About This Market
Cleveland Guardians vs.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-12
This market resolved on 2026-08-12. Cleveland Guardians was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 88%.
Cleveland Guardians vs.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Angel Genao Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Angel Martinez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 99% |
Ben Malgeri Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Foster Griffin Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Framber Valdez Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Framber Valdez Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Javier Baez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Chase DeLauter Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Hao-Yu Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 99% |
Max Clark Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Rhys Hoskins Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Travis Bazzana Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Foster Griffin Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 98% |
Gleyber Torres Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 98% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 96% |
Kevin McGonigle Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 93% | 99% |
Spencer Torkelson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 99% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Dillon Dingler Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 99% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 91% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 91% |
Eduardo Valencia Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 90% |
Detroit Tigers spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Detroit Tigers spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 86% | 86% |
Cleveland GuardiansWINNER | 99% | 93% | 33% | 84% |
Austin Hedges Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 84% |
Detroit Tigers spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 82% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 80% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 80% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 69% | 90% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 72% | 87% |
Rhys Hoskins Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 79% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 79% |
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 77% |
Brayan Rocchio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 76% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 69% | 82% |
Framber Valdez Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 51% | 99% |
Ben Malgeri Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 74% |
Dillon Dingler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 73% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 54% | 93% |
Jo Adell Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 49% | 96% |
Kevin McGonigle Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Max Clark Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Detroit Tigers spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 86% | 47% |
Gleyber Torres Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Travis Bazzana Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Jo Adell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 64% |
Angel Genao Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Ben Malgeri Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Rhys Hoskins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 63% |
Chase DeLauter Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Javier Baez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Hao-Yu Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Spencer Torkelson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
Angel Martinez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Angel Martinez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Hao-Yu Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 62% | 48% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 55% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 55% |
Eduardo Valencia Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Spencer Torkelson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Chase DeLauter Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Eduardo Valencia Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Corey Julks Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Javier Baez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Detroit Tigers spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
Angel Genao Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Foster Griffin Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 49% |
Detroit Tigers spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 48% |
Ben Malgeri Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Gleyber Torres Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Ben Malgeri Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 51% | — | — | 40% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 38% | 53% |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Kevin McGonigle Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Max Clark Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Travis Bazzana Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Rhys Hoskins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 40% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 14% | 65% |
Framber Valdez Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 49% | 29% |
Dillon Dingler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 38% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Rhys Hoskins Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Austin Hedges Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 36% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 33% |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 52% | 12% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 31% |
Steven Kwan Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 29% | — | — | — |
Detroit Tigers spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 46% | 11% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 31% | 22% |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 25% | — | — | — |
Detroit wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 23% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 28% | 16% |
Detroit Tigers spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 31% | 13% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 20% |
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 20% |
Detroit Tigers | 1% | 8% | 67% | 18% |
Detroit Tigers spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 18% |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 14% | 17% |
Steven Kwan Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | — | — |
Eduardo Valencia Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 14% |
Jose Ramirez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
Dillon Dingler Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 16% | 9% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 12% |
Jo Adell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Gleyber Torres Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 10% |
Spencer Torkelson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 14% | 6% |
Rhys Hoskins Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Travis Bazzana Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Angel Martinez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 8% |
Hao-Yu Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 8% |
Chase DeLauter Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Kevin McGonigle Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 7% | 8% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Steven Kwan Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Javier Baez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 10% |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Home Runs | 6% | — | — | — |
Max Clark Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Austin Hedges Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Angel Genao Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Ben Malgeri Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 6% |
Foster Griffin Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Foster Griffin Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Foster Griffin Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Foster Griffin Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Foster Griffin Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Framber Valdez Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Framber Valdez Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Framber Valdez Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Framber Valdez Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Framber Valdez Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Angel Martinez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Austin Hedges Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Brayan Rocchio Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Chase DeLauter Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Dillon Dingler Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Foster Griffin Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Foster Griffin Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Framber Valdez Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Framber Valdez Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Gleyber Torres Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Hao-Yu Lee Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jo Adell Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Kevin McGonigle Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Max Clark Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Spencer Torkelson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Angel Martinez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Austin Hedges Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Austin Hedges Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Chase DeLauter Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Dillon Dingler Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Gleyber Torres Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Hao-Yu Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Kevin McGonigle Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Max Clark Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Spencer Torkelson Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Cleveland Guardians
77.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Detroit wins the Cleveland vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cleveland vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for August 12 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-12 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Cleveland Guardians: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 33.0¢ on Polymarket, 84.4¢ on ProphetX, 92.5¢ on Polymarket US; Detroit Tigers: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 67.0¢ on Polymarket, 18.2¢ on ProphetX, 7.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 66.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Cleveland Guardians at 77.2¢ implies about a 77.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.