About This Market
Cincinnati Reds vs.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-28
This market resolved on 2026-08-28. Cincinnati Reds was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.
Cincinnati Reds vs.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Jose Trevino Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits | 100% | — | — | — |
David Peterson Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
David Peterson Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Rhett Lowder Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Rhett Lowder Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Dane Myers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
David Peterson Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
David Peterson Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Michael Busch Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Michael Busch Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Rhett Lowder Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rhett Lowder Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rhett Lowder Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 2.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Trevino Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Ivan Johnson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Ian Happ Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 96% | 97% |
Sal Stewart Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 96% |
Michael Busch Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 95% |
Carson Kelly Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Nico Hoerner Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 94% | 99% |
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 97% | 89% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits | 93% | — | — | — |
Eugenio Suarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 99% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 99% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 92% |
Dane Myers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Alex Bregman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 93% |
Michael Conforto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Cincinnati RedsWINNER | 89% | 83% | 100% | 93% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 88% |
JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 95% |
Elly De La Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 99% |
Total over 10.5 | 100% | — | — | 87% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.5 | 70% | — | 94% | 86% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 86% |
Ian Happ Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 86% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 86% |
Total over 12.5 | 100% | — | — | 85% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 83% |
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 83% | — |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 80% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 4.5 | — | — | 90% | 65% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 3.5 | — | — | 98% | 51% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 73% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 4.5 | — | — | 100% | 73% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 2.5 | 2% | — | 70% | 70% |
Total over 11.5 | 100% | — | — | 70% |
Jose Trevino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 69% |
David Peterson Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 65% |
Matt McLain Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 65% |
JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 63% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 63% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 62% |
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 62% |
Ivan Johnson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Jose Trevino Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 61% |
Carson Kelly Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Michael Conforto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 58% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 3.5 | — | — | 29% | 85% |
David Peterson Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 57% |
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
Rhett Lowder Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 55% |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
Ivan Johnson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Dane Myers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 54% |
Ian Happ Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Pedro Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 53% |
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% |
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 50% |
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 48% |
Rhett Lowder Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 47% |
Michael Conforto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 46% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
David Peterson Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 45% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | 71% | 19% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 44% |
Jose Trevino Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Matt McLain Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | 40% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 39% |
Jose Trevino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 39% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 0% | 38% |
David Peterson Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 38% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 30% | 35% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 4.5 | 1% | — | — | 32% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | — | 46% |
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | — | 47% |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits | 29% | — | — | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 29% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 28% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | 2% | 53% |
Dane Myers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 5% | — | — | 50% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 25% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 4.5 | 1% | — | 10% | 39% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 22% |
Alex Bregman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 22% | — | — | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 21% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 21% |
Ian Happ Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | — | — |
Michael Busch Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits | 18% | — | — | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 0% | 18% |
Ian Happ Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Ian Happ Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | — | — |
JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 14% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 6% | 22% |
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 13% |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 13% | 15% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 25% | — | 13% | 6% |
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 12% |
Chicago Cubs | 12% | 18% | 0% | 9% |
Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 15% | 7% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 15% | 7% |
Ian Happ Over 2.5 Hits | 10% | — | — | — |
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 11% | 9% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 4% | 15% |
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Hits | 9% | — | — | — |
Tyler Stephenson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 9% |
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | 15% |
Ivan Johnson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Jose Trevino Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 8% |
Michael Conforto Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 8% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Dane Myers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 9% | 6% |
Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 6% | 9% |
Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 9% | 5% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | 7% |
Pedro Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 5% |
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 3% | — |
Sal Stewart Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.5 | 3% | — | 4% | 8% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 0% | 3% |
Tyler Stephenson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 3% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 1% | — |
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 1% | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 3.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 2% | — |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 2% | — |
Michael Busch Over 2.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Dane Myers Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
David Peterson Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
David Peterson Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
David Peterson Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jose Trevino Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 1% | — |
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Rhett Lowder Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Rhett Lowder Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Rhett Lowder Over 5.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
David Peterson Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
David Peterson Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Rhett Lowder Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Rhett Lowder Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Pedro Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Cincinnati Reds
91.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Chicago C wins the Cincinnati vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cincinnati vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for August 28 at 2:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-28 at 2:20PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Cincinnati Reds: 88.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 93.2¢ on ProphetX, 82.5¢ on Polymarket US; Chicago Cubs: 11.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 9.3¢ on ProphetX, 17.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 17.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Cincinnati Reds at 91.0¢ implies about a 91.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.