About This Market
Cleveland Guardians vs.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-07. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-07
This market resolved on 2026-09-07. Baltimore Orioles was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Cleveland Guardians vs.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-07. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
David Fry Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jo Adell Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Steven Kwan Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | 100% |
Trevor Rogers Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 97% | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 95% |
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | — |
David Fry Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 94% | 95% |
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 94% | 94% |
Angel Martinez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 94% | 92% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 98% | 85% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 93% | 90% |
Jose Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 89% |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 91% | 54% |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 91% | — |
Brayan Rocchio Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 96% |
Jo Adell Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 85% |
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 90% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 83% |
Joey Cantillo Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 86% | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 85% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 84% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 84% |
Trevor Rogers Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 81% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 89% | 73% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 0% | 81% |
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 76% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 91% | 65% |
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 75% |
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 91% | 60% |
Jose Ramirez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 64% |
Trevor Rogers Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 100% | — | 72% | — |
Rece Hinds Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 91% | 53% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 61% |
Angel Genao Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 61% |
Baltimore OriolesWINNER | 100% | 45% | 99% | 97% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 70% |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 91% | 50% |
Angel Martinez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 70% | — |
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 91% | 49% |
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 56% |
Total over 5.5 | 100% | — | 99% | 68% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 0% | 68% |
Angel Martinez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 55% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 67% |
Blaze Alexander Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 53% |
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 53% |
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 91% | 42% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 91% | 41% |
Petey Halpin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 50% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 65% |
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 91% | 38% |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | — | 91% | — |
David Fry Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 46% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5 | 100% | — | 88% | 39% |
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 63% | — |
Joey Cantillo Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 62% | — |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 62% |
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 40% |
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Austin Hedges Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | 91% | 57% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 1% | 57% |
Joey Cantillo Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 55% | 59% |
Total over 7.5 | 100% | — | 100% | 57% |
Trevor Rogers Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 16% | — | 98% | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
Joey Cantillo Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 57% | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | 42% | 71% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 91% | 21% |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 22% | — | 91% | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | 91% | — |
Trevor Rogers Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 51% | 54% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | 91% | — |
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Trevor Rogers Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 49% | 49% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 0% | 49% |
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 7% | — | 91% | — |
Total over 6.5 | 100% | — | 99% | 49% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 3.5 | — | — | 58% | 37% |
Joey Cantillo Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | 47% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 9% | 82% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 46% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Joey Cantillo Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 43% | — |
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 10% | 75% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | 1% | 40% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 38% |
Joey Cantillo Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 38% | — |
Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 37% | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 23% | — | — | 51% |
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 10% | 63% |
Brayan Rocchio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 10% | 63% |
Blaze Alexander Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | — | 52% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 35% |
Petey Halpin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | — | 57% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 34% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 32% |
Jo Adell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 10% | 55% |
David Fry Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 8% | — | — | 55% |
Total over 8.5 | 31% | — | 100% | 32% |
Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 10% | 53% |
Rece Hinds Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 10% | 52% |
Angel Martinez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | 50% |
Cleveland Guardians | 1% | 54% | 1% | 7% |
Austin Hedges Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 10% | 50% |
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 10% | 50% |
Trevor Rogers Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 29% | — | 99% | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | 46% |
Trevor Rogers Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 28% | — |
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 10% | 46% |
Total over 9.5 | 100% | — | 100% | 27% |
Angel Genao Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 8% | — | — | 45% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 5% | — | — | 47% |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 4% | — | — | 45% |
Joey Cantillo Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 21% | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 11% | 29% |
Jo Adell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 18% |
Angel Martinez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 30% | — |
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 15% | 18% |
Joey Cantillo Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 15% | — |
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 14% | 15% |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 14% | 16% |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | — | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 12% | 12% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 2% | 21% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 9% |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 9% | 14% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 8% | 15% |
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 8% | — | — | — |
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 5% | 9% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 7% | 17% |
Angel Martinez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 6% | 13% |
David Fry Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 6% | 12% |
Blaze Alexander Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 9% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 8% |
Rece Hinds Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 9% |
Angel Genao Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 9% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 5% | — | — | — |
David Fry Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 1% | — |
Austin Hedges Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 7% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 1% | — |
Trevor Rogers Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 3% | — |
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 3% | 4% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 3% | — | — | — |
Trevor Rogers Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 2% | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 2% | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 2% | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 2% | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Joey Cantillo Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Trevor Rogers Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Joey Cantillo Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Baltimore wins by over 4.5 runs | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — |
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Home Runs | 100% | — | 0% | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Over 13.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 12.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 3.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 4.5 | — | — | — | — |
Trevor Rogers Over 1.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — |
Trevor Rogers Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Trevor Rogers Over 8.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles
85.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Cleveland wins the Cleveland vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cleveland vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 7 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-07 at 1:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Baltimore Orioles: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.1¢ on Polymarket, 97.3¢ on ProphetX, 44.5¢ on Polymarket US; Cleveland Guardians: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.9¢ on Polymarket, 6.6¢ on ProphetX, 53.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 55.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Baltimore Orioles at 85.1¢ implies about a 85.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.