About This Market
Cleveland Guardians vs.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (8:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (8:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-11
This market resolved on 2026-09-11. Cleveland Guardians was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Cleveland Guardians vs.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (8:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | — | 98% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 96% |
Brayan Rocchio Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 93% |
Brooks Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 91% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5 | 87% | — | 18% | 99% | 98% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 81% |
Patrick Bailey Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 80% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 2.5 | 79% | — | 75% | 99% | 86% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 79% | 99% |
Angel Genao Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 79% |
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 97% | 60% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | — | 78% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 76% |
Austin Martin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 71% |
Patrick Bailey Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 71% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 69% | 70% | 88% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | — | 58% | 81% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 65% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 81% | 49% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | 51% | — | 76% |
Brayan Rocchio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 63% |
Ryan Kreidler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 62% |
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 61% |
Walker Jenkins Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 61% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 60% |
Cleveland GuardiansWINNER | 100% | 58% | 48% | 100% | 98% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 82% | 58% | 11% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 55% |
Chase DeLauter Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 54% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 54% |
Total over 6.5 | 100% | — | — | 49% | 56% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 50% | 49% | 89% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 49% |
Chase DeLauter Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 48% |
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | 48% |
Ryan Kreidler Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 48% |
Angel Genao Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 47% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 47% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 40% | — | — | — | 45% |
Austin Martin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 41% |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 39% | — | — | — | 42% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 38% |
Taj Bradley Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | 3% | 60% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 28% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 26% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 25% | 83% | 18% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | — | 1% | 23% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 51% | 22% | 16% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — | 21% | 10% |
Chase DeLauter Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 14% |
Trevor Larnach Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 11% |
Patrick Bailey Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 11% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5 | 2% | — | 32% | 5% | 16% |
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% | 12% |
Walker Jenkins Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 8% |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | — | 11% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — | 10% |
Minnesota Twins | 4% | 43% | 53% | 3% | 6% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kaelen Culpepper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kaelen Culpepper Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kaelen Culpepper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Luke Keaschall Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Luke Keaschall Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Luke Keaschall Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nathaniel Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nathaniel Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nathaniel Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Parker Messick Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — | — |
Parker Messick Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Parker Messick Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Parker Messick Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Parker Messick Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Parker Messick Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Parker Messick Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Parker Messick Over 8.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Parker Messick Over 9.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Parker Messick Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Parker Messick Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Royce Lewis Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Taj Bradley Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — | — |
Taj Bradley Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Taj Bradley Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Taj Bradley Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Taj Bradley Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Taj Bradley Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Taj Bradley Over 8.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Taj Bradley Over 9.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Taj Bradley Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 4.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Travis Bazzana Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Travis Bazzana Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Travis Bazzana Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Travis Bazzana Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cleveland Guardians
80.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Cleveland vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cleveland vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigMinnesota Twins in Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins (MLB); settled by Novig.
If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for September 11 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-11 at 8:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Cleveland Guardians: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 98.1¢ on ProphetX, 57.5¢ on Polymarket US, 47.5¢ on Novig; Minnesota Twins: 3.5¢ on Kalshi, 2.5¢ on Polymarket, 5.5¢ on ProphetX, 42.5¢ on Polymarket US, 52.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 52.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Cleveland Guardians at 80.5¢ implies about a 80.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.