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Live prediction market odds for Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Arizona Diamondbacks Wins: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-10

This market resolved on 2026-08-10. Arizona Diamondbacks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Colorado Rockies vs.

Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-10. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Kyle Karros Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Jordan Beck Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Willi Castro Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Tim Tawa Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Ezequiel Tovar Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Troy Johnston Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Arizona DiamondbacksWINNER
99%100%98%99%
Cole Carrigg Under 0.5 Home Runs
——94%99%
Geraldo Perdomo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——94%99%
TJ Rumfield Under 0.5 Home Runs
——94%99%
Jordan Beck Under 0.5 Home Runs
——95%98%
Gabriel Moreno Under 0.5 Home Runs
——94%99%
Willi Castro Under 0.5 Home Runs
——93%99%
Max Kepler Under 0.5 Home Runs
———96%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 4.5
———94%
Tim Tawa Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%94%
Lars Nootbaar Under 0.5 Home Runs
——91%95%
Nolan Arenado Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%94%
Cole Carrigg Over 1.5 Home Runs
——93%—
Jake McCarthy Over 1.5 Home Runs
——92%—
Mickey Moniak Under 0.5 Home Runs
——85%96%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 3.5
———90%
Total under 10.5
———90%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 3.5
———90%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 4.5
———88%
Ketel Marte Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%91%
Corbin Carroll Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%93%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 2.5
——83%92%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 8.5
———87%
Hunter Goodman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——83%91%
Total under 11.5
———86%
Gabriel Hughes Over 1.5 Strikeouts
——86%—
Michael Soroka Over 2.5 Strikeouts
——83%—
Total over 5.5
———82%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 6.5
———81%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.5
——75%82%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.0
———75%
Ketel Marte Over 1.5 Home Runs
——73%—
TJ Rumfield Over 1.5 Home Runs
——73%—
Total over 6.5
———72%
Ezequiel Tovar Under 0.5 Home Runs
——52%92%
Total under 9.5
——59%85%
Mickey Moniak Over 1.5 Home Runs
——72%—
Michael Soroka Over 4.5 Strikeouts
——44%98%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.5
——49%92%
Hunter Goodman Over 1.5 Home Runs
——69%—
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.0
———68%
Jake McCarthy Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Troy Johnston Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Michael Soroka Over 3.5 Strikeouts
——66%—
Max Kepler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Willi Castro Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Kyle Karros Under 0.5 Home Runs
——30%99%
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Kyle Karros Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Mickey Moniak Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Troy Johnston Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Jake McCarthy Under 0.5 Home Runs
——28%99%
Ezequiel Tovar Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Gabriel Moreno Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Corbin Carroll Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Tim Tawa Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Hunter Goodman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 2.5
——37%85%
Total over 7.5
——59%63%
Michael Soroka Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——44%76%
Ketel Marte Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Total over 8.0
———58%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 7.5
———58%
Cole Carrigg Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Jordan Beck Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Total over 9.0
———57%
Total under 8.5
——49%64%
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
TJ Rumfield Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Willi Castro Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Gabriel Hughes Over 3.5 Strikeouts
——53%60%
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Mickey Moniak Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Willi Castro Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Jordan Beck Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
TJ Rumfield Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Cole Carrigg Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Ketel Marte Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Colorado Rockies
1%1%98%3%
Gabriel Hughes Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——53%47%
Hunter Goodman Over 0.5 Home Runs
——83%17%
Hunter Goodman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Tim Tawa Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Total under 9.0
———49%
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Troy Johnston Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Total under 8.0
———48%
Troy Johnston Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Kyle Karros Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Max Kepler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Ezequiel Tovar Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 7.5
———45%
Total over 8.5
——51%40%
Willi Castro Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Jake McCarthy Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 2.5
——63%25%
Gabriel Moreno Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———42%
Total under 7.5
——41%40%
Jake McCarthy Over 0.5 Home Runs
——72%7%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 1.0
———38%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 1.5
——51%19%
Michael Soroka Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——34%—
Total under 6.5
———31%
Hunter Goodman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——31%—
Total over 9.5
——41%19%
Total under 5.5
———29%
Ezequiel Tovar Over 0.5 Home Runs
——48%10%
Colorado Rockies spread minus 1.0
———29%
Mickey Moniak Under 1.5 Home Runs
——28%—
Ketel Marte Under 1.5 Home Runs
——27%—
TJ Rumfield Under 1.5 Home Runs
——27%—
Gabriel Hughes Over 2.5 Strikeouts
——27%—
Gabriel Hughes Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——27%—
Colorado Rockies spread minus 1.5
——25%22%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 8.5
———23%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 6.5
———22%
Total over 11.5
———22%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 3.5
———21%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 4.5
———20%
Kyle Karros Over 0.5 Home Runs
——30%7%
Colorado Rockies spread minus 2.5
——18%19%
Ketel Marte Over 0.5 Home Runs
——16%19%
Michael Soroka Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——17%—
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Home Runs
——18%15%
Gabriel Hughes Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——14%—
Mickey Moniak Over 0.5 Home Runs
——15%12%
Max Kepler Over 0.5 Home Runs
———13%
Total over 10.5
———13%
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%17%
Colorado Rockies spread minus 3.5
———13%
Lars Nootbaar Over 0.5 Home Runs
——10%15%
Tim Tawa Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%13%
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Troy Johnston Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Colorado Rockies spread minus 4.5
———10%
Jake McCarthy Under 1.5 Home Runs
——8%—
Jordan Beck Over 0.5 Home Runs
——6%10%
Willi Castro Over 0.5 Home Runs
——7%9%
Gabriel Moreno Over 0.5 Home Runs
——7%9%
Cole Carrigg Under 1.5 Home Runs
——8%—
TJ Rumfield Over 0.5 Home Runs
——6%9%
Cole Carrigg Over 0.5 Home Runs
——6%8%
Geraldo Perdomo Over 0.5 Home Runs
——6%8%
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Home Runs
——2%—
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Home Runs
——2%—
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Ezequiel Tovar Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Tim Tawa Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Willi Castro Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jordan Beck Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Kyle Karros Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread97.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Arizona Diamondbacks

98.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Arizona wins the Colorado vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 10, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Colorado vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 10, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 10 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-10 at 9:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Arizona Diamondbacks: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 98.0¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Colorado Rockies: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 98.0¢ on Polymarket, 2.5¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 97.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Arizona Diamondbacks at 98.9¢ implies about a 98.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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