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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Detroit Tigers Wins: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-15

This market resolved on 2026-09-15. Detroit Tigers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Alejandro Kirk Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Brett Bateman Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Dillon Dingler Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Drew Anderson Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	100%	—
George Springer Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Kevin McGonigle Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Nathan Lukes Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Nathan Lukes Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Nathan Lukes Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Riley Greene Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Zach McKinstry Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Dillon Dingler Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Kevin McGonigle Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Riley Greene Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Drew Anderson Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	100%	—
Drew Anderson Over 1.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	99%	—
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Alejandro Kirk Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Alejandro Kirk Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Brett Bateman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Brett Bateman Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Brett Bateman Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Dillon Dingler Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Dillon Dingler Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
George Springer Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Kevin McGonigle Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Kevin McGonigle Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Kevin McGonigle Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Riley Greene Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Riley Greene Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Riley Greene Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Zach McKinstry Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Zach McKinstry Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Zach McKinstry Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Zach McKinstry Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	98%
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	98%
Kevin McGonigle Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	97%
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	97%
Zach McKinstry Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	96%
Detroit Tigers spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	96%
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	91%	95%
Detroit Tigers spread minus 1.5	99%	—	—	94%	92%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	93%
Dillon Dingler Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	95%	88%
Detroit Tigers spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	91%
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	90%
Detroit Tigers spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	76%	98%
Riley Greene Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	85%
Dillon Dingler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	80%
Detroit Tigers spread minus 4.5	—	—	58%	—	87%
Colt Keith Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	70%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	73%	64%
Total under 10.5	—	—	51%	—	84%
Spencer Torkelson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	67%
Zach McKinstry Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	66%
John Peck Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
Josh Smith Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Max Clark Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Detroit Tigers spread plus 1.5	—	—	61%	63%	98%
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
Colt Keith Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	60%
Drew Anderson Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	100%	60%
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	59%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	59%
Detroit Tigers spread minus 2.5	99%	—	—	22%	96%
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	57%
Riley Greene Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	56%
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	56%
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	55%
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	55%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	54%	—	—	1%	56%
Gleyber Torres Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	54%
Kevin McGonigle Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	54%
Kevin McGonigle Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	53%
Total under 7.5	—	—	—	68%	37%
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	52%
Gleyber Torres Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	52%
Total under 8.5	—	—	52%	72%	33%
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	51%
Drew Anderson Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	1%	51%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	51%
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	50%
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	50%
Total over 7.5	100%	—	—	32%	68%
Detroit TigersWINNER	99%	50%	43%	100%	98%
Toronto Blue Jays	1%	50%	58%	100%	3%
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	91%	9%
Dillon Dingler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	50%
Riley Greene Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	50%
Total over 8.5	100%	—	49%	28%	71%
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	48%
Josh Smith Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Max Clark Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Spencer Torkelson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	44%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	78%	8%
Zach McKinstry Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	43%
Zach McKinstry Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	42%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5	—	—	44%	—	39%
John Peck Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	41%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5	—	—	—	70%	12%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	21%	—	—	1%	51%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	—	34%
Total over 10.5	99%	—	49%	—	19%
Total over 9.5	99%	—	—	27%	40%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	33%	—	—	1%	—
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	2%	—	—	0%	54%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5	1%	—	40%	1%	7%
Riley Greene Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	20%
George Springer Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	19%	—	—	0%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	19%	—	—	1%	—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	17%	—	—	1%	—
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	16%
Dillon Dingler Over 0.5 Home Runs	13%	—	—	95%	15%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	13%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs	10%	—	—	0%	16%
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	13%
Colt Keith Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	10%
George Springer Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	10%	—	—	1%	—
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs	9%	—	—	0%	10%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	9%	—	—	0%	10%
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	9%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	9%	—	—	1%	—
Josh Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	8%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	8%	—	—	0%	—
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	8%
John Peck Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	7%
Zach McKinstry Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	7%
Kevin McGonigle Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	0%	10%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	4%	8%
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	6%
Max Clark Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	6%
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	0%	—
Brett Bateman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Brett Bateman Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Drew Anderson Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	1%	—
George Springer Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Kevin McGonigle Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Kevin McGonigle Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Kevin McGonigle Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Kevin McGonigle Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Nathan Lukes Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Nathan Lukes Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Riley Greene Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Riley Greene Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Riley Greene Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Zach McKinstry Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Zach McKinstry Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Drew Anderson Over 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	1%	—
Drew Anderson Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	0%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	0%	—
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Alejandro Kirk Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Alejandro Kirk Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Alejandro Kirk Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Brett Bateman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Dillon Dingler Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Drew Anderson Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	—
Kevin McGonigle Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Riley Greene Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Riley Greene Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Zach McKinstry Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Zach McKinstry Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Dillon Dingler Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	—	0%	—
Kevin McGonigle Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	—	0%	—
Alejandro Kirk Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Detroit wins by over 3.5 runs	—	—	—	—	—
Dillon Dingler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%	—
Dillon Dingler Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%	—
Dillon Dingler Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
George Springer Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Kevin McGonigle Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Nathan Lukes Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%	—
Nathan Lukes Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Riley Greene Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%	—
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 6.5	—	—	—	—	—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%	—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Zach McKinstry Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Toronto wins the Detroit vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Detroit vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Toronto Blue Jays in Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for September 15 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-15 at 7:07PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Detroit Tigers: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 98.1¢ on ProphetX, 50.0¢ on Polymarket US, 42.5¢ on Novig; Toronto Blue Jays: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 3.4¢ on ProphetX, 50.0¢ on Polymarket US, 57.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Detroit Tigers at 77.9¢ implies about a 77.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Detroit Tigers Wins: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET)

Detroit Tigers Wins: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Detroit Tigers Wins: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET)

Detroit Tigers Wins: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET)

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