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Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (4:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Minnesota Twins Wins: Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (4:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-12

This market resolved on 2026-09-12. Minnesota Twins was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.

About This Market

Cleveland Guardians vs.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (4:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%————
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 RBIs
99%————
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits
99%————
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%————
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits
99%————
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Total Bases
99%————
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%————
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%————
Connor Prielipp Over 0.5 Earned Runs
98%————
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5
————97%
Total under 9.5
———100%97%
Total under 12.5
————95%
Jose Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs
————92%
Connor Prielipp Over 1.5 Strikeouts
92%————
Minnesota Twins spread plus 4.5
————88%
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits
86%————
Total under 10.5
——70%—99%
Connor Prielipp Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs
84%————
Minnesota TwinsWINNER
100%51%82%100%91%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5
———75%83%
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.5
——66%78%80%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5
——62%78%87%
Angel Genao Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————78%
Angel Genao Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————78%
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
77%————
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 4.5
————76%
Total under 11.5
————75%
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
88%———55%
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 2.5
———54%83%
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 3.5
————68%
Jose Ramirez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————66%
Victor Caratini Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————65%
Connor Prielipp Under 4.5 Strikeouts
————65%
Total over 7.0
————64%
Austin Martin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
57%———68%
Brayan Rocchio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————62%
Kaelen Culpepper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————62%
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.0
————62%
Ryan Kreidler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————61%
Total under 8.5
——61%53%63%
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————60%
Total under 9.0
————59%
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits
59%————
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits
59%————
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
57%———60%
Austin Hedges Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———58%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.0
————58%
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————57%
David Fry Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———57%
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————57%
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———56%
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
56%————
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————55%
Chase DeLauter Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
53%———56%
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————54%
Angel Martinez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————53%
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————53%
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————53%
Total over 8.0
————53%
Connor Prielipp Over 2.5 Strikeouts
53%————
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———53%
Total under 7.5
——48%94%53%
Jo Adell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————52%
Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————52%
Austin Hedges Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————51%
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———51%
Chase DeLauter Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————51%
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———51%
Total over 7.5
1%—52%6%50%
David Fry Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————50%
Total under 8.0
————49%
Ryan Kreidler Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————49%
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
46%———51%
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———48%
Connor Prielipp Over 3.5 Strikeouts
28%———64%
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————46%
Kaelen Culpepper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
43%———48%
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.0
————44%
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
40%———47%
Total over 9.0
————43%
Austin Martin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————43%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5
1%———43%
Victor Caratini Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
40%———44%
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
41%———43%
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Total Bases
41%————
Connor Prielipp Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%———40%
Total over 8.5
1%—38%47%40%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.0
————40%
Josh Bell Over 0.5 RBIs
40%————
Total under 5.5
————40%
Connor Prielipp Under 3.5 Strikeouts
————39%
Total under 7.0
————38%
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits
37%————
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
37%————
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 RBIs
37%————
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5
1%——46%25%
Total over 11.5
1%———35%
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Total Bases
35%————
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits
33%————
Minnesota Twins spread minus 4.5
————32%
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Total Bases
31%————
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 RBIs
31%————
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
31%————
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Total Bases
30%————
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
28%————
Angel Martinez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%———53%
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
26%————
Total under 4.5
————25%
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 2.5
1%——25%24%
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
24%————
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5
1%—35%22%24%
Connor Prielipp Over 5.5 Strikeouts
23%————
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits
23%————
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Total Bases
23%————
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
23%————
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Total Bases
22%————
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5
1%—38%22%16%
Total under 6.5
————22%
Total over 10.5
1%—31%—12%
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Total Bases
21%————
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits
20%————
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Total Bases
20%————
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
20%————
Cleveland Guardians
1%49%19%0%12%
Jose Ramirez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
18%————
Josh Bell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
18%————
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%————
Josh Bell Over 3.5 Total Bases
17%————
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Home Runs
17%———17%
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 4.5
————17%
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Total Bases
16%————
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 RBIs
16%————
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
16%————
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits
15%————
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Home Runs
————15%
Total over 12.5
1%———15%
Brayan Rocchio Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
14%————
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Total Bases
14%————
Jo Adell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
14%————
Total over 9.5
1%——0%14%
Jo Adell Over 1.5 RBIs
13%————
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits
13%————
Total under 3.5
————12%
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs
1%———12%
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 RBIs
12%————
Connor Prielipp Over 6.5 Strikeouts
12%————
Josh Bell Over 1.5 RBIs
12%————
Josh Bell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
11%————
Jo Adell Over 4.5 Total Bases
10%————
Jose Ramirez Over 4.5 Total Bases
10%————
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Home Runs
7%———12%
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%———16%
Royce Lewis Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%———13%
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
9%————
Brayan Rocchio Over 3.5 Total Bases
9%————
Brooks Lee Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
9%————
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%———14%
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%———15%
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits
8%————
Josh Bell Over 4.5 Total Bases
8%————
David Fry Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%———11%
Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Home Runs
6%———9%
Angel Martinez Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%———13%
Luke Keaschall Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%———10%
Brooks Lee Over 4.5 Total Bases
7%————
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Total Bases
7%————
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Home Runs
6%————
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 RBIs
6%————
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 RBIs
6%————
Jose Ramirez Over 5.5 Total Bases
6%————
Chase DeLauter Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%———8%
Brayan Rocchio Over 4.5 Total Bases
5%————
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits
5%————
Jo Adell Over 2.5 RBIs
5%————
Jo Adell Over 5.5 Total Bases
5%————
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Home Runs
6%———4%
Brayan Rocchio Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
4%————
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits
4%————
Connor Prielipp Over 7.5 Strikeouts
4%————
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits
4%————
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
4%————
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Hits
3%————
Austin Hedges Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%————
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits
2%————
Jo Adell Over 0.5 RBIs
2%————
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%————
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%————
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Total Bases
2%————
David Fry Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%————
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits
1%————
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%————
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%————
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%————
Over 2.5 runs scored
—————
Total over 3.5
—————
Total over 4.5
—————
Total over 5.5
—————
Total over 6.5
—————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread48.9%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Winner

Minnesota Twins

84.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (4:10 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Minnesota wins the Cleveland vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Cleveland vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Minnesota Twins in Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for September 12 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-12 at 4:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (4:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (4:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Minnesota Twins: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 91.1¢ on ProphetX, 51.0¢ on Polymarket US, 81.5¢ on Novig; Cleveland Guardians: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 11.6¢ on ProphetX, 49.0¢ on Polymarket US, 18.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (4:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 48.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (4:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Minnesota Twins at 84.6¢ implies about a 84.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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