryan Hayes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Eugenio Suarez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Hector Rodriguez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———42%
Dane Myers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———42%
Hector Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Gabriel Moreno Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Tyler Stephenson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———39%
Matt McLain Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———39%
Dane Myers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———38%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 3.5
———37%
Total under 8.5
——54%18%
Total under 11.5
———33%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.0
———30%
Michael Soroka Over 4.5 Strikeouts
——29%—
Michael Soroka Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——29%—
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 2.5
——0%29%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 2.5
——100%27%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.5
——0%27%
Total under 4.5
———21%
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%16%
Total under 5.5
———18%
Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%17%
Total under 6.5
———17%
Michael Soroka Over 3.5 Strikeouts
——17%—
Michael Soroka Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——17%—
Lars Nootbaar Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%14%
Total under 10.5
———17%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 4.5
———15%
Total under 7.5
——100%15%
Total under 8.0
———14%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.5
——0%14%
Total under 9.5
——11%12%
Tim Tawa Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Max Kepler Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%9%
Jose Fernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 3.5
———8%
Ildemaro Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Dane Myers Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Arizona Diamondbacks
1%1%100%5%
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Rhett Lowder Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Rhett Lowder Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread99.4%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Cincinnati Reds

98.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (8:10 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Cincinnati wins the Cincinnati vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Cincinnati vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 22 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-22 at 8:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (8:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (8:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Cincinnati Reds: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 96.8¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Arizona Diamondbacks: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 5.2¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (8:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 99.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (8:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Cincinnati Reds at 98.8¢ implies about a 98.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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