About This Market
Houston Astros vs.
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets (3:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Houston Astros vs. New York Mets (3:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-30
This market resolved on 2026-08-30. Houston Astros was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Houston Astros vs.
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets (3:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Zac Thornton Over 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 100% | — |
Zac Thornton Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 100% | — |
Yainer Diaz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Ethan Pecko Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Zac Thornton Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Cam Smith Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Jared Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Jose Altuve Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Nelson Velazquez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 94% |
Isaac Paredes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Houston AstrosWINNER | 99% | 90% | 100% | 98% |
Yainer Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 93% | 93% |
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 99% |
Christian Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 99% |
Yordan Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 92% |
Houston Astros spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 91% | 93% |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 99% |
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 90% |
Jeremy Pena Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 89% |
New York Mets spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 100% | 88% |
Houston Astros spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 87% |
Houston Astros spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 86% |
Houston Astros spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 86% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 84% |
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 83% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 81% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 81% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 80% |
Daulton Varsho Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 77% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 77% |
Houston Astros spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 61% | 91% |
New York Mets spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 75% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 74% |
Houston Astros spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 59% | 85% |
Brett Baty Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Luis Torrens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Nelson Velazquez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Ethan Pecko Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 63% | — |
Cam Smith Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
New York Mets spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 62% |
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 57% | — | — | 60% |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 58% |
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Houston Astros spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 56% |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 56% |
Zac Thornton Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 56% |
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 54% |
Ethan Pecko Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 54% |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 54% | — | — | 50% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 55% | — | — | 48% |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Yainer Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Yainer Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Ethan Pecko Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 50% | — |
Zac Thornton Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 50% | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 47% | — | — | 51% |
Zac Thornton Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 100% | 49% |
Ethan Pecko Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 48% |
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Cam Smith Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 47% |
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 47% |
Nelson Velazquez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 45% | — | — | 48% |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits | 46% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
New York Mets spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Brett Baty Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Houston Astros spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Luis Torrens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 39% | — | — | 40% |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits | 38% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits | 35% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 35% | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 32% |
New York Mets spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 41% | 19% |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Home Runs | 30% | — | 1% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 0% | 29% |
Houston wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 29% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 28% |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 27% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 27% |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | 52% |
New York Mets spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 39% | 13% |
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Hits | 24% | — | — | — |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 24% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 24% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 23% |
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits | 22% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits | 22% | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits | 21% | — | — | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 0% | 21% |
New York Mets spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 19% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 19% | 18% |
Isaac Paredes Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
New York Mets spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 18% |
New York Mets spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 16% |
Houston Astros spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 15% |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 11% | 18% |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 14% |
Nelson Velazquez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Jeremy Pena Over 3.5 Hits | 14% | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 14% | 12% |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 15% | 12% |
Cam Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 11% |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Home Runs | 50% | — | 9% | 11% |
Jose Altuve Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 10% |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits | 10% | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits | 10% | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
Zac Thornton Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 10% | — |
New York Mets spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 9% | 11% |
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 16% |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs | 9% | — | 14% | 8% |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 14% | 9% |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
New York Mets | 1% | 11% | 0% | 4% |
Yainer Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 7% | 10% |
Ethan Pecko Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 6% | — | 100% | — |
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 6% |
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 3.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 2% | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 2% | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Ethan Pecko Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Zac Thornton Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Yainer Diaz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Ethan Pecko Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Ethan Pecko Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Ethan Pecko Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Zac Thornton Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Zac Thornton Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 99% | — |
Houston Astros
96.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New York M wins the Houston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 3:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Houston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 3:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and New York Mets, scheduled for August 30 at 3:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Houston Astros vs New York Mets MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-30 at 3:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Houston Astros: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 98.1¢ on ProphetX, 89.5¢ on Polymarket US; New York Mets: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 3.9¢ on ProphetX, 10.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 10.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Houston Astros at 96.6¢ implies about a 96.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.