About This Market
Cleveland Guardians vs.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (4:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (4:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-12
This market resolved on 2026-09-12. Minnesota Twins was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.
Cleveland Guardians vs.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (4:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Connor Prielipp Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 98% | — | — | — | — |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 97% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 100% | 97% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | — | 95% |
Jose Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 92% |
Connor Prielipp Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 92% | — | — | — | — |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 88% |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits | 86% | — | — | — | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 70% | — | 99% |
Connor Prielipp Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | 84% | — | — | — | — |
Minnesota TwinsWINNER | 100% | 51% | 82% | 100% | 91% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 75% | 83% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 66% | 78% | 80% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 62% | 78% | 87% |
Angel Genao Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 78% |
Angel Genao Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 78% |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 77% | — | — | — | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 76% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | — | 75% |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 88% | — | — | — | 55% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 54% | 83% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 68% |
Jose Ramirez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 66% |
Victor Caratini Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 65% |
Connor Prielipp Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | 65% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 64% |
Austin Martin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 57% | — | — | — | 68% |
Brayan Rocchio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 62% |
Kaelen Culpepper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 62% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 62% |
Ryan Kreidler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 61% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 61% | 53% | 63% |
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 60% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | — | 59% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits | 59% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits | 59% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 57% | — | — | — | 60% |
Austin Hedges Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — | 58% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 58% |
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 57% |
David Fry Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — | 57% |
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 57% |
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — | 56% |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 56% | — | — | — | — |
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 55% |
Chase DeLauter Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 53% | — | — | — | 56% |
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 54% |
Angel Martinez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 53% |
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 53% |
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 53% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 53% |
Connor Prielipp Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 53% | — | — | — | — |
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — | 53% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 48% | 94% | 53% |
Jo Adell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 52% |
Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 52% |
Austin Hedges Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 51% |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — | 51% |
Chase DeLauter Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 51% |
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — | 51% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 52% | 6% | 50% |
David Fry Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 50% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 49% |
Ryan Kreidler Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 49% |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | — | 51% |
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — | 48% |
Connor Prielipp Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 28% | — | — | — | 64% |
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 46% |
Kaelen Culpepper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 43% | — | — | — | 48% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 44% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 40% | — | — | — | 47% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Austin Martin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | — | 43% |
Victor Caratini Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 40% | — | — | — | 44% |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 41% | — | — | — | 43% |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Total Bases | 41% | — | — | — | — |
Connor Prielipp Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — | 40% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 38% | 47% | 40% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 40% |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 RBIs | 40% | — | — | — | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 40% |
Connor Prielipp Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | 39% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 38% |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits | 37% | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 37% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 RBIs | 37% | — | — | — | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — | 46% | 25% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | — | 35% |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Total Bases | 35% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits | 33% | — | — | — | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 32% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Total Bases | 31% | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 RBIs | 31% | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 31% | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Total Bases | 30% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 28% | — | — | — | — |
Angel Martinez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | — | 53% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 26% | — | — | — | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 25% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — | 25% | 24% |
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 24% | — | — | — | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 35% | 22% | 24% |
Connor Prielipp Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 23% | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits | 23% | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Total Bases | 23% | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 23% | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Total Bases | 22% | — | — | — | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 38% | 22% | 16% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 22% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | 31% | — | 12% |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Total Bases | 21% | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits | 20% | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Total Bases | 20% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 20% | — | — | — | — |
Cleveland Guardians | 1% | 49% | 19% | 0% | 12% |
Jose Ramirez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 3.5 Total Bases | 17% | — | — | — | — |
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Home Runs | 17% | — | — | — | 17% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 17% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Total Bases | 16% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 RBIs | 16% | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 16% | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits | 15% | — | — | — | — |
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 15% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | — | 15% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Total Bases | 14% | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | — | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | 14% |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 RBIs | 13% | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits | 13% | — | — | — | — |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 12% |
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | — | 12% |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 RBIs | 12% | — | — | — | — |
Connor Prielipp Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 12% | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 RBIs | 12% | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 4.5 Total Bases | 10% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 4.5 Total Bases | 10% | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Home Runs | 7% | — | — | — | 12% |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | — | 16% |
Royce Lewis Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | — | 13% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 9% | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 3.5 Total Bases | 9% | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | — | 14% |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | — | 15% |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 4.5 Total Bases | 8% | — | — | — | — |
David Fry Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | — | 11% |
Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Home Runs | 6% | — | — | — | 9% |
Angel Martinez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — | 13% |
Luke Keaschall Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | — | 10% |
Brooks Lee Over 4.5 Total Bases | 7% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Total Bases | 7% | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Home Runs | 6% | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 RBIs | 6% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 RBIs | 6% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 5.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — | — |
Chase DeLauter Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — | 8% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 4.5 Total Bases | 5% | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 RBIs | 5% | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 5.5 Total Bases | 5% | — | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Home Runs | 6% | — | — | — | 4% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 4% | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — | — |
Connor Prielipp Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 4% | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 4% | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — | — |
Austin Hedges Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 RBIs | 2% | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — | — |
David Fry Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 3.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 4.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Minnesota Twins
84.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Cleveland vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cleveland vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigMinnesota Twins in Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins (MLB); settled by Novig.
If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for September 12 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-12 at 4:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Minnesota Twins: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 91.1¢ on ProphetX, 51.0¢ on Polymarket US, 81.5¢ on Novig; Cleveland Guardians: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 11.6¢ on ProphetX, 49.0¢ on Polymarket US, 18.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 48.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Minnesota Twins at 84.6¢ implies about a 84.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.