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Live prediction market odds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Chicago Cubs Wins: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-29

This market resolved on 2026-08-29. Chicago Cubs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Cincinnati Reds vs.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Carson Kelly Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Kevin Gausman Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Kevin Gausman Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Matt McLain Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Home Runs
99%—100%—
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits
99%———
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Alex Bregman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Alex Bregman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Over 12.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 4.5 runs scored
99%———
Pedro Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits
99%———
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 3.5 Hits
99%———
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Sal Stewart Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Sal Stewart Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Sal Stewart Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Seiya Suzuki Over 2.5 Hits
99%———
Seiya Suzuki Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Seiya Suzuki Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Tyrone Taylor Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Hector Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Matt Shaw Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Seiya Suzuki Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Dane Myers Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Chicago CubsWINNER
99%98%100%99%
Edwin Arroyo Under 0.5 Home Runs
———96%
Carson Kelly Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Andrew Abbott Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——93%—
Sal Stewart Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%93%
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%99%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 4.5
———91%
Elly De La Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%99%
Alex Bregman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%90%
Michael Busch Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%96%
Eugenio Suarez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%89%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 3.5
———88%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5
——94%82%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 2.5
——100%84%
Total over 5.5
99%——82%
Tyler Stephenson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Andrew Abbott Over 1.5 Strikeouts
1%—80%—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%80%
Chicago C wins by over 3.5 runs
99%——79%
Total over 6.5
99%——77%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.5
99%—100%77%
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.0
———75%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 4.5
———73%
Andrew Abbott Over 2.5 Strikeouts
1%—70%—
Total over 9.5
99%—100%70%
Dane Myers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Total over 8.5
99%—100%69%
Total over 7.5
99%—100%67%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.0
———67%
Total over 9.0
———66%
Total over 11.5
99%——63%
Edwin Arroyo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Kevin Gausman Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——0%61%
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——61%
Chicago Cubs spread minus 2.5
99%—100%61%
Total over 10.5
99%——61%
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——60%
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——60%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——60%
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——57%
Tyrone Taylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Carson Kelly Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——54%
Hector Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——53%
Pedro Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Matt Shaw Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——52%
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——50%—
Andrew Abbott Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——50%—
Hector Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
49%——51%
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—49%—
Andrew Abbott Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——48%50%
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Tyrone Taylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——48%
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——48%
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
45%——46%
Edwin Arroyo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——45%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——45%
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Total under 7.5
——0%45%
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——44%
Total under 10.5
———44%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 2.5
——0%43%
Seiya Suzuki Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——43%
Total under 11.5
———41%
Andrew Abbott Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%—30%53%
Dane Myers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Kevin Gausman Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%40%
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
26%——53%
Total under 9.0
———39%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.0
———38%
Matt Shaw Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
22%——51%
Total under 8.5
——0%36%
Total under 9.5
——0%35%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 4.5
———31%
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits
29%———
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.0
———29%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.5
——0%27%
Total under 6.5
———27%
Michael Busch Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
26%———
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
25%———
Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%22%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%22%
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
22%———
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 3.5
———21%
Total under 5.5
———21%
Andrew Abbott Over 4.5 Strikeouts
3%——36%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 2.5
1%——18%
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%17%
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%17%
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—16%14%
Michael Busch Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
14%———
Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——13%
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—16%8%
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—13%10%
Matt Shaw Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——11%
JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—14%7%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 4.5
———10%
Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——10%
Elly De La Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%———
Dane Myers Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Tyrone Taylor Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——9%
Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—8%8%
Andrew Abbott Over 6.5 Strikeouts
3%—11%—
Edwin Arroyo Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%6%
Tyler Stephenson Over 0.5 Home Runs
7%——5%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.5
2%—6%22%
Pedro Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——5%
Sal Stewart Over 2.5 Hits
5%———
Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—100%4%
Andrew Abbott Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%—4%—
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits
3%———
Cincinnati Reds
1%2%0%4%
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—1%—
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—100%—
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Matt McLain Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—1%—
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Andrew Abbott Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits
1%———
Kevin Gausman Over 9.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Kevin Gausman Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Michael Busch Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Andrew Abbott Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Kevin Gausman Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Kevin Gausman Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
Michael Busch Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Sal Stewart Over 3.5 Hits
0%———
Kevin Gausman Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%—99%—
Nico Hoerner Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.8%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Chicago Cubs

99.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Cincinnati wins the Cincinnati vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Cincinnati vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for August 29 at 2:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-29 at 2:20PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Chicago Cubs: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 98.0¢ on Polymarket US; Cincinnati Reds: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 3.9¢ on ProphetX, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 3.8 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Chicago Cubs at 99.0¢ implies about a 99.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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