About This Market
Cincinnati Reds vs.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-29
This market resolved on 2026-08-29. Chicago Cubs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Cincinnati Reds vs.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Carson Kelly Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Kevin Gausman Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Kevin Gausman Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Matt McLain Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Pedro Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 3.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Sal Stewart Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Sal Stewart Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Sal Stewart Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 2.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Tyrone Taylor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Hector Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Matt Shaw Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Dane Myers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Chicago CubsWINNER | 99% | 98% | 100% | 99% |
Edwin Arroyo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 96% |
Carson Kelly Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Andrew Abbott Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 93% | — |
Sal Stewart Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 93% |
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 99% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Elly De La Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 99% |
Alex Bregman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 90% |
Michael Busch Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 96% |
Eugenio Suarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 89% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 94% | 82% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 100% | 84% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 82% |
Tyler Stephenson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Andrew Abbott Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 80% | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 80% |
Chicago C wins by over 3.5 runs | 99% | — | — | 79% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 77% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 77% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 75% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 73% |
Andrew Abbott Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 70% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 70% |
Dane Myers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 69% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 69% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 67% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 67% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 66% |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 63% |
Edwin Arroyo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Kevin Gausman Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 61% |
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 61% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 61% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | — | 61% |
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 60% |
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 60% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 60% |
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 57% |
Tyrone Taylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Carson Kelly Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 54% |
Hector Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 53% |
Pedro Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Matt Shaw Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Andrew Abbott Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 50% | — |
Hector Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 49% | — | — | 51% |
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 49% | — |
Andrew Abbott Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 48% | 50% |
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Tyrone Taylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 48% |
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 48% |
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 45% | — | — | 46% |
Edwin Arroyo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 45% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 45% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 0% | 45% |
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 44% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 44% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 0% | 43% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 43% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 41% |
Andrew Abbott Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 30% | 53% |
Dane Myers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Kevin Gausman Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 40% |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 26% | — | — | 53% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 39% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 38% |
Matt Shaw Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 22% | — | — | 51% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 0% | 36% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 0% | 35% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 31% |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits | 29% | — | — | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 29% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 27% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 27% |
Michael Busch Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 26% | — | — | — |
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 25% | — | — | — |
Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 22% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 22% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 22% | — | — | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 21% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 21% |
Andrew Abbott Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | 36% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — | 18% |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 17% |
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 17% |
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 16% | 14% |
Michael Busch Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | — | — |
Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 13% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 16% | 8% |
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 13% | 10% |
Matt Shaw Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 11% |
JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 14% | 7% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 10% |
Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 10% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
Dane Myers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Tyrone Taylor Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 9% |
Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 8% | 8% |
Andrew Abbott Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | 11% | — |
Edwin Arroyo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 6% |
Tyler Stephenson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 7% | — | — | 5% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.5 | 2% | — | 6% | 22% |
Pedro Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 5% |
Sal Stewart Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 100% | 4% |
Andrew Abbott Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 4% | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — |
Cincinnati Reds | 1% | 2% | 0% | 4% |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 100% | — |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Matt McLain Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 1% | — |
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Andrew Abbott Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Kevin Gausman Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Kevin Gausman Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Michael Busch Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Andrew Abbott Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Kevin Gausman Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Kevin Gausman Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Michael Busch Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Sal Stewart Over 3.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Kevin Gausman Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | — |
Nico Hoerner Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Chicago Cubs
99.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Cincinnati wins the Cincinnati vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cincinnati vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for August 29 at 2:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-29 at 2:20PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Chicago Cubs: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 98.0¢ on Polymarket US; Cincinnati Reds: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 3.9¢ on ProphetX, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 3.8 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Chicago Cubs at 99.0¢ implies about a 99.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.