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Cincinnati Reds vs.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (7:20 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-08-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (7:20 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-30
This market resolved on 2026-08-30. Cincinnati Reds was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Cincinnati Reds vs.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (7:20 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-08-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Chase Burns Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Shota Imanaga Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Ian Happ Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Ian Happ Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Sal Stewart Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Sal Stewart Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Shota Imanaga Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Hector Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Michael Conforto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Miguel Amaya Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Pedro Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Dane Myers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 98% |
Jose Trevino Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | — |
Cincinnati RedsWINNER | 99% | 95% | 100% | 97% |
Tyler Stephenson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 95% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Alex Bregman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Michael Busch Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Eugenio Suarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 98% |
Chase Burns Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 87% | — |
JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 86% |
Sal Stewart Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 85% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 82% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 82% |
Elly De La Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 81% |
Chase Burns Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 81% | — |
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Nico Hoerner Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Shota Imanaga Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 81% | — |
Shota Imanaga Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 81% | — |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 80% |
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Dane Myers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Matt McLain Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 68% | 91% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 78% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 79% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 76% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 75% |
Shota Imanaga Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 81% | 65% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 55% | 90% |
Ian Happ Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 45% | 99% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 68% |
Shota Imanaga Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 81% | 54% |
Jose Trevino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Hector Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Matt McLain Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 65% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 45% | 84% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 64% |
Michael Conforto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Chase Burns Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 64% |
Jose Trevino Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 60% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 60% |
Miguel Amaya Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 29% | 89% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 58% |
Ian Happ Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Chase Burns Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 57% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 36% | 77% |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
Pedro Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 55% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — | 55% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
Dane Myers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 76% | 31% |
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Dane Myers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | — | 50% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 62% | 36% |
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 24% | 74% |
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 48% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 48% |
Miguel Amaya Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
Ian Happ Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 45% |
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 35% | — | — | 52% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 71% | 16% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 43% |
Jose Trevino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Michael Conforto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Hector Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Matt McLain Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 42% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 32% | 51% |
Chase Burns Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 41% |
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 41% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 41% |
Miguel Amaya Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 40% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 51% | 27% |
Michael Conforto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 39% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 55% | 21% |
Shota Imanaga Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 19% | 55% |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 RBIs | 36% | — | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 33% | — | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 33% | — | — | — |
Michael Busch Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 31% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 30% | — | — | — |
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Home Runs | 39% | — | 20% | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 29% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 45% | 14% |
Shota Imanaga Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 19% | 38% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 29% |
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 25% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 24% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home Runs | 42% | — | 19% | 23% |
Chicago C wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 22% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 18% | 26% |
Michael Busch Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 21% | — | — | — |
Tyler Stephenson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 21% |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 21% |
Dane Myers Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Matt McLain Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | — |
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 20% |
Chase Burns Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 19% | — |
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Home Runs | 42% | — | 19% | 6% |
Shota Imanaga Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 19% | — |
Shota Imanaga Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 19% | — |
Total over 13.5 | 1% | — | — | 19% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 14% | — | 20% | — |
Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 13% |
Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 14% |
JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Alex Bregman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | — | — |
Jose Trevino Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 13% |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 19% | 6% |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 19% | 12% |
Michael Busch Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 5% |
Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 4% |
Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 20% | — |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 20% | — |
Chicago Cubs | 1% | 6% | 0% | 15% |
Dane Myers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 10% |
Sal Stewart Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
Michael Conforto Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | — | — |
Pedro Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Shota Imanaga Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 8% | — | — | — |
Miguel Amaya Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 RBIs | 6% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 6% | — | — | — |
Shota Imanaga Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 5% | — | — | — |
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Shota Imanaga Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Shota Imanaga Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Cincinnati Reds
97.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Cincinnati wins the Cincinnati vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 7:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cincinnati vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 7:20 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for August 30 at 7:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-30 at 7:20PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Cincinnati Reds: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 97.1¢ on ProphetX, 94.5¢ on Polymarket US; Chicago Cubs: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 15.2¢ on ProphetX, 5.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 15.1 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Cincinnati Reds at 97.6¢ implies about a 97.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.