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Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Cleveland Guardians Wins: Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-13

This market resolved on 2026-09-13. Cleveland Guardians was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.

About This Market

Cleveland Guardians vs.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-13. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Over 2.5 runs scored
100%————
Over 3.5 runs scored
100%————
Over 4.5 runs scored
100%————
Over 5.5 runs scored
100%————
Over 6.5 runs scored
100%————
Over 1.5 runs scored
99%————
Luke Keaschall Under 0.5 Home Runs
————99%
Walker Jenkins Under 0.5 Home Runs
————98%
Travis Bazzana Under 0.5 Home Runs
————97%
Nathaniel Lowe Under 0.5 Home Runs
————97%
Steven Kwan Under 0.5 Home Runs
————97%
Ryan Kreidler Under 0.5 Home Runs
————96%
Ryan Jeffers Under 0.5 Home Runs
————96%
Brayan Rocchio Under 0.5 Home Runs
————94%
Patrick Bailey Under 0.5 Home Runs
————94%
Emmanuel Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs
————91%
Angel Martinez Under 0.5 Home Runs
————90%
Brooks Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs
————89%
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5
99%—92%89%76%
Josh Bell Under 0.5 Home Runs
————89%
Chase DeLauter Under 0.5 Home Runs
————88%
Jo Adell Under 0.5 Home Runs
————87%
Royce Lewis Under 0.5 Home Runs
————87%
Kody Clemens Under 0.5 Home Runs
————84%
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.5
——73%100%95%
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 2.5
97%——80%83%
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————81%
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs
99%—57%—91%
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
71%————
Total over 8.5
99%——99%71%
Emmanuel Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————68%
Total over 7.5
100%—63%100%72%
Walker Jenkins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————67%
Brayan Rocchio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————65%
Trevor Larnach Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————64%
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits
64%————
Austin Martin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————63%
Angel Martinez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————62%
Nathaniel Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————62%
Angel Genao Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————61%
Travis Bazzana Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————61%
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————57%
Jo Adell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————56%
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————56%
Joe Ryan Under 4.5 Strikeouts
————55%
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————55%
Cleveland GuardiansWINNER
99%45%55%100%97%
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————54%
Austin Hedges Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————53%
Austin Hedges Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————53%
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————53%
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————53%
Total under 8.0
————53%
Chase DeLauter Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————52%
Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————52%
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
51%———53%
Total over 9.5
99%—54%100%48%
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
50%———52%
Total under 9.5
——46%0%56%
Total over 8.0
————49%
Austin Martin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————47%
Minnesota Twins
1%55%46%0%5%
Patrick Bailey Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————45%
Ryan Kreidler Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————44%
Emmanuel Rodriguez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————44%
Total over 11.5
1%—40%——
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Total Bases
40%————
Tanner Bibee Under 3.5 Strikeouts
————39%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5
———39%—
Total under 7.5
——38%0%40%
Joe Ryan Under 3.5 Strikeouts
————38%
Josh Bell Over 0.5 RBIs
33%————
Total under 8.5
———100%32%
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
32%————
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Total Bases
24%————
Josh Bell Over 1.5 RBIs
20%————
Josh Bell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
20%————
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5
1%—27%0%9%
Josh Bell Over 3.5 Total Bases
18%————
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Home Runs
13%———16%
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs
12%————
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5
——8%11%31%
Josh Bell Over 4.5 Total Bases
9%————
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 2.5
———5%—
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5
1%——5%—
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits
0%————
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits
0%————
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%————
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits
0%————
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits
0%————
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits
0%————
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%————
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits
0%————
Josh Bell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%————
Angel Genao Over 0.5 Hits
—————
Angel Genao Over 0.5 Home Runs
—————
Angel Genao Over 1.5 Hits
—————
Angel Genao Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Angel Genao Over 2.5 Hits
—————
Angel Martinez Over 0.5 Hits
—————
Angel Martinez Over 0.5 Home Runs
—————
Angel Martinez Over 1.5 Hits
—————
Angel Martinez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Angel Martinez Over 2.5 Hits
—————
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits
—————
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Home Runs
—————
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits
—————
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%————
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits
—————
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits
—————
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs
—————
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 RBIs
—————
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
—————
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits
—————
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs
—————
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 RBIs
—————
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Total Bases
—————
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits
—————
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Total Bases
—————
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits
—————
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Total Bases
—————
Brooks Lee Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Brooks Lee Over 4.5 Total Bases
—————
Chase DeLauter Over 0.5 Hits
—————
Chase DeLauter Over 0.5 Home Runs
—————
Chase DeLauter Over 1.5 Hits
—————
Chase DeLauter Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Chase DeLauter Over 2.5 Hits
—————
Chase DeLauter Over 3.5 Hits
—————
Emmanuel Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Emmanuel Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs
—————
Emmanuel Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits
—————
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Home Runs
—————
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits
—————
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%————
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits
—————
Joe Ryan Over 0.5 Earned Runs
—————
Joe Ryan Over 1.5 Earned Runs
—————
Joe Ryan Over 2.5 Earned Runs
—————
Joe Ryan Over 3.5 Earned Runs
—————
Joe Ryan Over 3.5 Strikeouts
—————
Joe Ryan Over 4.5 Strikeouts
—————
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Home Runs
—————
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Luke Keaschall Over 0.5 Home Runs
—————
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Minnesota wins by over 3.5 runs
—————
Nathaniel Lowe Over 0.5 Hits
—————
Nathaniel Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs
—————
Nathaniel Lowe Over 1.5 Hits
—————
Nathaniel Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Nathaniel Lowe Over 2.5 Hits
—————
Over 10.5 runs scored
—————
Patrick Bailey Over 0.5 Hits
—————
Patrick Bailey Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Patrick Bailey Over 0.5 Home Runs
—————
Patrick Bailey Over 1.5 Hits
—————
Patrick Bailey Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Patrick Bailey Over 2.5 Hits
—————
Royce Lewis Over 0.5 Home Runs
—————
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Home Runs
—————
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Ryan Kreidler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Ryan Kreidler Over 0.5 Home Runs
—————
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Hits
—————
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Home Runs
—————
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Hits
—————
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Steven Kwan Over 2.5 Hits
—————
Steven Kwan Over 3.5 Hits
—————
Tanner Bibee Over 0.5 Earned Runs
—————
Tanner Bibee Over 1.5 Earned Runs
—————
Tanner Bibee Over 1.5 Strikeouts
—————
Tanner Bibee Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs
—————
Tanner Bibee Over 2.5 Earned Runs
—————
Tanner Bibee Over 2.5 Strikeouts
—————
Tanner Bibee Over 3.5 Earned Runs
—————
Tanner Bibee Over 3.5 Strikeouts
—————
Tanner Bibee Over 4.5 Earned Runs
—————
Tanner Bibee Over 4.5 Strikeouts
—————
Tanner Bibee Over 5.5 Strikeouts
—————
Tanner Bibee Over 6.5 Strikeouts
—————
Tanner Bibee Over 7.5 Strikeouts
—————
Travis Bazzana Over 0.5 Home Runs
—————
Travis Bazzana Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Trevor Larnach Over 0.5 Home Runs
—————
Trevor Larnach Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Walker Jenkins Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————
Walker Jenkins Over 0.5 Home Runs
—————
Walker Jenkins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread54.9%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Winner

Cleveland Guardians

74.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Cleveland wins the Cleveland vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Cleveland vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Cleveland Guardians in Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for September 13 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-13 at 2:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Cleveland Guardians: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 96.6¢ on ProphetX, 45.0¢ on Polymarket US, 54.5¢ on Novig; Minnesota Twins: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 4.6¢ on ProphetX, 55.0¢ on Polymarket US, 45.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 54.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Cleveland Guardians at 74.0¢ implies about a 74.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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