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Cleveland Guardians vs.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-08
This market resolved on 2026-09-08. Cleveland Guardians was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
Cleveland Guardians vs.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cleveland GuardiansWINNER | 100% | 43% | 97% | 97% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5 | 100% | — | 91% | 92% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 90% | 93% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 99% | 89% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 90% | 83% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 66% | 91% |
Travis Bazzana Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 97% | 58% |
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 97% | 55% |
Jo Adell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 97% | 53% |
Petey Halpin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 73% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 66% | 76% |
Nathaniel Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 75% | 60% |
Samuel Basallo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 75% | 59% |
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 0% | 66% |
Brayan Rocchio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 75% | 55% |
Blaze Alexander Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 73% | 51% |
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Angel Martinez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Patrick Bailey Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 59% |
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 55% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 2.5 | 100% | — | 23% | 85% |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 99% | 53% |
Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 1% | 52% |
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 52% |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Angel Martinez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 49% |
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Patrick Bailey Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 43% |
Blaze Alexander Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Petey Halpin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 28% | 54% |
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 40% |
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 27% | 52% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 26% | 51% |
Nathaniel Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 26% | 50% |
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 26% | 48% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 37% | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 32% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 34% | 29% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 29% |
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 3% | 54% |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 3% | 53% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 27% |
Travis Bazzana Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 3% | 51% |
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 25% | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 34% | 13% |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 22% | — | 24% | — |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 20% | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 21% | 18% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 10% | 28% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 18% | — |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 18% |
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 21% | — | 14% | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | 19% | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | 15% | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 12% | 11% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 12% | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 7% | 14% |
Jo Adell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | 8% | — |
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 9% | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 8% | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 2% | 11% |
Baltimore Orioles | 1% | 58% | 3% | 5% |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 5% | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 3% | — |
Brandon Young Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Young Over 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Young Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Young Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Young Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Young Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Young Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Young Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Young Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Young Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Young Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Young Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Young Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 5.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 1% | — |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Nathaniel Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Nathaniel Lowe Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Nathaniel Lowe Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Nathaniel Lowe Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 5.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Samuel Basallo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Samuel Basallo Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Tanner Bibee Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — |
Tanner Bibee Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Tanner Bibee Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Tanner Bibee Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Tanner Bibee Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Tanner Bibee Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Tanner Bibee Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Tanner Bibee Over 8.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Tanner Bibee Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Tanner Bibee Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Tanner Bibee Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Tanner Bibee Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Tanner Bibee Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | — | — | — | — |
Travis Bazzana Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Travis Bazzana Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Travis Bazzana Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Travis Bazzana Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Cleveland Guardians
84.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Baltimore wins the Cleveland vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cleveland vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 8 at 6:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-08 at 6:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Cleveland Guardians: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 97.0¢ on Polymarket, 97.1¢ on ProphetX, 42.5¢ on Polymarket US; Baltimore Orioles: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 3.0¢ on Polymarket, 5.2¢ on ProphetX, 57.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 57.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Cleveland Guardians at 84.0¢ implies about a 84.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.