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Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Baltimore Orioles Wins: Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-07

This market resolved on 2026-09-07. Baltimore Orioles was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.

About This Market

Cleveland Guardians vs.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-07. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
David Fry Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Jo Adell Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Steven Kwan Under 0.5 Home Runs
——97%100%
Trevor Rogers Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——97%—
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5
———95%
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs
——95%—
David Fry Under 0.5 Home Runs
——94%95%
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——94%94%
Angel Martinez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——94%92%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5
——98%85%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Home Runs
——93%90%
Jose Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%89%
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—91%54%
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—91%—
Brayan Rocchio Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%96%
Jo Adell Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%85%
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——86%90%
Total under 12.5
———88%
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs
——91%83%
Joey Cantillo Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——86%—
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5
———85%
Total under 11.5
———84%
Total under 10.5
———84%
Trevor Rogers Under 5.5 Strikeouts
———81%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5
——89%73%
Total under 8.5
——0%81%
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%76%
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—91%65%
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—91%60%
Jose Ramirez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%64%
Trevor Rogers Over 3.5 Strikeouts
100%—72%—
Rece Hinds Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—91%53%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%61%
Angel Genao Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%61%
Baltimore OriolesWINNER
100%45%99%97%
Total under 9.0
———70%
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—91%50%
Angel Martinez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——70%—
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—91%49%
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%56%
Total over 5.5
100%—99%68%
Total under 9.5
——0%68%
Angel Martinez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%55%
Total under 7.0
———67%
Blaze Alexander Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%53%
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%53%
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—91%42%
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—91%41%
Petey Halpin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%50%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0
———65%
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—91%38%
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
38%—91%—
David Fry Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%46%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5
100%—88%39%
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Home Runs
——63%—
Joey Cantillo Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——62%—
Total under 8.0
———62%
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%40%
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Austin Hedges Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
14%—91%57%
Total under 6.5
——1%57%
Joey Cantillo Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%—55%59%
Total over 7.5
100%—100%57%
Trevor Rogers Over 7.5 Strikeouts
16%—98%—
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.0
———57%
Joey Cantillo Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——57%—
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 3.5
1%—42%71%
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 2.5
——91%21%
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
22%—91%—
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%—91%—
Trevor Rogers Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—51%54%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
14%—91%—
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Trevor Rogers Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——49%49%
Total under 7.5
——0%49%
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%—91%—
Total over 6.5
100%—99%49%
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 3.5
——58%37%
Joey Cantillo Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——1%47%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5
1%—9%82%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0
———46%
Total over 8.0
———45%
Joey Cantillo Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%—43%—
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——10%75%
Total over 7.0
———40%
Total under 5.5
——1%40%
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.0
———38%
Joey Cantillo Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—38%—
Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Home Runs
——37%—
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
23%——51%
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——10%63%
Brayan Rocchio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——10%63%
Blaze Alexander Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
20%——52%
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 4.5
———35%
Petey Halpin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
13%——57%
Total over 9.0
———34%
Total under 3.5
———32%
Jo Adell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——10%55%
David Fry Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
8%——55%
Total over 8.5
31%—100%32%
Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——10%53%
Rece Hinds Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——10%52%
Angel Martinez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
11%——50%
Cleveland Guardians
1%54%1%7%
Austin Hedges Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——10%50%
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——10%50%
Trevor Rogers Over 6.5 Strikeouts
29%—99%—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%——46%
Trevor Rogers Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——28%—
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——10%46%
Total over 9.5
100%—100%27%
Angel Genao Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
8%——45%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
5%——47%
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
4%——45%
Joey Cantillo Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%—21%—
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5
1%—11%29%
Jo Adell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
18%———
Total under 4.5
———18%
Angel Martinez Over 1.5 Home Runs
5%—30%—
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%———
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%———
Jose Ramirez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%———
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
15%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—15%18%
Joey Cantillo Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%—15%—
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—14%15%
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—14%16%
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
14%———
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.5
——12%12%
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 2.5
1%—2%21%
Brayan Rocchio Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
11%———
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 4.5
———9%
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—9%14%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—8%15%
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
8%———
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs
——5%9%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—7%17%
Angel Martinez Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—6%13%
David Fry Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—6%12%
Blaze Alexander Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——9%
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——8%
Rece Hinds Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——9%
Angel Genao Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——9%
Brayan Rocchio Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
5%———
David Fry Over 1.5 Home Runs
5%—1%—
Austin Hedges Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——7%
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Home Runs
4%———
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Home Runs
5%—1%—
Trevor Rogers Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—3%—
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—3%4%
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
3%———
Trevor Rogers Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——2%—
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—2%—
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—2%—
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—2%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Joey Cantillo Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Trevor Rogers Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Joey Cantillo Over 1.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Baltimore wins by over 4.5 runs
————
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits
————
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits
————
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits
————
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs
————
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Home Runs
100%—0%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits
————
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits
————
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits
————
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits
————
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits
————
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits
————
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Hits
————
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits
————
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits
————
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits
————
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits
————
Over 13.5 runs scored
————
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits
————
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits
————
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits
————
Total over 10.5
————
Total over 11.5
————
Total over 12.5
————
Total over 3.5
————
Total over 4.5
————
Trevor Rogers Over 1.5 Earned Runs
————
Trevor Rogers Over 5.5 Strikeouts
————
Trevor Rogers Over 8.5 Strikeouts
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread55.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Baltimore Orioles

85.1% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Cleveland wins the Cleveland vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Cleveland vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 7 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-07 at 1:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Baltimore Orioles: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.1¢ on Polymarket, 97.3¢ on ProphetX, 44.5¢ on Polymarket US; Cleveland Guardians: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.9¢ on Polymarket, 6.6¢ on ProphetX, 53.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 55.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Baltimore Orioles at 85.1¢ implies about a 85.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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