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Live prediction market odds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Cincinnati Reds Wins: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-28

This market resolved on 2026-08-28. Cincinnati Reds was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.

About This Market

Cincinnati Reds vs.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Jose Trevino Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits
100%———
David Peterson Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
David Peterson Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Rhett Lowder Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Rhett Lowder Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Dane Myers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
David Peterson Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
David Peterson Over 1.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Michael Busch Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Michael Busch Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Rhett Lowder Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Rhett Lowder Over 1.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Rhett Lowder Over 2.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Seiya Suzuki Over 2.5 Hits
99%———
Jose Trevino Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Ivan Johnson Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Ian Happ Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Home Runs
——97%—
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.5
——96%97%
Sal Stewart Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%96%
Michael Busch Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%95%
Carson Kelly Under 0.5 Home Runs
——91%99%
Nico Hoerner Under 0.5 Home Runs
——94%99%
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%99%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 2.5
——97%89%
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits
93%———
Eugenio Suarez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——85%99%
Seiya Suzuki Under 0.5 Home Runs
——85%99%
Total over 5.5
99%——92%
Dane Myers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——91%99%
Alex Bregman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%93%
Michael Conforto Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Cincinnati RedsWINNER
89%83%100%93%
Total over 4.5
99%——88%
JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%95%
Elly De La Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%99%
Total over 10.5
100%——87%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.5
70%—94%86%
Total over 8.5
99%—100%86%
Ian Happ Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%86%
Total over 7.5
99%—100%86%
Total over 12.5
100%——85%
Total over 6.5
99%——83%
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—83%—
Total over 8.0
———80%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 4.5
——90%65%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 3.5
——98%51%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.0
———73%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 4.5
——100%73%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 2.5
2%—70%70%
Total over 11.5
100%——70%
Jose Trevino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
David Peterson Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——0%65%
Matt McLain Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Total over 9.5
99%—100%65%
JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——63%
Total over 9.0
———63%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.0
———62%
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——62%
Ivan Johnson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Jose Trevino Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——61%
Carson Kelly Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Michael Conforto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——58%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 3.5
——29%85%
David Peterson Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%57%
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——55%
Rhett Lowder Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%55%
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——55%
Ivan Johnson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Dane Myers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——54%
Ian Happ Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Pedro Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——53%
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——52%
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——50%
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——48%
Rhett Lowder Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%47%
Michael Conforto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——46%
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
David Peterson Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%45%
Total under 9.0
———45%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 3.5
1%—71%19%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.0
———44%
Jose Trevino Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———42%
JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Matt McLain Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
11%——40%
Total under 11.5
———39%
Jose Trevino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——39%
Total under 9.5
——0%38%
David Peterson Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%38%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 2.5
——30%35%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 4.5
1%——32%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%——46%
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
15%——47%
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits
29%———
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.0
———29%
Total under 8.0
———28%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 3.5
1%—2%53%
Dane Myers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
5%——50%
Total under 12.5
———25%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 4.5
1%—10%39%
Total under 4.5
———22%
Alex Bregman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
22%———
Total under 10.5
———21%
Total under 6.5
———21%
Ian Happ Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%———
Michael Busch Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%———
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits
18%———
Total under 8.5
——0%18%
Ian Happ Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%———
Total under 5.5
———16%
Ian Happ Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
15%———
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
15%———
Alex Bregman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
14%———
JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——14%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5
——6%22%
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%13%
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—13%15%
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs
25%—13%6%
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%12%
Chicago Cubs
12%18%0%9%
Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—15%7%
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—15%7%
Ian Happ Over 2.5 Hits
10%———
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%—11%9%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 2.5
1%—4%15%
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Hits
9%———
Tyler Stephenson Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%9%
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—1%15%
Ivan Johnson Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Jose Trevino Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%8%
Michael Conforto Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——8%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits
8%———
Dane Myers Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—9%6%
Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—6%9%
Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—9%5%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—1%7%
Pedro Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%5%
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits
5%———
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Home Runs
5%—3%—
Sal Stewart Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.5
3%—4%8%
Total under 7.5
——0%3%
Tyler Stephenson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%3%
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs
5%—1%—
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%—1%—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 3.5 Hits
2%———
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—2%—
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—1%—
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%—2%—
Michael Busch Over 2.5 Hits
2%———
Dane Myers Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
David Peterson Over 2.5 Earned Runs
1%———
David Peterson Over 3.5 Earned Runs
1%———
David Peterson Over 4.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Jose Trevino Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%—1%—
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Rhett Lowder Over 3.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Rhett Lowder Over 4.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Rhett Lowder Over 5.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
David Peterson Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
David Peterson Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Rhett Lowder Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Rhett Lowder Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Pedro Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread17.4%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Cincinnati Reds

91.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Chicago C wins the Cincinnati vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Cincinnati vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for August 28 at 2:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-28 at 2:20PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Cincinnati Reds: 88.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 93.2¢ on ProphetX, 82.5¢ on Polymarket US; Chicago Cubs: 11.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 9.3¢ on ProphetX, 17.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 17.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Cincinnati Reds at 91.0¢ implies about a 91.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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