About This Market
Cleveland Guardians vs.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-21
This market resolved on 2026-08-21. Cleveland Guardians was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
Cleveland Guardians vs.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Braxton Fulford Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Chase DeLauter Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Joey Cantillo Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 5.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Tanner Gordon Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
TJ Rumfield Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Ezequiel Tovar Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Travis Bazzana Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Mickey Moniak Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Brayan Rocchio Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 96% |
Steven Kwan Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 99% |
Jose Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Jordan Beck Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Travis Bazzana Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Total under 15.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5 | 97% | — | 60% | 92% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Nathaniel Lowe Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 98% |
Jake McCarthy Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Angel Martinez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 89% |
Connor Norby Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 89% |
Willi Castro Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Total under 14.5 | — | — | — | 87% |
Cleveland GuardiansWINNER | 99% | 100% | 78% | 96% |
Total over 10.0 | — | — | — | 85% |
Joey Cantillo Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | 84% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Jordan Beck Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 83% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 73% | 88% |
Cole Carrigg Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Joey Cantillo Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 80% | — |
Tanner Gordon Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 80% | — |
TJ Rumfield Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 81% | 77% |
Tanner Gordon Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 63% | 95% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | — | 79% |
Steven Kwan Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 95% | — | — | 58% |
Total under 13.5 | — | — | — | 77% |
Braxton Fulford Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 74% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 70% |
Cole Carrigg Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 69% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 68% |
Jake McCarthy Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | 58% | 75% |
Ezequiel Tovar Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs | 99% | — | — | 66% |
Total over 11.0 | — | — | — | 65% |
Angel Martinez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | — | 65% |
Angel Martinez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Austin Hedges Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
TJ Rumfield Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Total under 12.0 | — | — | — | 62% |
Angel Genao Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Joey Cantillo Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | 60% |
Travis Bazzana Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 51% | 70% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 39% | 80% |
Jake McCarthy Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Patrick Bailey Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Angel Genao Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Nathaniel Lowe Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 57% |
Willi Castro Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 58% | 56% |
Colorado Rockies spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 57% |
Connor Norby Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Mickey Moniak Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 56% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Chase DeLauter Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Jo Adell Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Mickey Moniak Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Nathaniel Lowe Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Jake McCarthy Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Jose Ramirez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Adael Amador Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Adael Amador Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Chase DeLauter Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Steven Kwan Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Troy Johnston Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Willi Castro Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Jake McCarthy Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 53% | — |
Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 53% | — |
Troy Johnston Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Braxton Fulford Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Patrick Bailey Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Brayan Rocchio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Cole Carrigg Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Nathaniel Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Travis Bazzana Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 90% | 6% |
Colorado Rockies spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 48% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 47% |
Connor Norby Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Joey Cantillo Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 47% | — | — | — |
Jake McCarthy Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 47% | — |
Angel Martinez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Ezequiel Tovar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Tanner Gordon Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | 47% |
TJ Rumfield Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Total over 12.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | — | 47% |
Austin Hedges Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 RBIs | 46% | — | — | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 43% | 48% |
Travis Bazzana Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Jake McCarthy Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Total under 11.0 | — | — | — | 43% |
Colorado Rockies spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 62% | 24% |
Angel Martinez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | 50% | 35% |
Tanner Gordon Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 20% | 61% |
Colorado Rockies spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 38% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | 42% | 29% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 35% |
Colorado Rockies spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 34% |
Colorado Rockies spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 53% | 15% |
Total over 13.5 | 1% | — | — | 32% |
Jordan Beck Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 28% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — | 26% |
Tanner Gordon Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | 99% | 46% |
Colorado wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 23% |
Total under 10.0 | — | — | — | 23% |
Colorado Rockies spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 19% | 23% |
Total over 14.5 | 1% | — | — | 21% |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 21% | — | — | — |
Colorado Rockies spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 27% | 15% |
Angel Martinez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 19% |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 RBIs | 19% | — | — | — |
Nathaniel Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 13% |
Colorado Rockies | 1% | 1% | 25% | 7% |
Total over 15.5 | 1% | — | — | 15% |
Connor Norby Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 15% |
Jake McCarthy Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 8% |
Travis Bazzana Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 8% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 14% |
Jordan Beck Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 7% |
Cole Carrigg Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 5% |
Colorado Rockies spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 12% |
TJ Rumfield Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 4% |
Tanner Gordon Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 12% | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Jordan Beck Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | — |
Ezequiel Tovar Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 RBIs | 9% | — | — | — |
Willi Castro Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 12% | 5% |
Joey Cantillo Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 8% | — | — | — |
Braxton Fulford Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Chase DeLauter Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Joey Cantillo Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Joey Cantillo Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 3% | 3% |
Tanner Gordon Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Tanner Gordon Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 5.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 3.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 5.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Travis Bazzana Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Joey Cantillo Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Joey Cantillo Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 2.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 3.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Willi Castro Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Cole Carrigg Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Joey Cantillo Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Joey Cantillo Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Joey Cantillo Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Joey Cantillo Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Tanner Gordon Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Joey Cantillo Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | — |
Cleveland Guardians
93.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Colorado wins the Cleveland vs Colorado professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cleveland vs Colorado professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for August 21 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-21 at 8:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Cleveland Guardians: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 77.5¢ on Polymarket, 95.8¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Colorado Rockies: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 25.0¢ on Polymarket, 6.8¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 24.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Cleveland Guardians at 93.0¢ implies about a 93.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.