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Detroit Tigers vs.
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-09. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-09
This market resolved on 2026-08-09. Detroit Tigers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Detroit Tigers vs.
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-09. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Zach McKinstry Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Drew Gilbert Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 98% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 98% |
Gleyber Torres Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 99% |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 99% |
Eduardo Valencia Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Grant McCray Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Javier Baez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Colt Keith Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 99% |
Detroit Tigers spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 95% | 96% |
Detroit Tigers spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 94% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 96% | 89% |
Daniel Susac Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 97% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Dillon Dingler Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 95% |
Kevin McGonigle Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 96% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 93% | 90% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Troy Melton Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 91% | — |
Logan Webb Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 90% | — |
Spencer Torkelson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 93% |
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Max Clark Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Detroit Tigers spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 100% | 89% |
Osleivis Basabe Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 98% |
Willy Adames Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 92% |
Detroit Tigers spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Bryce Eldridge Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 91% |
Riley Greene Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 91% |
Troy Melton Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 88% | 87% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 87% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 85% | 88% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 86% |
Rafael Devers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 89% |
Detroit TigersWINNER | 99% | 85% | 100% | 99% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 77% | 86% |
Christian Koss Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Daniel Susac Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Max Clark Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Troy Melton Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 79% | — |
Logan Webb Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 77% | — |
Zach McKinstry Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 76% |
Detroit Tigers spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 74% |
Detroit Tigers spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 73% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 73% |
Logan Webb Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 84% | 60% |
Troy Melton Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 69% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 66% |
Daniel Susac Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 65% |
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 65% |
Eduardo Valencia Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Zach McKinstry Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Daniel Susac Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Logan Webb Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 60% | 64% |
Max Clark Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 61% |
Willy Adames Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Javier Baez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Troy Melton Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 59% | 63% |
Colt Keith Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Spencer Torkelson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Grant McCray Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 59% |
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 58% |
Kevin McGonigle Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 55% | — | — | 59% |
Gleyber Torres Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 56% |
Riley Greene Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Dillon Dingler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 52% | — | — | 58% |
Gleyber Torres Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Dillon Dingler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Grant McCray Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Kevin McGonigle Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Colt Keith Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 51% |
Spencer Torkelson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 50% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 50% |
Spencer Torkelson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 50% | — | — | — |
Max Clark Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 51% | — | — | 49% |
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Osleivis Basabe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 50% |
Willy Adames Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 50% |
Gleyber Torres Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Kevin McGonigle Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Willy Adames Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 42% | — | — | 55% |
Javier Baez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Daniel Susac Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
Drew Gilbert Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Eduardo Valencia Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 42% | — | — | 47% |
Logan Webb Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 43% |
Zach McKinstry Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 43% |
Zach McKinstry Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Troy Melton Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 41% | 43% |
Logan Webb Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 40% | 40% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Daniel Susac Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 37% | — | — | 40% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 38% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 36% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 33% |
Detroit Tigers spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 33% |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 30% | — | — | — |
Riley Greene Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | 55% |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | — | 25% |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | 23% | 25% |
Logan Webb Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 23% | — |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 1% | 22% |
Willy Adames Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 14% | 28% |
Troy Melton Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 21% | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 19% | 22% |
Detroit Tigers spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 19% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | — | 19% |
Detroit Tigers spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 15% | 23% |
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Riley Greene Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 15% | 20% |
Dillon Dingler Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 11% | 24% |
Daniel Susac Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 17% |
Bryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 15% | 19% |
Total over 4.5 | 1% | — | — | 16% |
Spencer Torkelson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 13% | 18% |
Eduardo Valencia Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Grant McCray Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 7% | 21% |
Kevin McGonigle Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 12% | 15% |
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 13% |
Osleivis Basabe Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 13% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 13% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 4% | 22% |
Javier Baez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Max Clark Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Zach McKinstry Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Colt Keith Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 5% | 17% |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 4% | 17% |
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Logan Webb Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 10% | — |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 10% |
San Francisco Giants | 1% | 15% | 0% | 4% |
Troy Melton Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 9% | — |
Detroit wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 7% |
Gleyber Torres Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 4% | 9% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 5% | 8% |
Dillon Dingler Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | — |
Kevin McGonigle Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | — |
Eduardo Valencia Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Bryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Colt Keith Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Colt Keith Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Colt Keith Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Dillon Dingler Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Dillon Dingler Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Gleyber Torres Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Gleyber Torres Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Kevin McGonigle Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Max Clark Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Riley Greene Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Riley Greene Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Riley Greene Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Spencer Torkelson Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Spencer Torkelson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Willy Adames Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Zach McKinstry Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Colt Keith Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Dillon Dingler Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Eduardo Valencia Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Gleyber Torres Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Logan Webb Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Logan Webb Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Logan Webb Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Max Clark Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Troy Melton Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Troy Melton Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Troy Melton Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Drew Gilbert Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Kevin McGonigle Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Riley Greene Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Spencer Torkelson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Koss Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Daniel Susac Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Drew Gilbert Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Max Clark Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Osleivis Basabe Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Detroit Tigers
95.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Detroit wins the Detroit vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 9, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Detroit vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 9, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 9 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Detroit Tigers vs San Francisco Giants MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-09 at 4:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Detroit Tigers: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 85.0¢ on Polymarket US; San Francisco Giants: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 4.1¢ on ProphetX, 15.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 14.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Detroit Tigers at 95.7¢ implies about a 95.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.